Omegaraptor Posted October 30, 2020 Report Share Posted October 30, 2020 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: Early November is when the seasonal snowpack typically starts building, at least in the WA Cascades. Breaks between storms and prolonged 850mb warmups quickly become much fewer and further between. Pretty much. The bigger PNW ski resorts like Stevens Pass, Crystal, and Meadows try to open by Thanksgiving. Chance of getting into the 60s also seems to drop sharply around November 10-15. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 18z GEFS through November 14th. Both Portland and Seattle mean temp only warms to 0c with many members colder. Nice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 18z GEFS through November 14th. Both Portland and Seattle mean temp only warms to 0c with many members colder. Nice. Cowlder runz ahed 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 53 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 18z GEFS Portland, Seattle. A bit colder. A notch. Yeah. If what the OP is advertising is the MEAN then that's awesome. Really want to build that snowpack. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 The GFS ensemble is getting impressively cold. The mean on the 18z bottoms out at -6.5 for SEA. The big question right now IMO is whether we get continental cold air or will it remain maritime polar. Most runs seem to get continental air at least down to Seattle or so, and some much further south. The models are struggling with the balance on the surface high pressure complex that is expected to develop over the NE Pacific and Western Canada, which is going to have much to say about that. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Power just came back on! Only 7hrs this time...Shortest outage yet in the 2.5yrs of living here. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 11 minutes ago, MossMan said: Power just came back on! Only 7hrs this time...Shortest outage yet in the 2.5yrs of living here. I did not even know there was a storm. There was a little breeze this morning... but its been dry and partly to mostly cloudy all day. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I did not even know there was a storm. There was a little breeze this morning... but its been dry and partly to mostly cloudy all day. Cleared out up here and got very windy here starting around 11am and stayed that way though most of the afternoon. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Mostly cloudy but slowly clearing here now down to 54F. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I did not even know there was a storm. There was a little breeze this morning... but its been dry and partly to mostly cloudy all day. Windy all day down here. Not power outage worthy but a gusty day. Looks like a nice weekend coming up, could be the last for awhile, enjoy it all!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 41 minutes ago, MossMan said: Power just came back on! Only 7hrs this time...Shortest outage yet in the 2.5yrs of living here. Yikes! I can see why you own a generator. I am now living in a neighborhood with the most reliable electric service of anyplace I have lived. All underground lines, lights don’t so much as blink during windstorms. So it’s all downhill (in terms of reliability) from here. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Down to 50°F after a high of 57 here. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 I just saw komos weather write up Komo: American Forums like when weather prediction models agree on cold historic outcomes. This gives higher deluisional mindsets in the forecast outcome. Looking ahead, models are in good agreement of much colder and deadlier conditions will come around by the first weekend in November. After a warm start to the month, brutally cold historic arctic air looks to plunge southward into the Lower 20. The Climate Prediction Center highlights the SEA-PDX area as having a significent risk of hazardous temperatures November 7-12, meaning well numerous fatalities (highs in the 40s Kelvin) are anticipated through that time 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Here we go! Popcorn 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Here we go! Popcorn We need some snow and I don't mean the party snow either. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Pivotal running slowly again of course. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 3 (While Pivotal catches up) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 6 Past 4 runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Now Pivot and TILT and we're in business! C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 SO D**n close to a blast! Tilt!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 7.5, block slowly pivoting, heights rising over southern Alaska. C'MON!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 As close as it gets to a major early November blast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Day 8.5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Arctic front makes it to Seattle at hour 210. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Oh and Major Hurricane near the Florida Keys. NOPE! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Oh and Major Hurricane near the Florida Keys. NOPE! That seems to coincide with cold in the NW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 What did I say? Numerous times. 1) Colder runs ahead 2) Ya gotta believe! 00z ECMWF in 58 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Plow mounting plans back on! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 00z GEM Day 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 There you go, Western Washington Special. Really wish I could get up to Bachelor for this. Going to be amazing up there. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Sexy. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 00z GEM Day 8 Alert! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: There you go, Western Washington Special. Really wish I could get up to Bachelor for this. Going to be amazing up there. LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 00z GEM Day 8.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.