March 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

Weather seems so trivial right now. But it is a passion of mine and I think it is important for us to keep in touch with things we enjoy right now. So I will continue following it and rooting for kinds that I like. 

[jakerepp]

Weather seems so trivial right now. But it is a passion of mine and I think it is important for us to keep in touch with things we enjoy right now. So I will continue following it and rooting for kinds that I like. 

Trivial things are more important now than ever, or at least that might be true depending on how you look at it. 

[Jesse]

Trivial things are more important now than ever, or at least that might be true depending on how you look at it. 

 

I definitely get the spirit of what you are saying here.

[TT-SEA]

Sad... but does not remind you that life keeps moving on.    That is a live cam here.   There are some people there so the campus is not closed.

 

[FroYoBro]

Sad... but does not remind you that life keeps moving on.    That is a live cam here.   There are some people there so the campus is not closed.

 

 

Crappy school. Go Ducks!

[Omegaraptor]

Long range GFS shows actual SW flow followed by onshore ridging in the West. +EPO too.

 

I know, clown range GFS and all, but the fact that the final SW is starting up makes it pretty convincing that a pattern change could occur next week.

[Jesse]

Long range GFS shows actual SW flow followed by onshore ridging in the West. +EPO too.

 

I know, clown range GFS and all, but the fact that the final SW is starting up makes it pretty convincing that a pattern change could occur next week.

 

What is onshore ridging?

[Omegaraptor]

What is onshore ridging?

 

 

Where all the highest heights are actually onshore, like this (also notice SW flow):

 

 

as opposed to what we've had most of the time since early February, where all the highest heights are offshore:

 

[Jesse]

Where all the highest heights are actually onshore, like this:

 

 

 

as opposed to what we've had most of the time since early February, where all the highest heights are offshore:

 

 

 

That is generally called an inland/intermountain ridge. Or SW flow. Never have heard of the other term, I'm assuming you just made it up. 

[Omegaraptor]

That is generally called an inland/intermountain ridge. Or SW flow. Never have heard of the other term, I'm assuming you just made it up.

 

Yeah that's the term I was looking for. Thanks.

[Jesse]

Yeah that's the term I was looking for. Thanks.

 

What you said technically makes sense but sounds more confusing.

[TT-SEA]

Spent time with my family clearing out the vegetable garden today and getting it ready.   Even had help from the kids.  It was really uplifting to be working out there in the warm sun.

 

I am hoping for a mild spring and summer with normal rainfall so we have a spectacular garden and everyone else does as well.   Cold that hurts or delays crops would just add insult to injury right now.    I really hope that does not happen.

[Deweydog]

I hope it snows next winter.

[Jesse]

I hope it snows next winter.

 

Sicko.

[Deweydog]

[TT-SEA]

I hope it snows next winter.

 

I hope we are still here next winter!  

[Jesse]

But I also hope we absolutely fry this summer.

 

Good thing I'm sitting down and quarantined!

[Deweydog]

Good thing I'm sitting down and quarantined!

I’m sure there will still be plenty for you two to whine about either way...

[Jesse]

I’m sure there will still be plenty for you two to whine about either way...

And I'm sure my 1:100 ratio of complaining will give you a lot more to whine about. Mostly because I won’t be complaining about the right things, of course.

[TT-SEA]

And I'm sure my 1:100 ratio of complaining will give you a lot to whine about.

Whatever makes you feel better.

[Jesse]

Pretty evening out there. Hit a high of 56 today after a morning low of 38.

 

Tonight could get frosty again with a cool airmass in place and clear skies.

[Jesse]

18Z GFS actually had a very decent valley rain and mountain snow pattern in the mid to long range.

[snow_wizard]

18Z GFS actually had a very decent valley rain and mountain snow pattern in the mid to long range.

 

I really like the trends right now.  The runs are certainly trending colder for next week.  Could have a shot at some big minus departures once again.  Amazingly 1955 has been showing up as an analog for quite some time now

 

Meanwhile my average low over the last 10 days is at 30.6.  Probably the coldest 10 day average of the cold season.

[Jesse]

I really like the trends right now.  The runs are certainly trending colder for next week.  Could have a shot at some big minus departures once again.  Amazingly 1955 has been showing up as an analog for quite some time now

 

Meanwhile my average low over the last 10 days is at 30.6.  Probably the coldest 10 day average of the cold season.

 

Yeah I really liked the look of the 12Z Euro at points in week 2.

[MossMan]

This might be shocking to some...But I would like to see some rain. The air has been very heavy with pollen. Need a day of rain to knock it down.

[TT-SEA]

This might be shocking to some...But I would like to see some rain. The air has been very heavy with pollen. Need a day of rain to knock it down.

I agree... a day or two a week with rain (preferably warm rain) at this time of year is nice. It seems to advance the foliage faster as well.

 

Of course the way it will actually go is that we will end up with 2-3 weeks of non-stop rain again.

[Jesse]

Clear and 49 currently, DP 33. Liking my chances for another frost tonight.

[ShawniganLake]

[MossMan]

Currently 36 and clear.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

 Down to 34. 

[Jesse]

Down to 34.

 

Taken a peek at the ensemble Andrew? I’m seeing some improvement.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Taken a peek at the ensemble Andrew? I’m seeing some improvement.

 

They alright. 

[Jesse]

They alright. 

 

I thought so too Andrew.

[TT-SEA]

00Z EPS 10-15 day mean:

 

[GHweatherChris]

Frosty!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 again this morning, I will have to look, but I believe this is day 13 in a row with a freeze.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

06z had an extremely cold trough for this time of year to close the month. 

[Jesse]

Low of 32 here with some frost on the rooftops again.

 

Really liked the overall pattern on the 06z.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Low of 33 here with some frost on the rooftops again.

 

Really liked the overall pattern on the 06z.

 

Looks good for mountain snow and it is not the kind of continuous warm front drizzle pattern Tim hates. A lot of times once we get into this time of year we can have really nice mornings and showery afternoons.

[MossMan]

Had a low of 32.