CentralNebWeather Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Well our snow stopped about 1:30. Probably got close to 2" but lots of blowing and some melting it would be a little less imo. I guess this is the winter we're having and nothing we can do about it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Missed some of these amounts by 1 county to my south, southwest, and west. Of course. https://twitter.com/NWSHastings/status/1232401882112495621?s=20 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Detroit area downgraded to Winter Weather Advisory for 3-6" instead of the earlier 6-8" forecast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Detroit area downgraded to Winter Weather Advisory for 3-6" instead of the earlier 6-8" forecastInterestingly though the AFD reads 6-8" attainable in eastern counties and our zone forecast explicitly totals 5-8". Regardless, let's hope for some enhanced banding (3km NAM style) to get us to those higher totals. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 NWS Hastings Twitter showing the main snow band was only 10-15 miles wide. https://twitter.com/NWSHastings/status/1232411699505958913?s=20 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticasnow Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Interestingly though the AFD reads 6-8" attainable in eastern counties and our zone forecast explicitly totals 5-8". Regardless, let's hope for some enhanced banding (3km NAM style) to get us to those higher totals.Yeap, maybe we will luck out and be at the higher end Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Yeap, maybe we will luck out and be at the higher endMight be grasping at straws here but the RGEM reversed course and actually jumped our snow totals by 1-2" from the 12z to 18z run. The babiest of steps... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Detroit area downgraded to Winter Weather Advisory for 3-6" instead of the earlier 6-8" forecastProbably coordinated with CLE, as Lucas and Wood counties are also in a 3-6" advisory. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Interestingly though the AFD reads 6-8" attainable in eastern counties and our zone forecast explicitly totals 5-8". Regardless, let's hope for some enhanced banding (3km NAM style) to get us to those higher totals. Probably coordinated with CLE, as Lucas and Wood counties are also in a 3-6" advisory. Nah, we all know GRR drives the WWA train (meanwhile mentioning NW bumps to be watched, lol) .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Tuesday)Issued at 147 PM EST Tue Feb 25 2020 - Snow moves in this evening with some impacts forecasted throughWednesday Overall the latest model runs are generally been in decentagreement showing the most snow to fall roughly along and south ofof a line from South Haven to near St Johns. This area roughlycovers the Winter Storm Watch region...but it does clip parts ofAllegan and Ionia counties. Since forecasted amounts are likelyto end up below warning criteria...we will change the Watch to aWinter Weather Advisory with generally 3 to 6 inches of snowforecasted. We also included Allegan and Ionia Counties as partsof those counties could see impacts...especially with US-131 andI-96 close to the steadier snow. We should maintain closemonitoring of the storm as the High Res Euro shifted the axis ofheavier snow northwest with its most recent run. This could putsoutheast parts of Kent County in some steadier snow for a period.The snow starts up by this evening. Road temperatures are likelyto be initially warm...but they will fall of through the evening.Then the snow persists into Wednesday. While daytime temperaturesmay make a run at freezing...they should fall off mid to lateafternoon as the arctic airmass starts spilling in. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Nah, we all know GRR drives the WWA train (meanwhile mentioning NW bumps to be watched, lol)Congrats on your snow. Looks like I miss out on anything by 10 miles. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Snowing harder here than I anticipated. Grass is lightly covered Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 25, 2020 Report Share Posted February 25, 2020 Grass is now covered here (LaSalle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Changeover is happening here as we speak, about 3 hours ahead of schedule. 34.8*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Changeover is happening here as we speak, about 3 hours ahead of schedule. 34.8*F.Woohoo! I think the evolution of the initial band into the overnight will play heavily into whether we can over-achieve for the event. Ratios tomorrow being the other big factor. Euro Kucheras have been very friendly in these parts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Enjoy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Woohoo! I think the evolution of the initial band into the overnight will play heavily into whether we can over-achieve for the event. Ratios tomorrow being the other big factor. Euro Kucheras have been very friendly in these parts.Dry air is gonna take over for a bit tonight. How long it takes over for will be the biggest factor. If it hits during what's supposed to be the heaviest part of the storm, I can't possibly expect more than a couple inches from this. There is a dusting on the ground. 34.9*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 @Tom did you get any snow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 @Tom did you get any snow?About an inch on grass and colder surfaces...pavement is to warm and wet. The warmth from the past couple days really did a number on the frozen ground. I just can’t help but think what this storm “could” have been when they were flashing those big totals. The wind is howling and blowing the snow sideways. Yet again, we have a storm with marginal temps and warm ground. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 It's not pessimism, there's literally a dry slot over me right now. I wasn't supposed to get more than an inch or two overnight so it's not a HUGE deal, let's just have this fill in by sunriseI spoke before I looked at radar... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 I spoke before I looked at radar... Looks good here attm. Grid-cast has 5" total. Was about 1/4" on my deck when I looked earlier. Should go poke my head outside for a current Obs. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 And to think the initial winter storm watch was issued for places as far north as Sheboygan and as far west as C IA. Pretty epic fail. Good luck Jaster! Hope you can score with this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Riding the NW edge of the solid 0.5" qpf shield, and thus GRR's 4-6" map cutting thru here looks pretty accurate. I expect to lose a lot on warm ground, but elevated surf's and remnant snow cover should stack ok. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 And to think the initial winter storm watch was issued for places as far north as Sheboygan and as far west as C IA. Pretty epic fail. Good luck Jaster! Hope you can score with this. Appreciate that SPS..epic model failures are a theme this winter, aren't they? Crazy! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Looks good here attm. Grid-cast has 5" total. Was about 1/4" on my deck when I looked earlier. Should go poke my head outside for a current Obs. Estimating 1" on my deck since it started, with about 1/2" on the concrete walks/street. Covering the pavement better than expected as my part of town seems to be quite the heat sink of warmth. As Tom said, it's been mild now for days. Kinda surprised much snow cover survived at all tbh 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 I spoke before I looked at radar... NAM likes SEMI big time. You'll be fine over there, just like all winter.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 This has some potential to give accumulations greater than 6" here in SEMI. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Some of the best snow, biggest flakes I have seen all winter right now. Unfortunately everything was to warm from the weekend so not really adding up. Streets are barely covered. But it looks nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 This has some potential to give accumulations greater than 6" here in SEMI. Good Luck buddy! RGEM agrees..5 is my number 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Good Luck buddy! RGEM agrees..5 is my number 20200226 0z RGEM.pngThanks amigo...hope you score good w this storm. Cant believe that w this type of mild Winter, Detroit manages to get its 3rd snowstorm of 6"+. Wow! I think so far, the city is at 31.6" or so (give or take). 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 While falling thru the cracks of WPC's d3-7 hazards map, I did actually get on NOAA's day-2 for Hvy Snow fwiw.. 20200225 noaa d2 Surf Map.gifGreat map! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just measured 2.1" on my deck...surprised to even have that much. Took a look at the local radar loop and it hasn't stopped snowing since about 4:30pm yesterday which in my book is about as good of a win from this system as one could expect. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Currently in a lull with 1.8" fallen so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 00z Euro...this storm just annihilates Ontario as it bombs out Thu/Fri... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 00z Euro...this storm just annihilates Ontario as it bombs out Thu/Fri...You see the rates on the 06z NAM 3k?!?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 You see the rates on the 06z NAM 3k?!?!Beautiful looking trowal feature...this is going to be an impressive looking radar in about 24 hours... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 @Kush, where are you located again? Just east of Lake Huron?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 I've been lucky to have the band of snow continue to re-develop over Cook county. Temps have dropped a tad below freezing (29F) and the snow is a little fluffier. The dendrites are nice and big about moderate size which has been the common theme with this system thus far. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2020 Report Share Posted February 26, 2020 Up to 2.5" now...the top layer has the look of puff balls...everything is covered with a nice covering of snow...it's back to Winter in this yo-yo season. Should be a nice scenery when daylight emerges and with cold temps hanging around for more than 48 hours, the snow should stick around for the longest period post-storm for any system this year (sadly). 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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