March 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Despite looking more troughy on Sunday... the ECMWF still shows a dry and mild weekend.

 

Early next week looks more troughy as well and Monday is quite wet on this run.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS ensembles actually improved. 

[Jesse]

GFS ensembles actually improved. 

 

Andrew

[Timmy]

GFS ensembles actually improved.

me trying to determine what someone’s opinion of “improved” means this time of year...

[jakerepp]

So golf courses stay open and it's gonna be around 60 and sunny on Saturday....yeah, I think I know what I'm doing.

[TT-SEA]

me trying to determine what someone’s opinion of “improved” means this time of year...

Obviously for Jesse and Andrew... improved means cold and wet year round. And the opposite for me. Easy.

[TT-SEA]

So golf courses stay open and it's gonna be around 60 and sunny on Saturday....yeah, I think I know what I'm doing.

Maybe you and everyone else!

 

I really think the weather this week is a big help mentally for people... compared to if it had been dark and raining all week. We can't go anywhere but it's just nice to be outside.

[TacomaWaWx]

31 degrees this morning freeze 26 this cold season.

[TacomaWaWx]

Maybe you and everyone else!

I really think the weather this week is a big help mentally for people... compared to if it had been dark and raining all week. We can't go anywhere but it's just nice to be outside.

weather has been fantastic...great time to have some really nice weather. Have had some great sunrises and sunsets the past few days too.

[Jesse]

Wind died off and the temperature fell to 28 this morning.

[Jesse]

Ensprovement.

[ShawniganLake]

Ensprovement.

Virus spreading weather.

[Jesse]

Virus spreading weather.

 

Not looking nearly as warm as Italy in the coming days.

[AlTahoe]

It took till March 15th but winter finally showed up. I recorded 35" of snow at my house in 48 hours. Totals at lake level were between 30-50". Ski resorts totals are in the 70-100" range (all closed for the year). It was a true classic Sierra snow storm! 

[Jesse]

It took till March 15th but winter finally showed up. I recorded 35" of snow at my house in 48 hours. Totals at lake level were between 30-50". Ski resorts totals are in the 70-100" range (all closed for the year). It was a true classic Sierra snow storm! 

 

That's awesome news! for the virus

[Jesse]

The models have trended toward cutting that late week ULL so far to the SW that it opens the door for chilly systems to drop down on the region in NNW flow by the latter half of the weekend.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF is drier than you would think given the pattern shown next week.

[Omegaraptor]

I was kind of concerned we were going to enter a wet SW flow pattern. Luckily it looks to remain drier than average with rainshadowed NW flow continuing!

[Deweydog]

EPS?????????

[BLI snowman]

It took till March 15th but winter finally showed up. I recorded 35" of snow at my house in 48 hours. Totals at lake level were between 30-50". Ski resorts totals are in the 70-100" range (all closed for the year). It was a true classic Sierra snow storm! 

 

Some cruel irony that the ski resorts there finally get clobbered but have to be closed for something totally non-weather related.

[Prairiedog]

All U of Wyoming dorm students have to e out of their dorms by April 5.  On top of that our daughter came down with Mono and is too sick to fly so yep, on our way to Laramie in the early morning to pick her up.  We'll drive to Jerome ID day one, then to Laramie, day two so a marathon run.   What will make this trip memorable is that from when we leave Salt Lake City and travel up through  Park City on day two we will be heading into the teeth of a pretty good snowstorm.  3-6" of blowing and drifting snow., gusts to 30.    I guess this will be my chance to enjoy what I didn't get to this winter.  This could be interesting.  I'm good at driving in snow but the blowing and drifting will make it a little white knuckle.  We'll see how far we get Thurs.  4-wheel drive Tahoe should git er done.  Just don't drop the hiway gates on me. 

56f in Laramie today.  I'll try to run in front of the camera on Friday.  

[TT-SEA]

EPS?????????

 

 

Sort of a continuation of the same basic pattern in the 10-15 day period...

 

[Omegaraptor]

Sort of a continuation of the same basic pattern in the 10-15 day period...

 

 

Precip?

[TT-SEA]

Precip?

 

[umadbro]

All U of Wyoming dorm students have to e out of their dorms by April 5. On top of that our daughter came down with Mono and is too sick to fly so yep, on our way to Laramie in the early morning to pick her up. We'll drive to Jerome ID day one, then to Laramie, day two so a marathon run. What will make this trip memorable is that from when we leave Salt Lake City and travel up through Park City on day two we will be heading into the teeth of a pretty good snowstorm. 3-6" of blowing and drifting snow., gusts to 30. I guess this will be my chance to enjoy what I didn't get to this winter. This could be interesting. I'm good at driving in snow but the blowing and drifting will make it a little white knuckle. We'll see how far we get Thurs. 4-wheel drive Tahoe should git er done. Just don't drop the hiway gates on me.

56f in Laramie today. I'll try to run in front of the camera on Friday.

Run out and get a dash cam if you don't have one already. Could be good footage of the drive.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I have a good Laramie snow memory from May 2007. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Today was our 11th straight low below freezing. Not bad for March. 

[Timmy Supercell]

I'm back home now. Did I miss a thunder/snow earlier? At 5pm KLMT recorded 39 and thunder, then snow at 6pm. Came back to an easy 1" to 1.5" on most surfaces. A little bit melted from roads.

 

The OBS do look believable after checking radar loops, a few isolated returns around 45 dbz.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF is locked in on wet weather for next Monday on recent runs.

[snow_wizard]

Kind of interesting to see the models trending very slowly toward the troughing next week digging more directly over us instead of off the coast.  Pretty possible we will see another round of continental cold sometime in the next two weeks with the persistent GOA blocking.  The real kicker would be if the PV collapses and gets driven toward us with the high amplitude blocking.

[snow_wizard]

Monday morning was certainly a disppointment.  There was such amazing potential for a remarakbly cold morning and all we could manage was mostly mid 20s to low 30s.  Somewhat impressively I've had three consecutive lows of 28 or lower and a month to date average low of 33.6.

[Jesse]

Seems like any sort of remotely interesting weather going forward keeps getting kicked down the road.

[GHweatherChris]

Nice day!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hit 32 this morning. 12th straight freeze. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ensemble improvements. 

[Jesse]

Good looking Euro run. Just need to get through the next 4-5 days then some more reasonable weather down the road.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS 10-15 day mean:

 

[Deweydog]

Alaska

[Jesse]

Alaska

 

Not very baked!

[Omegaraptor]

Really glad Alaska stays cold after all the torching the last 5 years. They deserve it.