Cloud Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Really too bad the calendar doesn’t say it’s winter. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: November is my favorite month. Highest windstorm potential, snow potential, just big storms in general potential! July is my second favorite. Summertime weather without the smoke yet. Third is December! Did you say windstorm? I love windstorms my top favorite weather event, Thunderstorms second and snow third. 1 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Tuesday looks exciting. Seattle is in a great spot to maximize lift and instability. Storms should be #whet too and with the rain coming immediately afterward, fire concerns should be limited. 4 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted August 27, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Really too bad the calendar doesn’t say it’s winter. That would be a 50 degree rain pattern for the lowlands. Which honestly does sound really nice right now. 5 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Really too bad the calendar doesn’t say it’s winter. At face value that would just be frustrating warm rain with the cold air being blocked. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: That would be a 50 degree rain pattern for the lowlands. Which honestly does sound really nice right now. 50 degrees rain in the winter is better than no rain! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 11 minutes ago, MossMan said: November is my favorite month. Highest windstorm potential, snow potential, just big storms in general potential! July is my second favorite. Summertime weather without the smoke yet. Third is December! Feb-Apr is the best time of year. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: At face value that would just be frustrating warm rain with the cold air being blocked. Yes. Yes! you get it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 12z CMC is also a PNW summer-ender. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 18 minutes ago, Cloud said: Yes. Yes! you get it. Its not too different in September either.... that pattern would be 60-degree rain. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 17 minutes ago, Phil said: 12z CMC is also a PNW summer-ender. You are a walking jinx dude. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: You are a walking jinx dude. That’s Jim. Otherwise late July would’ve been 115°F. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted August 27, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Phil said: That’s Jim. Otherwise late July would’ve been 115°F. If these runs verify then it’s countdown time until the rain complaints/anxiety outpace all heat complaints this summer by about a hundred-fold. I see it’s already starting… Edited August 27, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx 2 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 39 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said: Did you say windstorm? I love windstorms my top favorite weather event, Thunderstorms second and snow third. Me too!! Though not many others on here like windstorms…Especially Jim! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 43 minutes ago, Cloud said: Really too bad the calendar doesn’t say it’s winter. This would still be wonderful. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Phil said: Summer going down kicking and screaming. Looks to be the warmest nationwide stretch of the season. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 15 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: If these runs verify then it’s countdown time until the rain complaints/anxiety outpace all heat complaints this summer by about a hundred-fold. I see it’s already starting… You are starting early this year! I am sure next warm season won't humble you again. Side note... there were almost no complaints from anyone all of last winter. Lots cold and snow and sun mixed in with the rainy periods Look it up and take a break from your annual attack mode. Nature will just punish you again. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Fingers crossed 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted August 27, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Weather round up for the past few days. Ended up with a 92/62 yesterday, hot with hazy and smoky skies and large pyrocumulus from the Camp Creek fire visible to the east at times. Low of 60 this morning, now 72, hazy and partly cloudy. Maybe a notch or two cooler today than yesterday, then temps move more decidedly downhill going into the work week. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 12Z ECMWF still looks good. Also shows lots of lightning around Vancouver Island on Monday. And the 70+ streak definitely ends Tuesday. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Diablo Dam currently reporting an AQI of 820. 4 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 One-two punch to knock out the fire season in western WA with another system rolling though on Thursday with highs even cooler than Tuesday. Wednesday looks like really nice (smoke-free) day in between with highs in the mid 70s and partly cloudy. 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 That Thursday system really focuses on western OR which would be great since they don't get much down there on Tuesday. 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Total rain per the 12Z ECMWF through Friday morning. This should be the end of the smoke for this year. In stark contrast to last year when the worst was just getting started in early September. 7 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Total rain per the 12Z ECMWF through Friday morning. This should be the end of the smoke for this year. In stark contrast to last year when the worst was just getting started in early September. I’m sure September will have some days in the 70s-low 80s but overall fall is seeming to show up earlier than normal this year. Much different than last year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I’m sure September will have some days in the 70s-low 80s but overall fall is seeming to show up earlier than normal this year. Much different than last year. For sure... makes sense given that summer started about 2 months earlier this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: November is my favorite month. Highest windstorm potential, snow potential, just big storms in general potential! July is my second favorite. Summertime weather without the smoke yet. Third is December! November is as dynamic as it gets. March and April are pretty lousy months here. It's still too cold to be comfortable for many outdoor activities but almost never snows and tropical origin systems are pretty much done by then. I'll be in Palm Springs in November this year so I'm expecting there will be a blizzard while I'm away. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: November is as dynamic as it gets. March and April are pretty lousy months here. It's still too cold to be comfortable for many outdoor activities but almost never snows and tropical origin systems are pretty much done by then. I'll be in Palm Springs in November this year so I'm expecting there will be a blizzard while I'm away. Totally agree about March and April... usually my least favorite months. I don't mind November as expectations are low and days are very short. We will also be in Palm Springs in November. Weather will still be warm but the sun goes down very early even down there. 2 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: For sure... makes sense given that summer started about 2 months earlier this year. I am noticing some deciduous trees already beginning to turn. Probably because of the remarkably consistent warmth and dryness since late April. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Just for fun... total rain over next 10 days per 12Z ECMWF. Might be enough to salvage some fall color. Last year was the worst year I can ever remember for fall color. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said: I am noticing some deciduous trees already beginning to turn. Probably because of the remarkably consistent warmth and dryness since late April. Leaf out was late again this year... then we went right from winter to summer in late April. I was expecting leaves to hang on longer again this year but they are probably giving up now after so much warm/dry weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Damn I’m an an outcast here, I love Mar/Apr. Always dynamic even in the most tame years. Severe thunderstorms, snowstorms, and high winds. Sometimes all in the same day. September is by comparison. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 12 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: November is as dynamic as it gets. March and April are pretty lousy months here. It's still too cold to be comfortable for many outdoor activities but almost never snows and tropical origin systems are pretty much done by then. I'll be in Palm Springs in November this year so I'm expecting there will be a blizzard while I'm away. The best skiing of the entire season is often in March. I take it you’re not into winter sports? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Totally agree about March and April... usually my least favorite months. I don't mind November as expectations are low and days are very short. We will also be in Palm Springs in November. Weather will still be warm but the sun goes down very early even down there. This will be my first time in Palm Springs. It looks like the weather in November there is really similar to what we typically get in July. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Leaf out was late again this year... then we went right from winter to summer in late April. I was expecting leaves to hang on longer again this year but they are probably giving up now after so much warm/dry weather. Mother in law already activated the passive aggressive leaf removal notification system. Very early. Speaking of mothers, today is mom’s 70th birthday! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 21 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: November is as dynamic as it gets. March and April are pretty lousy months here. It's still too cold to be comfortable for many outdoor activities but almost never snows and tropical origin systems are pretty much done by then. I'll be in Palm Springs in November this year so I'm expecting there will be a blizzard while I'm away. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: The best skiing of the entire season is often in March. True, the climate at the higher altitudes diverges further from the lowlands at that time of year. You do have to contend with sun making for slushier snow at that time of year on sunny days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 9 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: This will be my first time in Palm Springs. It looks like the weather in November there is really similar to what we typically get in July. Temp is usually July-like but doesn't feel like it with the sun coming in from the side rather than from above. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 Who is ready for meteorological fall this Friday? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF still looks good. Also shows lots of lightning around Vancouver Island on Monday. And the 70+ streak definitely ends Tuesday. 5am looks amazing 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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