January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Mossman sacrificed his snow for the greater good. 

I don’t think any of us would want to live in a world where MossMan had a choice whether or not to sacrifice his snow.

[Doinko]

Just now, umadbro said:

I’ll take 10-15 inches

10:1 ratios as well, temps are in the 20s with the snow

[Slushy Inch]

The strength and size of the trough in recent trends is what allows for some moisture to make it north. Places near the low pressure will get the heaviest snow though. Wrap around moisture is also often underplayed 

[icyasf]

8 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Snow totals, nice storm

Lol it’s truly region wide except for Corvallis and Eugene  A win is win though it’s still a majority of the region and I am excited to see snow pics

[Doinko]

From what I can tell the GFS is a very minor step in the right direction? At least not a bad one

[Requiem]

Pessimistically this run won't change all that much-- that being said, cold air is a noticeable notch to the south at 84 hours so far.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Requiem said:

Pessimistically this run won't change all that much-- that being said, cold air is a noticeable notch to the south at 84 hours so far.

At this point no change is still better than what it’s been doing the past couple runs 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

Pessimistically this run won't change all that much-- that being said, cold air is a noticeable notch to the south at 84 hours so far.

[Doinko]

GEM on the other hand looks good, similar to 12z

[Slushy Inch]

Central puget sound enjoying a nice Arctic front as temps plummet.

[Doinko]

The GFS is a notch south with the snowstorm

[TacomaWx]

I like the gfs better for sure! 

[lowlandsnow]

It's crazy that we are 3 days out and we really have no idea what will happen

[Christensen87]

Bothered by this game. But yeah, GFS is crazy for this weekend. Wow.  

[lowlandsnow]

So far trends have been decent tonight ICON and NAM were a lot better. GEM held. GFS improved slightly.

[Dave]

I had to take a break from the forum when it appeared for several days that Eugene would get left out. I'm quite used to it, just like Tiger is. My hope is to somehow get a random inch of snow during a heavy shower in the next few days. The northern posters are welcome to score great snow. Hopefully no ice.

BTW, the last thing I'm gonna do is be a dikk about the game. Penix and some of the receivers had an unfortunate off game. I've been there twice in recent memory. The Huskies are a terrific team that had an off night. And even that is pretty pukey for me to type out, as I'm not much of a fan.

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

This storm will close I-5 this is getting good!

[Slushy Inch]

Ouch ice storm. Strong low pressure 

[Cold Snap]

I’m feeling like the GFS and other models will compromise with how the way things have gone so far.

[SeanNyberg]

That 3 hour snowfall rate is INSANE for an area like Seattle. 

[FroYoBro]

GEM shows a similar setup, just further to the south than GFS. 
 

Pretty wild pattern. 

Edited January 9 by FroYoBro

[Jbolin]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Ouch ice storm bomb cyclone 

F*** that s***

[Requiem]

At face value GEM at least up to whatever hour it's updated to on tidbits actually spills cold air into the basin faster 

[TacomaWx]

It’s a pretty small step but looks like for now the northern trend has stopped. Looks like a big snow/ice storm event. I am not too excited about a January 2012 like ice storm. The models under-do the lower level cold air scouring. That is something that could be a problem. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Doinko]

Just now, Requiem said:

At face value GEM at least up to whatever hour it's updated to on tidbits actually spills cold air into the basin faster 

The storm goes slightly farther north of the 12z. Still a major storm for PDX but looks like a mixed snow/ice/sleet storm.

[Christensen87]

The foothill locations especially better prepare for a mess this weekend. 

[awright-31]

Oh man. GFS has snow starting here around 4:00 am Friday and lasting throughout the day with temps in the mid-upper 20s. By 10:00 pm it has snowed a foot. Absolute perfection. The things I would do for this to verify.

Too bad it warms above freezing by 11:00 Saturday morning.

[FroYoBro]

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

GEM shows a similar setup, just further to the south than GFS. 
 

Pretty wild pattern. 

Would be crazy! 

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Bothered by this game. But yeah, GFS is crazy for this weekend. Wow.  

Dude tell me about it. So many no calls. The one on the deep ball to Odunze was killer. Give us that one, they scored on an obvious hold. 

[snow_wizard]

The GFS is a perfect case of successfully dancing with the devil for WA.  I'm having trouble believing it won't go colder / drier on the next few runs though.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, awright-31 said:

Oh man. GFS has snow starting here around 4:00 am Friday and lasting throughout the day with temps in the mid-upper 20s. By 10:00 pm it has snowed a foot. Absolute perfection. The things I would do for this to verify.

Too bad it warms above freezing by 11:00 Saturday morning.

Dry air though.  Effectively still cold.

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Dude tell me about it. So many no calls. The one on the deep ball to Odunze was killer. Give us that one, they scored on an obvious hold. 

I don't understand why the assigned an ACC crew. 

[Perturbed Member]

12z vs 00z GEM. A small shift north.

 

[SnowWillarrive]

4 minutes ago, awright-31 said:

Oh man. GFS has snow starting here around 4:00 am Friday and lasting throughout the day with temps in the mid-upper 20s. By 10:00 pm it has snowed a foot. Absolute perfection. The things I would do for this to verify.

Too bad it warms above freezing by 11:00 Saturday morning.

There would be mass looting in Seattle if this verified. 

[snow_wizard]

Nice run!

Offshore flow kicks in later in the weekend and puts us in a nice cold / dry air situation.

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

12z vs 00z GEM. A small shift north.

 

Entirely dependent on small low shifts-- we obviously get precip either way, the question becomes how much we "waste" on ZR 

[TacomaWx]

Well I think here in the south sound we’re in a pretty good spot. Far enough north to not be on the boundary but far enough south to atleast get clipped most likely. Precip shield should extend further north than modeled pretty typical to happen. 

[lowlandsnow]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Nice run!

Offshore flow kicks in later in the weekend and puts us in a nice cold / dry air situation.

Yeah very nice trends tonight both the GEM and ICON keep us cold for longer

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Nice run!

Offshore flow kicks in later in the weekend and puts us in a nice cold / dry air situation.

Hopefully with a bunch of snow on the ground.