August 2023 Observations and Discussion

[CentralNebWeather]

Storms hitting again. Goodness. 

[Clinton]

July had more severe weather reports than any other month this year.  August doesn't want to be out done, very active through the weekend.

Today:

Friday:

Sat:

Sunday:

Monday:

[CentralNebWeather]

6:55 am. This was not forecasted at all. 

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

If we get the big storms tonight that they are predicting, we might be under water. I’m waiting until the torrential rain stops to check the gauge. This adds to the 1.10” from yesterday. 

[Clinton]

6 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

If we get the big storms tonight that they are predicting, we might be under water. I’m waiting until the torrential rain stops to check the gauge. This adds to the 1.10” from yesterday. 

WPC thinking like you are.

[CentralNebWeather]

Now I’m in a flood advisory. 

[chescowxman]

A pretty progressive and generally near normal temperature pattern looks to continue over the next week. Humidity will be a bit higher then the last couple days but still below normal temps. Rain chances increase tomorrow into the evening but then another beautiful weekend with temps rising to slightly above normal on Sunday before another cold front swings through on Monday drop us back to normal to slightly below.

Records for today: High 96 (1957) / Low 48 (1964) / Rain 1.36" (1898)

[CentralNebWeather]

1.60” so far as of 8:40 am, with moderate rain continuing. Looks like most parts of the county are between 1.50-2.0”. 
 

Update at 10:20 am - looks like 1.80” will be my final total as the last of the rain is ending. 

[bud2380]

 

Euro with some solid rain totals forecast for the weekend.  Hope we get some here.  

 

[Andie]

105* at 4:20. 
“ Mad dogs and Englishmen go out in the noon day sun.”  
A golfer just hopped on to the 8th green. Perky as a spring lamb!  Or balmy!!

We’ll see 106* briefly today.  Interesting experience in survival.  Glad it doesn’t do this very often.  
Looking forward to Fall.

[CentralNebWeather]

This would 3 straight days of early morning storm events. 

 

[Clinton]

Looks like an exciting weather day Sunday for Illinois and Indiana.

Reed Timmer Extreme Meteorologist 

 

SUNDAY sure is looking significant for severe weather and #tornado potential across IL/IN. I will likely have to reactivate storm chase mode for this setup. Monday also looks interesting in OH/PA. August looks nuts!

[jcwxguy]

Today 

[Hawkeye]

13 hours ago, bud2380 said:

 

Euro with some solid rain totals forecast for the weekend.  Hope we get some here.  

 

Unfortunately, models are drying up for our area.  Some op models now have little rain here.  The EPS is down to a half inch.  The problem is the initial weak waves are now going south, and then the main wave pushes through too early Sunday.

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday was 85/63. Officially there was no rain fall, here in MBY I recorded 0.01” of rain. There was 79% of possible sunshine the highest wind gust was 26MPH out of the west. For today the average H/L is 82/63 the record high of 96 was set in 1988 the record low was a chilly 42 in 1894 in Lansing it was a colder 37 on that date. The record rain fall amounted is 2.12” in 1905. Last year the H/L was 86/70 with a trace of rain fall.

Today and tomorrow at this time look to be chamber of commerce type days with lots of sun and highs in the low 80’s and lows in the low to mid 60’s. Come Sunday that looks to change as we have a chance of some rain that could be heavy. Next week looks to be a little cooler than average with several chances of showers.

[CentralNebWeather]

Raining again as of 5:45 am. Was in a watch overnight, but those storms primarily stayed west of me in Nebraska and southwest into Kansas. Now I’m just seeing forecasts are upping the storm chances for tonight and again Saturday when the actual cold front rolls through. 

[Clinton]

Off and on rain has added up to .60 in the last 24hrs.  Its been great for the lawns along with the cloudy humid weather, there should be a good chance for some heavy rain this evening and then a better chance Saturday night along with some severe weather.  I'll be headed into the Ozarks for a float trip this weekend on the Current River near Eminence, MO. the weather looks to be ok, hope we can dodge the storms during the day Sat.

[Andie]

This thing just drones on and on affecting much of this forum. The south central area remains under the gun. 
Check out the article in the climate forum posted yesterday on potential cause of the heat. It’s certainly heightened this stubborn system.  

 

[Clinton]

Drought conditions have improve for much of Missouri but that stubborn band of D3 that runs through mby has been tough to break.  The next few days might crack it.

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

0.30” as of 8 am. 
3.10” total since Wednesday morning. More tonight and tomorrow. 

[chescowxman]

Following clouds today and showers tonight It looks like a great weekend ahead across the area. Sunshine low humidity and temps in the low to mid-80's should make for a near perfect summer weekend! Our next chance of showers following this evening looks to be Monday night before another stretch of pleasant near normal days kick in again for most of next week.

Records for today: High 98 (1944) / Low 47 (1951) / Rain 5.83" (2020)

[Andie]

101* at 1:30.  
We’ll see 104/5 today.  
However, in Arkansas the taco party went south when the nacho cheese took a detour. 

[Andie]

5:30 and 105*

(feels like 109)

Cheese party cancelled.

[Tom]

35 minutes ago, Andie said:

5:30 and 105*

(feels like 109)

Cheese party cancelled.

It’s 78F/58F with a wind off the lake.  About as perfect of a Friday night you can ask for in Aug.  When those first autumn fronts make it down by you, you’re gonna have to celebrate one way or another!  I can’t imagine living in that heat and humidity for weeks on end.  

[Stormy]

11 hours ago, Clinton said:

Drought conditions have improve for much of Missouri but that stubborn band of D3 that runs through mby has been tough to break.  The next few days might crack it.

 

 

The drought has worsened to the severe category again in my area after being in the moderate rating for a few weeks. Was rated severe earlier in July also. 

About all the models are showing a band of heavy rain cross southern Iowa/northern Missouri tonight. I might get the northern edge. I wish it would be further north. 

[CentralNebWeather]

It’s like a broken record. Another Severe Thunderstorm Watch. I couldn’t begin to count how many we’ve had this summer. Storms should roll in after 10 pm. It is hard to describe how wet it is around here. The drought monitor is way off imo. 

 

[Stormy]

I like this day three excessive rainfall outlook from the WPC. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning just issued. Line of storms about 30 miles west of me heading east. 
 

Edit:  storms have arrived. 

 

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 85/64. There was no rainfall. There has been no rain fall this month so far. Since June 1st there has been 7.46” that is a departure of -0.83” YTD the total is 23.49” a departure of +0.18” There were 0 Heating Degree Days for the month 0 since June 1st 28 for a departure of -15. There were 10 Cooling Degree Days so far this month 31 for a departure of -1, since June 1st there have been 404 for a departure of -29 and YTD there have been 444 for a departure of -40. The highest wind gust yesterday was 17MPH out of the north. For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high is 100 set in 1947 and the record low of 44 was set in 1978. At Lansing the record low for today is 35 set in 1864. So far this summer there have been 9 days of 90 or better at Grand Rapids the average for a summer season is 10. There has been just one night when the low has not gotten below 70 we are well below the average of 9 for a summer season.

[Hawkeye]

The low passing by far southeast Iowa really dumped a bucket overnight.  Local weather stations in the Keokuk to Burlington area have gotten 4-8 inches.

[OttumwaSnomow]

2 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

The low passing by far southeast Iowa really dumped a bucket overnight.  Local weather stations in the Keokuk to Burlington area have gotten 4-8 inches.

Well this sys literally  dumped  inches west south and east of me!!!  And tues nites dumped  torrential  rains west and south of me.  In 2023 Ive recorded just one rain over 1 inch, in march!!! Ridiculous.  Pond keeps dropping and creeks bone dry for months.   But Ive gotten  alot of crumbs. In past week 1 inch has rained on 5 occasions. So things are growing  good.

[Stormy]

2 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

The low passing by far southeast Iowa really dumped a bucket overnight.  Local weather stations in the Keokuk to Burlington area have gotten 4-8 inches.

Yes it looked like a mini hurricane spinning like a top on radar! 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DVN-N0B-0-200-100-usa-rad

[OKwx2k4]

I'm so glad models whiffed on this one. Radar looking pretty nice.

 

[chescowxman]

How chilly has it been? Well 19 of the last 22 days have featured below average temperatures here in Western Chester County. This weekend we should see temps averaging close to normal. Shower chances increase Sunday night through early Tuesday but most days except Monday this week should feature plenty of sunshine.

Records for today: High 99 (1930) / Low 45 (1951) / Rain 1.41" (1987)

[Andie]

15 hours ago, Tom said:

It’s 78F/58F with a wind off the lake.  About as perfect of a Friday night you can ask for in Aug.  When those first autumn fronts make it down by you, you’re gonna have to celebrate one way or another!  I can’t imagine living in that heat and humidity for weeks on end.  

In truth it’s manageable with a/c, however the air pressure and stagnation get to you.  I’ve done this all my life so what doesn’t kill ya…..Native Texans are a breed of their own I guess.

The first beautiful day in the 80’s I will celebrate with an “adult beverage” on the patio!!! Promise!   High 106/7 today.  

[Timmy Supercell]

Sun/Monday are now two days in a row of Slight Risks shading my area. 

We started off the month a tad quiet and with cooler highs as well.

[hawkstwelve]

Looks like it could get a little interesting this afternoon.

 

[Hoosier]

3 hours ago, Stormy said:

Yes it looked like a mini hurricane spinning like a top on radar! 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DVN-N0B-0-200-100-usa-rad

Overnight afd from LOT actually mentioned that it had some loose tropical characteristics.

Upper-air
plots and soundings indicate that the wave has gained a loosely
warm-core response in the lower half of the troposphere, with low-
level winds near the center of the low reaching as high as 50 mph
in convection.

[Hoosier]

Somebody south of me might get bombed with heavy rain.  GFS is farther north and puts it over me, but other models and radar trends suggest that farther south is more likely.

[Hawkeye]

The new Euro is not in yet, but all other models have abandoned southern Wisconsin.  The swath of heavy rain now tracks from nw through ec/se Iowa and then turns east.  The NAM and 3kNAM actually miss me southwest.