March 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Phishy Wx]

15 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I imagine a daisy chain of alternating daisies, downvote reacts, and vomit reacts.

and sad reacts

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, iFred said:

I can already see the flurry of self proclaimed professional storm chasers readying their drones and twitter quips on why it was ok for them to do 90 in a 35.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I remember looking up summer 2015 for this area and was surprised at the lack of big heat. Whereas the PNW was in hell that year.

Huntington WV ran cool departures Jul/Aug 2015. How much of the US torched that year? 

Funny, 2015 was among the top-10 hottest summers on record here. Trough axis was slightly too far west so we were stuck with SW flow while the Ohio Valley scored cool departures.

It was a warm summer nationally too, thanks to the obscene warm departures in the west. The larger scale pattern should be different this summer but not necessarily an improvement. Seems likely that a fat, ugly, sprawling ridge will set up in the center of the CONUS in July and stay put through September.

[bainbridgekid]

Enjoy your snowstorm @Front Ranger

Seems like good odds you get at least a foot?

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice day... up to 50 in North Bend now. 

Baseline pic before warm spell... will try to post an update in one week to see the changes.   Maybe a green tinge to the trees by then?

We are going to have a decent dusting by early next week…Of Pollen! 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

We are going to have a decent dusting by early next week…Of Pollen! 

My wife's eyes started itching in the last few days even before the warm spell starts.   I can always tell when the trees are getting ready to leaf out by her allergies.   The allergies go away once everything is leafed out.  

[TT-SEA]

Looks like the 18Z GFS is back to keeping the blocking ridge in place later next week...12Z run had it lifting to the north at this time.   

[TT-SEA]

Crazy pattern... but shows troughing across most of the country like the EPS is showing.  

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Crazy pattern... but shows troughing across most of the country like the EPS is showing.  

If the coast to coast troughing pattern verifies, it HAS to end before the April 8th eclipse. Otherwise I will be very VERY unhappy.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looks like Mark backed off to 73 for Saturday and Sunday now. Good trendz.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Crazy to think that Mark was calling for an all time March high of 82 just a few days ago.

[Phishy Wx]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like Mark backed off to 73 for Saturday and Sunday now. Good trendz.

if he backs off much more it might snow

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

if he backs off much more it might snow

Just nice to have a ridge event that’s in the realm of something normal for our climate, rather than smashing record highs like we usually do. 

[T-Town]

Bella says it’s a nice evening. 

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, bainbridgekid said:

Enjoy your snowstorm @Front Ranger

Seems like good odds you get at least a foot?

Yessir! There will be a strong east/west gradient as that map shows, so I could see anywhere from 10-20" depending on how far east the heaviest precip extends.

I'll be sure to post pics.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

12 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Yessir! There will be a strong east/west gradient as that map shows, so I could see anywhere from 10-20" depending on how far east the heaviest precip extends.

I'll be sure to post pics.

Enjoy it!

 

It's been a pretty bad year in terms of snow there, right? 

[Anti Marine Layer]

18 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

29 degrees currently and it is 10:58 pm, not 11:58. (I despise DST)

 

Good night!

What is wrong with DST?

[Front Ranger]

6 hours ago, Phil said:

This summer is going to suck donkey balls. Fully expect it’ll be the hottest summer ever for the lower-48, and by a wide margin. Worst possible alignment of seasonal forcings.

Good chance there won’t be any cool departures to speak of, except maybe June.

 

Eh, those models are wrong pretty often.

Looking at past strong Nino to Nina transition summers (I know there are other factors) here at least, there is no signal for a hot summer. Second year Ninas are reliably hot.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Enjoy it!

 

It's been a pretty bad year in terms of snow there, right? 

Yeah, running about 50% of average.

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

If the coast to coast troughing pattern verifies, it HAS to end before the April 8th eclipse. Otherwise I will be very VERY unhappy.

Where you chasing?

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Eh, those models are wrong pretty often.

Looking at past strong Nino to Nino transition summers (I know there are other factors) here at least, there is no signal for a hot summer. Second year Ninas are reliably hot.

With a La Niña transition looking more likely, I think that Phil is starting to feel that SE ridge nipping at his toes and wants to spread the misery

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Where you chasing?

My guess is Newfoundland. It BETTER BE f*cking sunny and 85!!

[bainbridgekid]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Where you chasing?

I'll be in Mazatlan. 4 minutes and 27 seconds of totality. Can't wait.

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I'll be in Mazatlan. 4 minutes and 27 seconds of totality. Can't wait.

Nice. I caught a couple minutes of totality in 2017 in WY.

[RaleighHillsRunner]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like Mark backed off to 73 for Saturday and Sunday now. Good trendz.

73 sounds more reasonable, straight from high 40s to 80+ is jarring. 

[Mercurial]

Down to my last six inches of glacial snowpack, and Whitefish Lake is thawing.

Can't wait for blue skies + temps in the mid 50s this weekend.

[T-Town]

Nice sunset tonight. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

22 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I'll be in Mazatlan. 4 minutes and 27 seconds of totality. Can't wait.

Planning to go to the Austin/San Antonio area  here. First time in Texas. Right now eying the Fredericksburg area because it has some cool history and is also far enough west to be the band of 4+ minutes of totality. 

Have a pipe dream of seeing it from Enchanted Rock:

 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enchanted_Rock

But we’ll see how that works out. I’m guessing it will be incredibly crowded there.

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Nice sunset tonight. 

Yours are better. But it really is.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sunset from the weather deck! 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

55 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Where you chasing?

Probably somewhere west of Austin, I want to go to enchanted Rock but it'll probably be too busy there so I'll just find somewhere else. Have hotel reservations in Fredericksburg, but I'm willing to drive a few hundred miles in any direction if it's not going to be sunny at my planned location. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

25 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Planning to go to the Austin/San Antonio area  here. First time in Texas. Right now eying the Fredericksburg area because it has some cool history and is also far enough west to be the band of 4+ minutes of totality. 

Have a pipe dream of seeing it from Enchanted Rock:

 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enchanted_Rock

But we’ll see how that works out. I’m guessing it will be incredibly crowded there.

Oh now you confirmed why I don't want to go. If both of us want to go there, that probably means 1000s upon 1000s of other people also want to be there.

[MossMan]

Wow!! Jesse is going to become a Texan!! 

Anyway, down to 39! Super awesome sunset as I was driving back from Sedro Woolley this evening! 

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sunset from the weather deck! 

Workin late? 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Oh now you confirmed why I don't want to go. If both of us want to go there, that probably means 1000s upon 1000s of other people also want to be there.

It will be really interesting to start tracking the weather soon.    A deep trough with solid clouds and precip over Texas while it's sunny in Cleveland and Buffalo would probably send travel plans into chaos.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

It will be really interesting to start tracking the weather soon.    A deep trough with solid clouds and precip over Texas while it's sunny in Cleveland and Buffalo would probably send travel plans into chaos.

Texas can be surprisingly cloudy in the spring.

[TT-SEA]

Something like tomorrow night would be worst case scenario for the entire path of totality in the US.

[Front Ranger]

Heavy precip moving in here. Temp down to 37...

[Doinko]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Heavy precip moving in here. Temp down to 37...

I see temps down to around 33 near Highlands Ranch where my relatives live, it looks like they'll do really well.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Texas can be surprisingly cloudy in the spring.

Unfortunately true, but it's still the clearest state in the path of totality. I think it avgs around 50% cloud cover during the time of the eclipse, which is unfortunately a pretty high number.