MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 4.58 rain today 7.04 month. This is nuts. 1 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 3 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Heck with the Euro and the GFS, I’m going with my Davis Forecast. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 5, 2023 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Some heavy precip rates could make things interesting... 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 At least the 0z GF and GEFS are trending a bit chillier after the AR again. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Really nothing notable here the last few days but a lot of nasty warmth. 58/45 yesterday with morning rain then cloudy and drizzly much of the daylight and evening hours. 63/51 today, overcast with drizzle at times and balmy. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Is it seriously 67 at PDX right now? F*cked up. 1 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Speaking of chillier. Check out this ridiculous change on the 0z ECMWF vs the 12z. 5 1 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Is it seriously 67 at PDX right now? F*cked up. Kind of seems like something that might be made up for. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 This makes me feel much better. I hated the last few model runs before this. Right now the models are struggling with how strong the current MJO wave will be as it moves through the Maritime Continent and on to regions 6 and 7. The part of the circuit that has big implications for cold in the NW. 7 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 31 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 4.58 rain today 7.04 month. This is nuts. Crazy how much more rain you've gotten than places like OLM and Shelton. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Kind of seems like something that might be made up for. Maybe this is just making up for our mildly notable late November chilly spell. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 2.80" on the day and 53.6˚F. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Is it seriously 67 at PDX right now? F*cked up. Wow. All-time record for December there? 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Judging by the radar and the current rain rate, I’m going to wake up to a storm total approaching 3”. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 15 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Is it seriously 67 at PDX right now? F*cked up. It’s just an urban heat island from all the sun hitting the pavement, no biggie. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Looks like Troutdale hit 69 or maybe 70. I believe this beats the December record of 68 from 12/26/80. 1 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Fun night! Feels totally bizarre out. 2 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Fun night! Feels totally bizarre out. Thank you for showing everyone the proper and inherently superior way to experience this. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Not really a big surprise. Climates that can reach the 110's in summer can usually manage 70's in the winter. 1 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said: Judging by the radar and the current rain rate, I’m going to wake up to a storm total approaching 3”. Yeah, rates have picked up significantly in the Puget Sound region over the past couple hours and radar still looks to be intensifying. My previous statement regarding SEA precip may have been premature...while it's not looking like an October 2003 type deal, 2-4" across much of the Seattle to Olympia corridor within 36 hours now looks doable, which is definitely notable. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Wacky situation AT PDX-- there is also an off-chance that they rack up some fairly impressive 24-hour totals from the coming AR. 3 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Just now, Requiem said: Wacky situation AT PDX-- there is also an off-chance that they rack up some fairly impressive 24-hour totals from the coming AR. Definitely benefiting from the earlier switch to easterlies. Perfect amount of adiabatic help amidst the mid level drying. Dynamic system! 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Not really a big surprise. Climates that can reach the 110's in summer can usually manage 70's in the winter. Here in Denver, our all-time high is 105 but we've hit the 70s on many occasions in the winter, going back many decades. Hell, in 1955 Denver hit 70+ three straight days leading up to Christmas. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Winter Warlock Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Who turned on the fire hydrant? 5 1 Quote Located near Covington / Black Diamond, WA. Elevation ~550 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Thank you for showing everyone the proper and inherently superior way to experience this. 2 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Rain has stopped. Radar shows more coming, but it won’t be here before midnight, so 3-incher denied. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, rates have picked up significantly in the Puget Sound region over the past couple hours and radar still looks to be intensifying. My previous statement regarding SEA precip may have been premature...while it's not looking like an October 2003 type deal, 2-4" across much of the Seattle to Olympia corridor within 36 hours now looks doable, which is definitely notable. The models tend to underestimate warm rain processes and the precip totals can sometimes go berserk in the core of the AR. I’ve gotten an inch of rain in just the past 4.5 hours! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Will need high temps in the teens for two weeks in order to offset this warmth. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said: The models tend to underestimate warm rain processes and the precip totals can sometimes go berserk in the core of the AR. I’ve gotten an inch of rain in just the past 4.5 hours! There are parts of the Olympics that could end up seeing 12"+ out of this. 1 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 41 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Is it seriously 67 at PDX right now? F*cked up. Fukin tired of this . 3 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Quillayute has secured the rare 4 inch day. Lake Quinault is gunning for an 8 inch day but likely to come up just short. 7.4” as of 11 and it’s been raining around 0.5”/hr lately. Sea-Tac made a nice run at the daily record of 1.41” but it looks like they will fall about a tenth short. Tomorrow’s record of 1.67” has a decent chance to fall. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Up to 5.4 inches of rain. It it just pouring, some of the hardest sustained rain I've ever seen here. 3 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Up to 5.4 inches of rain. It it just pouring, some of the hardest sustained rain I've ever seen here. What’s your wind direction? I’m out of the SE here. Not sure how close you are to any mountains but I wonder if you’re getting some influence from upsloping? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 18 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Definitely benefiting from the earlier switch to easterlies. Perfect amount of adiabatic help amidst the mid level drying. Dynamic system! 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Hour #20 working here and our systems are slowly losing the battle to keep up. It’s raining really hard here in snoqualmie. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said: Quillayute has secured the rare 4 inch day. Lake Quinault is gunning for an 8 inch day but likely to come up just short. 7.4” as of 11 and it’s been raining around 0.5”/hr lately. Sea-Tac made a nice run at the daily record of 1.41” but it looks like they will fall about a tenth short. Tomorrow’s record of 1.67” has a decent chance to fall. I’m in the northern part of Seattle and over 2”. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: Hour #20 working here and our systems are slowly losing the battle to keep up. It’s raining really hard here in snoqualmie. D**n, I imagine you have to be off soon? What are the consequences if your water treatment systems are unable to keep up? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 Just now, Front Ranger said: D**n, I imagine you have to be off soon? What are the consequences if your water treatment systems are unable to keep up? I hopefully can get off work in a few hours…but may have to work until late Tuesday or Wednesday. Overflowing is bad…would send dirty water into the raging river here in snoqualmie. We’re constantly moving water out of all the systems but the system I’m at can’t move the volume that we’re getting right now. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 5, 2023 Report Share Posted December 5, 2023 8 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said: What’s your wind direction? I’m out of the SE here. Not sure how close you are to any mountains but I wonder if you’re getting some influence from upsloping? Yes I'm in a upslope area, same thing happens in certain snow events. I have a east wind at 5 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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