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Potential Winterstorm 1/30-2/1


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So the GFS call of 0” IMBy on yesterday’s 12z run proved to be way wrong. And the 1-2” it showed for most of the week proved to be way wrong. But the Euro showing the snow extending into central and western Iowa was also way wrong. So in the end no model appeared to do great. It was a tricky storm for sure. 

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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This was a memorable winter storm in a number of different ways but mostly bc of the heavy snowfall rates during the 1st half of the systems life span and then the long lasting duration of the snowfal

I haven't read an AFD from LOT like this in years...looks like a "wall of snow" is heading our way accompanied by gusty winds...similar to what happened with the storm back in late Dec.  If it wasn't

There is SO much snow right now! I was supposedly bullseyed both storms. I’m pretty tall (5’9”) and the snow on the sidewalks is almost up to my hips, pics for reference! (Ignore my super awkward pose

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5 minutes ago, whatitdo said:

3 inches here! Best of the season lol. All snow has stopped though 

Thx. Prolly 1.5 for mby again. At least it had a tiny base to build on.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Lol. When your luck is crap it is CRAP

1506z.jpg

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Family measured an average of 9.7” in Hiawatha. What on earth...

 

I measured 4.2” in IC.

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2020-21 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 51.6"

(Oct. 18: 0.6") (Oct 19: 2.0") (Nov. ?: 1.5") (Dec. 12: 3.7") (Dec. 23: 0.5") (Dec. 27: 1.2") (Dec. 29: 9.2") (Jan. 15: 2.3”) (Jan 17. 1.1”)  (Jan. 24: 2.5”) (Jan. 26: 6.8") (Jan. 31: 8.5") (Feb. 4: 5.0") (Feb. 6: 0.5") (Feb. 8: 1.0") (Feb. 11: 1.2") (Feb. 13: 1.3") (Feb. 21: 2.7")

 

 

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5 hours ago, Sparky said:

Congrats! I’ve heard of Janesville quite a bit. It’s not that far from eastern Iowa.

Thanks! It's the first job I've had contact me in any context other than "everything about you sucks, piss off", so... Kinda have my hopes up? I just wanna leave my current terrible job lol

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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My brother lives right on the border of Hiawatha in Cedar Rapids and he said about 5-6”. Another brother lives in Marion he said 4”. And my twin brother lives on the far south side of CR and he also said 4”. 

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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31 minutes ago, ChiTownWeather said:

About 9 inches with a light snow falling. The radar keeps filling in with the help of the lake. I think I'll be able to get into double digits when its all said and done

It’s been snowing here non-stop since 6:00pm last night. I’m surprised how much LES is picking up on radar.  I’m going to go out and take another measurement.  Gotta be between 8-9” easily by now.

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5 minutes ago, Tom said:

It’s been snowing here non-stop since 6:00pm last night. I’m surprised how much LES is picking up on radar.  I’m going to go out and take another measurement.  Gotta be between 8-9” easily by now.

Radar is really starting to fill back in with the help of the lake. Should be rocking most of the afternoon

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Picked up an additional 1.5" since I shoveled which brings my total to 8.5" or thereabouts.  ORD has reported 8.8" since 12:00pm.  They have to be past 9" now and quite possibly get double digits by end of day.

 

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While verifying the 9.7” family got, they sent a pic of about 8.5” on the driveway. While still very impressive; that seems more reasonable to me and I think I’m gonna go with that instead. 

14ACE369-856A-4068-9489-3F53BEAF8714.jpeg

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2020-21 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 51.6"

(Oct. 18: 0.6") (Oct 19: 2.0") (Nov. ?: 1.5") (Dec. 12: 3.7") (Dec. 23: 0.5") (Dec. 27: 1.2") (Dec. 29: 9.2") (Jan. 15: 2.3”) (Jan 17. 1.1”)  (Jan. 24: 2.5”) (Jan. 26: 6.8") (Jan. 31: 8.5") (Feb. 4: 5.0") (Feb. 6: 0.5") (Feb. 8: 1.0") (Feb. 11: 1.2") (Feb. 13: 1.3") (Feb. 21: 2.7")

 

 

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There is SO much snow right now! I was supposedly bullseyed both storms. I’m pretty tall (5’9”) and the snow on the sidewalks is almost up to my hips, pics for reference! (Ignore my super awkward pose lmao) 82ECED96-F5FC-4FE1-947B-0AF3B9DD30B7.thumb.jpeg.f93071a565c2d01a6dea2be4d7a61b3b.jpeg


 

5EE933E6-378C-4865-84B9-A5ECC4BAC3CE.thumb.jpeg.d9cdf207ea4ec4cbb6d611c7196792be.jpeg

C9D66703-15B3-4CD6-AD28-E7A2392435B3.thumb.jpeg.4e151328571cb9bff7b983e86b5e134d.jpeg

 

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

MKE area is showing solid 8-13" reports...I believe it, those bands off the lake looked like it was puking snow earlier this morning.

I think I hit close to 10” - it’s still snowing - not heavily, but it slowly adds up. I haven’t seen the snow this high in years. Roads are still messy - running out of places to go with it.

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Just now, VMB443 said:

I think I hit close to 10” - it’s still snowing - not heavily, but it slowly adds up. I haven’t seen the snow this high in years. Roads are still messy - running out of places to go with it.

This has been a great storm and I’m thrilled to see the models nailed the LES set up.  The lake has been our friend this go-around.  In fact, it’s coming down hard right now over here and the wind has become notably gusty!  What a wonderful weekend of storm tracking.  

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Took a look at our WSW before it expires at 6PM... looks like they snuck in total accumulations of 8-12 to match what has actually fallen. Yesterday it was suggested 5-9 inches.

Nonetheless, I think LOT did a great job forecasting this storm. It’s tough forecasting when their is a mix involved and they just about nailed it.

911396D1-68C4-4346-8202-D8465BE95C03.jpeg

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19 hours ago, bud2380 said:

My brother lives right on the border of Hiawatha in Cedar Rapids and he said about 5-6”. Another brother lives in Marion he said 4”. And my twin brother lives on the far south side of CR and he also said 4”. 

First time I heard you are a twin. Also nice that you’re brothers measure snowfall. I’m the only wx fan in our family. JFYI, I have 4 brothers and 4 sisters and only 3 live in other states.

‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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Final snowfall tally here is 3”. I didn’t get another measurement before I left home and till I got back this afternoon it had melted and settled some, so I’m not 100% sure. Storm total liquid equivalent is 0.98”!

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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I’ve received an additional 1.4” since last measurement so that brings me to 10.2”. I’m sure there will be a lot of 12”+ totals in Cook and Lake county.  This LES is certainly delivering.

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I’m throwing out a guess but we were easily one of the hardest hit here just north of the city, I’d say with the total of 9.5” early this morning we’re definitely somewhere around 12”. Such an awesome storm! Here’s another couple pics from my neighborhood 🖤

 

124474A8-F883-44BF-B2BC-9C6DCF526A39.thumb.jpeg.3b4d27a86f3934d6c6e019789e4273b9.jpeg

D66F4C21-4831-4624-9FE2-372BC3854434.thumb.jpeg.cf6648331044ec10677c80dc9721c58b.jpeg

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Was in the deep south unexpectedly during this storm flying out of KFNT. Came home this evening and for the first time this entire season the snow was actually getting deeper as I got closer to home. Nothing like y'all west or south or north of me but I was really surprised by it.

Finally, on the last day of January we got our first plowed snow storm. Wasn't here to take measurements as it fell but my driveway had a solid 3" and there's 4+ on my lower deck out back (tho that may have benefited from some blowing off the house roof). I was like a kid at Christmas using my shovel to clear everything. I am 99% certain I've never had to wait this long into a winter to put a shovel to snow with the one possible exception being the great Nino of 82-83. Glad for all the "winning" this week across our Sub and hoping for more to come.

 

20210131 Marshall.jpg

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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11 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Was in the deep south unexpectedly during this storm flying out of KFNT. Came home this evening and for the first time this entire season the snow was actually getting deeper as I got closer to home. Nothing like y'all west or south or north of me but I was really surprised by it.

Finally, on the last day of January we got our first plowed snow storm. Wasn't here to take measurements as it fell but my driveway had a solid 3" and there's 4+ on my lower deck out back (tho that may have benefited from some blowing off the house roof). I was like a kid at Christmas using my shovel to clear everything. I am 99% certain I've never had to wait this long into a winter to put a shovel to snow with the one possible exception being the great Nino of 82-83. Glad for all the "winning" this week across our Sub and hoping for more to come.

 

20210131 Marshall.jpg

Im glad this storm worked out for ya in some way, even though it was not a lot, at least you got to see some appreciable piles and plows around your neck of the woods. FWIW: You did better than my area. I picked up 2.7" and maybe another inch or 2 tomorrow to top it off, so storm total looking like a 3-4inch or so.

Btw: Hope you had a fun trip!

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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16 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Was in the deep south unexpectedly during this storm flying out of KFNT. Came home this evening and for the first time this entire season the snow was actually getting deeper as I got closer to home. Nothing like y'all west or south or north of me but I was really surprised by it.

Finally, on the last day of January we got our first plowed snow storm. Wasn't here to take measurements as it fell but my driveway had a solid 3" and there's 4+ on my lower deck out back (tho that may have benefited from some blowing off the house roof). I was like a kid at Christmas using my shovel to clear everything. I am 99% certain I've never had to wait this long into a winter to put a shovel to snow with the one possible exception being the great Nino of 82-83. Glad for all the "winning" this week across our Sub and hoping for more to come.

 

20210131 Marshall.jpg

Glad you scored. Hope more is on the way.

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4 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Was in the deep south unexpectedly during this storm flying out of KFNT. Came home this evening and for the first time this entire season the snow was actually getting deeper as I got closer to home. Nothing like y'all west or south or north of me but I was really surprised by it.

Finally, on the last day of January we got our first plowed snow storm. Wasn't here to take measurements as it fell but my driveway had a solid 3" and there's 4+ on my lower deck out back (tho that may have benefited from some blowing off the house roof). I was like a kid at Christmas using my shovel to clear everything. I am 99% certain I've never had to wait this long into a winter to put a shovel to snow with the one possible exception being the great Nino of 82-83. Glad for all the "winning" this week across our Sub and hoping for more to come.

 

20210131 Marshall.jpg

Awesome!  I'm happy to hear that you scored some decent snow out of this system.  It makes sense based off of the radar images I was seeing early yesterday morning.  Isn't nice to see mother nature throw you a bone?  Hopefully that is a sign we are breaking recent season trends and setting new ones as the 2nd half of this delayed season is underway. 

 

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As @brianc400 posted above, there are many reports coming in of 12"+ totals and they reached far and wide across the local viewing area.  Last night, I was watching the local news at the mets were saying ORD had 9.9" as the final tally.  I didn't believe it as there was no way they were that low.  If it were to be, gosh...can you just add a 0.1" to it and make it double digits???  J/K...so, when I looked at the official data that was recorded last night they upped the daily tota yesterday that made it officially the seasons first double digit storm (10.8")! 

Quote

Climatological Report (Daily)



197
CDUS43 KLOT 010646
CLIORD

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1246 AM CST MON FEB 01 2021

...................................

...THE CHICAGO-OHARE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JANUARY 31 2021...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1871 TO 2021


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 YESTERDAY
  MAXIMUM         32   9:54 PM  65    1989  32      0       37
  MINIMUM         30   6:52 AM -21    2019  17     13       32
  AVERAGE         31                        24      7       35

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.29          1.52 1914   0.05   0.24     0.08
  MONTH TO DATE    1.95                      1.73   0.22     2.80
  SINCE DEC 1      4.50                      3.98   0.52     4.35
  SINCE JAN 1      1.95                      1.73   0.22     2.80

SNOWFALL (IN)
  YESTERDAY        6.3           9.5  1914   0.4    5.9      0.6
  MONTH TO DATE   21.9                      10.8   11.1      7.8
  SINCE DEC 1     24.7                      19.0    5.7      9.8
  SINCE JUL 1     25.4                      20.4    5.0     18.1
  SNOW DEPTH      11

 

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9 hours ago, Niko said:

Im glad this storm worked out for ya in some way, even though it was not a lot, at least you got to see some appreciable piles and plows around your neck of the woods. FWIW: You did better than my area. I picked up 2.7" and maybe another inch or 2 tomorrow to top it off, so storm total looking like a 3-4inch or so.

Btw: Hope you had a fun trip!

Dang you got a lot more then my area did with this, we got maybe a half inch out here in St Clair county. We did have a few inches on the ground still from the last little disturbance that went through last week so what fell yesterday did fall on top of snow for a change this winter. It’s definitely nice having it look and feel like mid winter for a change.

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3 hours ago, Slowpoke said:

Dang you got a lot more then my area did with this, we got maybe a half inch out here in St Clair county. We did have a few inches on the ground still from the last little disturbance that went through last week so what fell yesterday did fall on top of snow for a change this winter. It’s definitely nice having it look and feel like mid winter for a change.

Definitely!

Note: Was hoping my area can get clipped from that huge EC storm currently, but by looking at the radar, it came close, but no cigar. Detroit is getting it though.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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This was a memorable winter storm in a number of different ways but mostly bc of the heavy snowfall rates during the 1st half of the systems life span and then the long lasting duration of the snowfall.  It basically snowed for 24-26 hours straight.  The bonus LES produced a nice layer of powder on top of the denser snow.  I posted my current snow depth in my front yard that is in untouched and free from any drifting.  My mounds are about 6-7’ high and quite wide.  The neighborhood looks stunning with the deep snow pack.

 

The walk ways are starting to have that “tunnel” look to them.  I always dreamed of living through a winter like my parents did in the late 70’s which had a huge snow pack for days.  Could we be heading that way now?  Only God knows and nature has the final say.

B2F0A24A-1580-4CFE-885D-DF6F36972133.jpeg

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F529C005-E93A-4FA3-B601-9EC49D86ADA1.jpeg

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21 hours ago, Tom said:

Awesome!  I'm happy to hear that you scored some decent snow out of this system.  It makes sense based off of the radar images I was seeing early yesterday morning.  Isn't nice to see mother nature throw you a bone?  Hopefully that is a sign we are breaking recent season trends and setting new ones as the 2nd half of this delayed season is underway. 

 

Thanks and I'm glad that at last you've broken the drought of 6+ storms for your region buddy. Even better, you didn't "just" break it, you hit dbl digits! I rode the fringe on this one but it certainly was a large storm.

 

20210201 7 pm 48 hr Regional Snowfall map.PNG

WPC d5 map wasn't too bad really:

457278548_20210125CPChazards_d3_7_contours.thumb.png.fc358b71cff70e349a72a482d5a00c30.png

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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This was by far one of the best storms the EC has seen in 5 years. I saw vids + pics from family and friends that I could not believe my eyes. Everything was buried. Jackpot areas were NE PA, NW Jew Jersey and into NYC and parts of Northern Queens where 18-24" fell. Central Park reported 17.4." Maybe more because more snow fell today. As much as 3ft were reported in nearby areas. Parts of the Midwest did also very good, but no where near as potent as the EC. Anyhow, this was certainly a great storm.

How much did SEMI (my area) get???!!! 2.7" 🤣 "Pathetic"

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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3 hours ago, Niko said:

This was by far one of the best storms the EC has seen in 5 years. I saw vids + pics from family and friends that I could not believe my eyes. Everything was buried. Jackpot areas were NE PA, NW Jew Jersey and into NYC and parts of Northern Queens where 18-24" fell. Central Park reported 17.4." Maybe more because more snow fell today. As much as 3ft were reported in nearby areas. Parts of the Midwest did also very good, but no where near as potent as the EC. Anyhow, this was certainly a great storm.

How much did SEMI (my area) get???!!! 2.7" 🤣 "Pathetic"

That's "racist" 🤣 and yeah, SMI is the most pathetic place for a snow-lover this winter.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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36 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

That's "racist" 🤣 and yeah, SMI is the most pathetic place for a snow-lover this winter.

Haha!

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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