December 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Snownerd3000]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

I predicted the Huskies would win 34-31 and I nailed the final score! Now I’m feeling lucky and I’m going to call an Arctic Blast and PNW regional snowstorm mid to late January!

 

[Requiem]

now the number one huskies hater not taking any questions 

[Snownerd3000]

3 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

I predicted the Huskies would win 34-31 and I nailed the final score! Now I’m feeling lucky and I’m going to call an Arctic Blast and PNW regional snowstorm mid to late January!

 

If that blast comes, gonna call you Damus. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Here's the full run of the 00Z GFS. The extended forecast looks interesting but it probably will change. 

[Cold Snap]

Snoqualmie river is now projected to hit almost major flood stage.

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

Just now, Cold Snap said:

Snoqualmie river is now projected to hit almost major flood stage.

I like rain but I don't like major floods. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Up to 1.17" storm total, 0.79" since midnight. 39.4˚F.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 1

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

45 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

Here's the full run of the 00Z GFS. The extended forecast looks interesting but it probably will change. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

[Cold Snap]

40 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

I like rain but I don't like major floods. 

Yeah major flooding can be a problem around here because once the river gets into that stage it gets high enough to close 203 north into Monroe and south into carnation. Once it gets to over 60 feet then every road out of Duvall closes and we become what they call an “island” because we can’t get out of Duvall.

[smerfylicious]

9 hours ago, MossMan said:

Skykomish looks fun right now! 

 

It was so fun looking that we drove out there and enjoyed some winter wonderland-ness  It was snowing 5 minutes from my house. My annoyance was maximal.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Kolk1604]

1 hour ago, Cold Snap said:

Snoqualmie river is now projected to hit almost major flood stage.

We're pretty lucky that the mountain snowpack is pretty much non existant before this event. It would be a lot worse if there was snow. Puyallup not expected to flood. 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Gradient Keeper]

00z CMCE - Moses Lake, Surface Temps. Canadian ensembles going with a major Columbia Basin cold pool. Hmmm....

[Gradient Keeper]

Back to the Euro. Day 8

[Phishy Wx]

upped

[MossMan]

33 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

It was so fun looking that we drove out there and enjoyed some winter wonderland-ness  It was snowing 5 minutes from my house. My annoyance was maximal.

I almost made the 25 minute drive out to Lake Cavanaugh as I’m sure they were getting snow but the day ended up being a bit too busy. 

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

upped

I would have never thought that the spokane area is considered the "lowlands" 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[MossMan]

Up to .80” on the day. 
Raining and 39 currently. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10 Messy. I assume the EPS will feature a stronger ridge.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

00z gfs was nice. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF re-cap. 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temps, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall

[Cold Snap]

1 hour ago, Kolk1604 said:

We're pretty lucky that the mountain snowpack is pretty much non existant before this event. It would be a lot worse if there was snow. Puyallup not expected to flood. 

 

Most of the rivers shouldn’t flood too bad because there’s not really a snowpack built up yet. But The Snoqualmie river is pretty flood prone.

[North_County]

1 hour ago, Kolk1604 said:

We're pretty lucky that the mountain snowpack is pretty much non existant before this event. It would be a lot worse if there was snow. Puyallup not expected to flood. 

 

Flooding is always a big concern in my area this time of year. I feel pretty confident the Nooksack will stay in its banks this time around. But I've been fielding a lot of questions from anxious friends and family who have been reading things on Facebook. They're learning not to stress until I'm stressed; and if I'm stressed, start moving things up.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

About time we had some real rain. 

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

About time we had some real rain. 

[smerfylicious]

Perfect time to relax with my favorite Leavenworth webcam:
 

I do wish they'd invest in making the pedestrian street more of a woonerf-style, instead of it clearly having been a 2 way road through the heart for the last 40 years. Why pedestrianize it if you're not going to make it feel more pedestrian friendly? Just feels like I'm walking in a road when I'm there. Any ideas @Brian_in_Leavenworth

[Gradient Keeper]

[Gradient Keeper]

00z WRF 1.33km hi-res forecast some pretty strong wind gusts for the Willamette Valley overnight into early Saturday morning. If this is correct gusts 35-45mph+ are expected with the highest gusts probably just south of PDX. This looks to peak 3-6 AM.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z EPS same signal as the CMCE showing a considerable cold pool to develop.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z WRF 1.33km hi-res forecast some pretty strong wind gusts for the Willamette Valley overnight into early Saturday morning. If this is correct gusts 35-45mph+ are expected with the highest gusts probably just south of PDX. This looks to peak 3-6 AM.

Probably the latest into the season I’ve gone without a power outage. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Wind Advisory just issued.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Portland OR
1234 AM PST Sat Dec 2 2023

Greater Portland Metro Area-Central Willamette Valley-
South Willamette Valley-Greater Vancouver Area-
Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,
Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Salem, McMinnville, Woodburn,
Stayton, Dallas, Eugene, Springfield, Corvallis, Albany, Lebanon,
Vancouver, Battle Ground, Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt,
and Amboy

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with
  gusts up to 40-45 mph expected. For the High Wind Watch, south
  winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45-50 mph possible.

* WHERE...In Oregon, Greater Portland Metro Area, Central
  Willamette Valley and South Willamette Valley. In Washington,
  Greater Vancouver Area.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, 2 AM until 10 AM PST this
  morning. For the High Wind Watch, from late tonight through
  Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/portland