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July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions


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55 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We definitely get more genuine systems in the second half of August and September.   But in terms of just sun angle and long nights causing the marine layer to stick around... that usually happens in mid October.    The murky goo season... when I start cheering for an active jet stream to keep things mixed!

Last October was so weird because we had those warm summer-like days with the low sun angle and weak upper-level flow. The main thing I remember is the nocturnal drainage flows from the Cascades having extra oomph and bringing smoke from US-2 down into Everett every night. Then the northerlies would pick up midday and push it south into Seattle. 

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27 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Last October was so weird because we had those warm summer-like days with the low sun angle and weak upper-level flow. The main thing I remember is the nocturnal drainage flows from the Cascades having extra oomph and bringing smoke from US-2 down into Everett every night. Then the northerlies would pick up midday and push it south into Seattle. 

It was a nightmare scenario for the Seattle area last October given where that fire was located.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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53 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It was a nightmare scenario for the Seattle area last October given where that fire was located.    

I ended up surviving the worst of it in West Seattle. The smoke was annoying and lasted forever but I think my AQI stayed below 150 for the most part. North and east of me wasn’t so lucky. 

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Overall perfect day up here.  It did get a little warm for my liking about 4pm when it hit 77, but was otherwise amazing with a nice breeze blowing most of the day.  The fire out at Diablo grew to 20 acres last I saw, and it appears that KBLI has become an afternoon pitstop for the water bombers.  We had a 4 ship of Air Tractor water bombers fly to the south of my house and they had a Blue Angels show routine going.  They started out in a finger 4 and appeared to transition to a diamond formation right before I lost sight of them.  When they flew back out they flew down I5 to Hwy 20 and cut over so I didn't get to see them.

A couple of hours later we had a couple of Canadair CL415 buzz our house on their way to KBLI.  They flew back up via Lake Whatcom, I could hear them but not see them.

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57 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Overall perfect day up here.  It did get a little warm for my liking about 4pm when it hit 77, but was otherwise amazing with a nice breeze blowing most of the day.  The fire out at Diablo grew to 20 acres last I saw, and it appears that KBLI has become an afternoon pitstop for the water bombers.  We had a 4 ship of Air Tractor water bombers fly to the south of my house and they had a Blue Angels show routine going.  They started out in a finger 4 and appeared to transition to a diamond formation right before I lost sight of them.  When they flew back out they flew down I5 to Hwy 20 and cut over so I didn't get to see them.

A couple of hours later we had a couple of Canadair CL415 buzz our house on their way to KBLI.  They flew back up via Lake Whatcom, I could hear them but not see them.

Fortunately there are more resources than fires right now so they can squash these little ones before they blow up. But it’s not going away entirely and if the easterlies make an appearance before the fall rains it will be trouble.

In other news, the onshore flow was really strong this evening, I bet it will be nice and cool in the morning. 

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Looks like we got up to 84F. Absolutely beautiful, warm summer day.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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8 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

It was a nightmare scenario for the Seattle area last October given where that fire was located.    

Yes...a nightmare scenario for Seattle -.-

Driving to my home for a month looked kinda like driving into the gates of hell lol

Edit: anyone know what happened to Snow_Wizard? He hasn't been on since April. I know summer ain't his bag, but I've never seen him bail on this place for so long.

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2 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

Yes...a nightmare scenario for Seattle -.-

Driving to my home for a month looked kinda like driving into the gates of hell lol

Edit: anyone know what happened to Snow_Wizard? He hasn't been on since April. I know summer ain't his bag, but I've never seen him bail on this place for so long.

My guess is that he will be back the first time a cool autumn front shows up in the clown range.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

Yes...a nightmare scenario for Seattle -.-

Driving to my home for a month looked kinda like driving into the gates of hell lol

Edit: anyone know what happened to Snow_Wizard? He hasn't been on since April. I know summer ain't his bag, but I've never seen him bail on this place for so long.

I’ve seen him dip out for 3-6 months before. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Pleasant 47 this morning. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Forecast high of 94 now at SLE next Sunday. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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13 hours ago, T-Town said:

The temp is perfect so it’s not too bad but it would get old if I lived here. 

The bright side of living somewhere that sees a lot of gusts is that the grid is built for it. We have lost power more than a few minutes almost never. We bought an expensive generator thinking we would have a situation like EWA had maybe 2015 (What year was it??) when the east side of the state was out of power in the fall or winter for almost a week. We've never had to use our generator. Yet I live in one of the windiest places, in the foothills of the Blue mountains of WA.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 hour ago, LowerGarfield said:

The bright side of living somewhere that sees a lot of gusts is that the grid is built for it. We have lost power more than a few minutes almost never. We bought an expensive generator thinking we would have a situation like EWA had maybe 2015 (What year was it??) when the east side of the state was out of power in the fall or winter for almost a week. We've never had to use our generator. Yet I live in one of the windiest places, in the foothills of the Blue mountains of WA.

we thought about generator here, but my neighborhood utilities are underground.  we've had maybe 3 power outages in 5.5 years that lasted more than 5 minutes. (the feeder lines that are up the street are above ground)

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In the 5 years we have been at our current location we have probably totaled almost 4 weeks worth of power outages. Shortest being about 10 hours and the longest being just under 5 days. Average is about a 2 day outage. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

Anyone else noticing yellow jackets drastically increasing in number?

Yes, but that seems fairly typical for this time of year. My wife and daughter both got stung last week, I took down 7 nests from the eaves of the house this weekend, but just discovered a big one I missed that will be much more difficult to access. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Anyone else noticing yellow jackets drastically increasing in number?

Yep as Andrew says, typical this time of year. I keep honeybees so I have to be especially vigilant. The traps that you can get at Home Depot are quite effective. Ideally you should trap in March to catch the queens, use a sweet bait in spring and a protein bait (or whatever comes standard with those traps) this time of year. 

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5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Thankfully, no more reports of Asian giant hornets (i.e. “murder hornets”) this year. No news is good news.

didn't they apparently tag bees and track it back to what they think was the 'master' nest for these things and eradicate it last year?

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2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

didn't they apparently tag bees and track it back to what they think was the 'master' nest for these things and eradicate it last year?

None were found last year, either. The last sightings were in 2021, and a nest was eradicated. Cautiously optimistic that they have been extirpated, although with global trade, another invasion is inevitable at some point.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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The use of those radio trackers to find the nest was brilliant. I guess that is one advantage to those hornets being gigantic. It's nice to have one less thing to worry about for now. I was never concerned that they would be allowed to establish in populated areas but it would not be fun to have those nests around in remote parts of the Cascades where accidentally stepping on one could be the end.

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53 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yes, but that seems fairly typical for this time of year. My wife and daughter both got stung last week, I took down 7 nests from the eaves of the house this weekend, but just discovered a big one I missed that will be much more difficult to access. 

 

8XGK.gif

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28 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The use of those radio trackers to find the nest was brilliant. I guess that is one advantage to those hornets being gigantic. It's nice to have one less thing to worry about for now. I was never concerned that they would be allowed to establish in populated areas but it would not be fun to have those nests around in remote parts of the Cascades where accidentally stepping on one could be the end.

Other invasive insects have become established and been REAL problems. Gypsy moths, elm beetles, fire ants, etc. Mostly quite some time ago before the long-term costs of complacency and inaction were known. The apparent extirpation of the giant hornets is a victory for government taking action (and international cooperation, nests were found and extirpated on both sides of the US/Canada border).

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Other invasive insects have become established and been REAL problems. Gypsy moths, elm beetles, fire ants, etc. Mostly quite some time ago before the long-term costs of complacency and inaction were known. The apparent extirpation of the giant hornets is a victory for government taking action (and international cooperation, nests were found and extirpated on both sides of the US/Canada border).

The fact those ash borers are in Oregon now is very depressing. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The fact those ash borers are in Oregon now is very depressing. 

Yeah, if I had an ash tree I would just cut it down now and start over. My parents had a nice healthy one in Wisconsin that they initially treated every year to keep the ash borers away. Initially they left the tree alone but after the easy targets were all killed they finished off the trees that had been treated as well. 

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5 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Yeah, if I had an ash tree I would just cut it down now and start over. My parents had a nice healthy one in Wisconsin that they initially treated every year to keep the ash borers away. Initially they left the tree alone but after the easy targets were all killed they finished off the trees that had been treated as well. 

I would wait for the borers to kill it.

If one in a million ash trees are resistant, that is still a few trees. The survivors can then be bred.

One of the reasons the American chestnut got destroyed by the blight is that people figured they were all doomed and logged them. Scattered blight-resistant chestnut trees have been located, and are the subject of breeding programs, but there could have been a lot more to work with.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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