December 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Phil]

Long range pattern on the EPS continues to trend more niño-like as it gets closer in time. Been a consistent theme for the last week. Reminds me of December 2015 to some degree.

[Meatyorologist]

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

Another take.

Typical El Niño timing for blocking and cold as well. Similar to the 2015-16 analog you're teasing about

[Phil]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Typical El Niño timing for blocking and cold as well. Similar to the 2015-16 analog you're teasing about

True. But I’ve struggled to see things correctly this fall, so nothing would surprise me at this point.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Long range pattern on the EPS continues to trend more niño-like as it gets closer in time. Been a consistent theme for the last week. Reminds me of December 2015 to some degree.

2015 is the last comp anyone wants to hear 

[Phil]

Now that’s an old school niño December.

As reliable as any subseasonal tendency out there.

 

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Now that’s an old school niño December.

As reliable as any subseasonal tendency out there.

Does that mean we're going to get our cold air from Alaska this winter??? lolz

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Does that mean we're going to get our cold air from Alaska this winter??? lolz

It means Putin will get your cold air. And everyone else’s.

At least for the next 2-3 weeks.

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

It means Putin will get your cold air. And everyone else’s.

At least for the next 2-3 weeks.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Maybe we can hit a very nice 69F. Currently 63F in downtown Springfield.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

True. But I’ve struggled to see things correctly this fall, so nothing would surprise me at this point.

It's okay, Phil. Recently I learned weather forecasts grow more difficult the further out in time you are projecting. Did you know, forecasting beyond a week out for a given point is nearly a crapshoot, especially in the winter?

From what I've read, the European Union has their own supercomputer running their own weather model. It's called the 'ECMWF', and according to some of the weather nerds I've talked to, it's supposed to be pretty good.

[RentonHill]

Daily update. Last 5 days...

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Think I will take the jetski up there and jump some waves. 

[SnowySeeker50]

Currently 45f. 0.18" so far for the day and 1.69" since the start of the month.

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Some more snow for Tim upcoming according to the 12z GFS

I’m in the dark blue! 

[the_convergence_zone]

1 hour ago, Slushy Inch said:

Would be more beneficial if it would stay snow in the mountains.

It's going to be a close call if some of the ski areas (Stevens and Summit Central/Alpental) can open prior to Christmas. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Does Snoqualmie have a target date for open or they SOS?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 65F.

[Deweydog]

Feels pineappley out.

[the_convergence_zone]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Does Snoqualmie have a target date for open or they SOS?

No, but after they were barely able to open at all in 2014-15 they did some extensive brush cutting at Summit West, so they can usually get that open quickly. I bet it opens next weekend as long as they get at least a foot after this AR. 

The writing is on the wall for skiing in that area, maybe 20-25 years left before they give up.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Now that’s an old school niño December.

As reliable as any subseasonal tendency out there.

 

I wouldn't mind thunderstorms near Christmas! Maybe we'll get a Valentine's Day blizzard..

[Rubus Leucodermis]

44.1˚F and 0.33" on the day.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Already 4 inches of rain this month after 14.4 last month. This is the wettest El Nino ever here. That 14.4 is a record month here I believe 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Cold is still hanging on at the cabin with snow and 29 degrees. I decided not to go this weekend because I knew the rain would wash the snow away tonight and tomorrow.  Next weekend looks much better for a little snow and cool temps.

[FroYoBro]

Kind of an interesting day with the AR stalled to our NW during the daytime hours. Getting a little breezy now and very dark off to the west. All the way up to 63 here! 

[Dave]

It's warm as fukk out. 64 degrees. I like it. If there is no snow to be had, we might as well roast. Give me your downvotes.

[Doinko]

16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Cold is still hanging on at the cabin with snow and 29 degrees. I decided not to go this weekend because I knew the rain would wash the snow away tonight and tomorrow.  Next weekend looks much better for a little snow and cool temps.

How much snow has fallen there so far?

[Phil]

36 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I wouldn't mind thunderstorms near Christmas! Maybe we'll get a Valentine's Day blizzard..

You might only have to wait until this weekend for thunderstorms if that warm sector punch verifies. Nasty airmass.

[Gradient Keeper]

62.8, cloudy skies, and a breezy south wind. This just feels wrong for December. Too warm.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Heavy rain and 44.7˚F. 0.66" since midnight.

[Deweydog]

70 looking unlikely at PDX.

[Gradient Keeper]

13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

70 looking unlikely at PDX.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some of these runs aren't awful at least...

[Phil]

TWC is talking about the PNW Pineapple Express. One of the commentators said Seattle people always carry umbrellas on hand when going out because it’s always wet.

I assume that’s not quite accurate, but  .

[RentonHill]

sweet mother of sally strothers 

 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

TWC is talking about the PNW Pineapple Express. One of the commentators said Seattle people always carry umbrellas on hand when going out because it’s always wet.

I assume that’s not quite accurate, but  .

What’s an umbrella???

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

TWC is talking about the PNW Pineapple Express. One of the commentators said Seattle people always carry umbrellas on hand when going out because it’s always wet.

I assume that’s not quite accurate, but  .

Literally the opposite... no one carries umbrellas around here.   

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1.00"

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

TWC is talking about the PNW Pineapple Express. One of the commentators said Seattle people always carry umbrellas on hand when going out because it’s always wet.

I assume that’s not quite accurate, but  .

Fun fact: I've never owned an umbrella.

[Snownerd3000]

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

TWC is talking about the PNW Pineapple Express. One of the commentators said Seattle people always carry umbrellas on hand when going out because it’s always wet.

I assume that’s not quite accurate, but  .

I work DT.  You can always spot the transplants by those that do carry umbrellas.

[Snownerd3000]

15 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

sweet mother of sally strothers 

 

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