Tom Posted February 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 18z GFS...looking alot like the Euro Ensembles...nice to see it showing up each run... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted February 8, 2015 Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015020812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_36.pnghttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015020812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_36.pnghttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015020812/gfs_asnow_ncus_37.pnghttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015020812/gfs_asnow_ncus_41.pngcheck this one out tom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 We could have quite the "bowling ball" pattern in the Week 1-2 range. Someone is going to bowl a XXX...strike!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 8, 2015 Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 What I'm noticing on the GFS is the northern stream is looking much stronger for the next Mon/Tue system compared to the Super Bowl storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 What I'm noticing on the GFS is the northern stream is looking much stronger for the next Mon/Tue system compared to the Super Bowl storm.As long as we can get a system to phase, it will tug up moisture from the GOM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 8, 2015 Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 We could have quite the "bowling ball" pattern in the Week 1-2 range. Someone is going to bowl a XXX...strike!!!!Us Nebraska people are hoping for a turkey. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 8, 2015 Report Share Posted February 8, 2015 smh another miss to the south This winter sucks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I've been bowling 7-10 splits all year. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Plenty of time to see how these systems evolve, esp towards the last 10 days or so of the month. Check out the individual GFS runs of the PNA and how they are trending negative. SE ridge developing??? Could have some big time last season cutters. There is a storm system I'm watching around the last week of February that correlates with a storm showing up consistently near Japan over the last couple days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Check out the trend of the CFSv2 over the last 7 days, 3 days and most recent run for March...I don't think any Tulips will be blossoming in this type of pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Another 33 and rain event in the works. Sigh eerily similar to nightmarish superbowl storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 smh another miss to the south This winter sucks We can hope that since we'll be in the latter half of February at that point, maybe this one can trend north and spread the wealth that direction at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Sub 990 on the GFS from STL east into Indiana or so. 6-12 + from NE through N. IL and into S. MI nearly identical to the Feb 1st storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 February 16-17 looks promising. Something to track in fhe next week. Colorado low? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 00z GFS trending stronger each run with the Fat Tuesday system. This run, the GFS is producing Blizzard like conditions in KS/MO/IL/IN/MI..gusts up to 50mph showing up in IL/IN/MI. Another 1-2 Feet Blizzard???? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 It's wild to see this pattern in the models when we are still a week out trending stronger each run. Still way to far out to get excited, but certainly another potential major system on the table to affect the central CONUS early the following week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Yup, looking like a monster already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 EURO is going to be strong again. 996 in SW KS at HR 192 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 what did Euro and CMC show? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 06z GFS misses the phase. Storm is weaker and heads to the east quickly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 That was fun Party over non event February 16th 17th storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 That was fun Party over non event February 16th 17th storm Oh my, hope you are being sarcastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I bet this storm is a MSP special. Absolutely no way this would whiff us to the south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 It only took a couple days with a temp in the upper 30s to mid 40s to melt at least half of our snow. Hopefully, we can get one more period of good snow later in February or early March before spring arrives. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 That was fun Party over non event February 16th 17th stormLMAO.....still a week away and that was one model run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks more like an over running event on the 12z GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Storm is looking weak now. No phasing. But still a week away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 Last night's Euro and CMC must have sucked. Not one mention of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 12Z CMC shows everything pretty far south for Nebraska anyways- actually shows snow all the way down to Houston next week. Meanwhile, Boston is going to get hit again this Thursday/Friday it looks like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 12Z CMC shows everything pretty far south for Nebraska anyways- actually shows snow all the way down to Houston next week. Meanwhile, Boston is going to get hit again this Thursday/Friday it looks like.I'm starting to get sick of seeing Boston cash in. can't wait for them to get a 55 degree snow eating fog to take all their snow away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 A lot of the GEFS members show a boatload of snow for many in our area so I thought I would post 1 of those maps. Not saying it's going to happen but the potential is out there for a couple big storms to pop up this month. Of course the winner is the Massachusetts area but what else is new. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm starting to get sick of seeing Boston cash in. can't wait for them to get a 55 degree snow eating fog to take all their snow away. well they have a 40 inche depth right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 well they have a 40 inche depth right now67" and counting since 17 days ago...must be an amazing scenery out there! A lot of the GEFS members show a boatload of snow for many in our area so I thought I would post 1 of those maps. Not saying it's going to happen but the potential is out there for a couple big storms to pop up this month. Of course the winner is the Massachusetts area but what else is new. Thanks for posting Tony. Ensembles are the way to go as it was a good idea with the Super Bowl storm 4-5 days out when the Ensembles were showing huge hits and operational models backing down. Overnight Euro Ensembles also showing some big hits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 well they have a 40 inche depth right nowand yet some are complaining about the Euro whiffing them on Sunday. I am sorry but complaining when you have 40" OTG over only getting 6" from another event, means you dont deserve anything. That is weenieism to the extreme right there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm glad the EURO has backed off of the artic air this weekend Keep that where it belongs...in the Artic!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm glad the EURO has backed off of the artic air this weekend Keep that where it belongs...in the Artic!!I wouldn't say it backed off, it actually got worse for Sat/Sat night! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I wouldn't say it backed off, it actually got worse for Sat/Sat night!Actually, that was a sarcastic post...the "oh my" face! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 I was looking at the SB storm as it has some characteristics to this upcoming storm. From early on I believe the GEM and UKIE did not waffle much and were the most consistent with track and strength of the storm. The Euro about 5 days out lost the storm completely so expect the same this go around. GFS had it in the beginning and then suppressed this into nothing only to come around again to what it first showed. The GEFS ensembles did pretty well compared to the operational runs. Lots of folks were cancelling this storm but we all know what happened in the end. So, expect much waffling with most of the models and lets see which one is the most consistent with track and strength. So far I think GFS has been the most consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted February 9, 2015 Report Share Posted February 9, 2015 What was the status of the 18z GFS run? I am just wondering if it was suppressed. Either way, there's still a long time to go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.