Skagit Weather Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: A more realistic 00Z GFS snowfall map (high resolution). The WB versions are usually way overstated for the GFS for some reason. This is through Wednesday evening. In some places probably, but not really for here or places within a few miles of the water. Because it shows accumulated snowfall, it refuses to show any accumulation on the ocean. That means no matter how snowy it actually will be, I'll still be in the white on this map. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Massive conflicted reports tonight!! And Tim’s snow map sucks, I like the other one better. How many feet did the other one show you getting? It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Massive conflicted reports tonight!! And Tim’s snow map sucks, I like the other one better. Its not my snow map... other people have used it and its actually much more realistic for the GFS. We know the GFS snow maps on WB are a joke. They have a lower resolution. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I wonder if the GEFS will show the Op run is breaking down the pattern too quick or too progressive as 18z did. Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Not sure what it means for the rest of the run... but there are huge differences between the 12Z and 00Z runs by Thursday. 12Z on top and new 00Z on the bottom... Brrr. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Day 6.5 850s -18c Gorge! Major blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 TPV actually fights off the Pacific ridge a bit out to 156hr thanks to a shortwave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 850mb temp loop through next Friday... 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Low heads into Southern OR/Northern CA just like the 12z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: A more realistic 00Z GFS snowfall map (high resolution). The WB versions are usually way overstated for the GFS for some reason. This is through Wednesday evening. You often post this map (positive depth change) and it is not the right one to post because it accounts for melting. This is what the 00z actually shows falling: 3 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Truly massive differences over the Pacific by day 6, compared to 18z. Actually looks better for sustaining cold in PNW. 2 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Arctic air into Mexico in one week... 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 50 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: I really hope my pesky raccoon leaves our rug alone tonight.... 3 minutes after I read this a raccoon showed up by my waterfall outside! Sign? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 HUGE east winds. I suspect NWS would need to issue High Wind Watches IF this panned out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Incoming! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: You often post this map (positive depth change) and it is not the right one to post because it accounts for melting. This is what the 00z actually shows falling: Good to know... I need to reset the link. Although I would not think there would be much melting in this case. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 The 00z WRF tonight is going to be a jaw dropper 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Truly massive differences over the Pacific by day 6, compared to 18z. Actually looks better for sustaining cold in PNW. Yeah... the troughs keep coming in from the west and just merging with the trough inland. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 BAM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Washington County snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Frontal Snowsquall said: BAM! No BAM for WA. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Exciting stuff! 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I think there is going to be lots of east wind here next week. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 That low is in a good position if it ends up trending north in future runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, wxmet said: That low is in a good position if it ends up trending north in future runs. Yeah... don't want it over WA now. Then it would end up in BC. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I am pleased to announce the ICON is on board. 1 3 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 No one posted the ICON!? It's safe to say it is now ON BOARD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: The 00z WRF tonight is going to be a jaw dropper And the Euro! w00t w00t! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Great minds think alike, Andrew! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, BLI snowman said: No one posted the ICON!? It's safe to say it is now ON BOARD Ha! Andrew beat you by one second. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 The ICON is very cold next week. That first low goes into S. Oregon and produces a major snow event from about Roseburg-Eugene. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Lol, are you guys hitting refresh too? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 GFS finally throws some light snow up into W. WA. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Finally getting in on what Putin/Jinping et al have been enjoying for the last 2 months. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Tyler Mode said: Lol, are you guys hitting refresh too? Tie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Oh guys. GEM looks MUCH colder. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 CMC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
11 reactions
Go to this post