Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 With this being the word of the day, let's all remember a 90s one hit wonder from Seattle. One of the best songs about self gratification of all time. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 PDX may have another surprise 90 in the barrel today. They are currently on pace with yesterday. At least that would put them at an even number.88. 28, 29, 30 will have to wait for October. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abbotsford_wx Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 No, but judging by your comments I would guess you think this troughy period will only be a blip on the radar as opposed to a meaningful change. Unless the November 2014 comparison was only a trolling attempt. It's so hard to tell these days! The troughing we experienced at the beginning of August had many people calling for a much different month than July, but that didn't exactly pan out. So I'd say it's a little premature to be calling this a major shift. I'm sure we'll still see plenty of ridging in September and October. We usually do, even if not anomalously so like the last couple of years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 The troughing we experienced at the beginning of August had many people calling for a much different month than July, but that didn't exactly pan out. So I'd say it's a little premature to be calling this a major shift. I'm sure we'll still see plenty of ridging in September and October. We usually do, even if not anomalously so like the last couple of years.Nobody cares what Canadians think. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Nobody cares what Canadians think.Tim does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 RPM model now showing almost no rain for the Willamette Valley through the weekend. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 RPM model now showing almost no rain for the Willamette Valley through the weekend.Maybe your tears will suffice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 RPM model now showing almost no rain for the Willamette Valley through the weekend. No doubt another 2 inches in my area this weekend... added to the 3 inches in the last month. And the 80 inches coming over the next 9 months. It rains a lot here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Underperformance in progress at PDX! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 No doubt another 2 inches in my area this weekend... added to the 3 inches in the last month. And the 80 inches coming over the next 9 months. It rains a lot here. No, I thought my area was 80 inches. You're not allowed to get the same as me! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 No, I thought my area was 80 inches. You're not allowed to get the same as me! Well I do. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Underperformance in progress at PDX!Nice dress rehearsal for precip underperformance this weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 27, 2015 Report Share Posted August 27, 2015 Nice dress rehearsal for precip underperformance this weekend!If the models are right it will just be performance. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 If the models are right it will just be performance.Maybe the 2015 wildfire season still has a fighting chance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Maybe the 2015 wildfire season still has a fighting chance.I read today they're considering charging Mother Nature criminally in the death of the firefighters. The Okanogan County Prosecutor is a real pitbull. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 I read today they're considering charging Mother Nature criminally in the death of the firefighters. The Okanogan County Prosecutor is a real pitbull. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Accountability. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted August 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 There was an earthquake in Abbotsford 30ish minutes ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 There was an earthquake in Abbotsford 30ish minutes ago. Hey. This isn't a seismology forum. It's a weather/gardening/wildfire/sports/law/aspiring comedians/personal therapy/anti-Canadian forum. 4 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 The rain has started here, even though radar says nope. A good shower just soaked everything. Edit: no rain now, must have just been a preview. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Look at that sucker bearing down on the PNW early next week. Been awhile since we've seen those 540 heights so close. I'll be in OR in a couple weeks, maybe everything will have greened up a little by then. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Look at that sucker bearing down on the PNW early next week. Been awhile since we've seen those 540 heights so close. gfs_namer_108_500_vort_ht.gif I'll be in OR in a couple weeks, maybe everything will have greened up a little by then.Sub-540dm thicknesses into WA on this run. Not too bad for early September. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 I was looking at some pictures of my pasture from mid-September 2013, everything was so green. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Won't be very good colors in the foothills this fall, at least not from the vine maples, most of them are dead, or their leaves are. #90daysnorain. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Won't be very good colors in the foothills this fall, at least not from the vine maples, most of them are dead, or their leaves are. #90daysnorain.Our maples look healthy and vibrant... should be a good fall up here depending on the timing of wind events. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abbotsford_wx Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 The modeling looks different as well as the system coming in itself. A cold weather enthusiast could be safe to say that today was probably the last concurrent day of summery weather, and this system represents an expected seasonal pattern change. Not disputing the pattern is different, but seasonal change tends to be more gradual. As for today being the last summery day, that depends on your definition of "summery" -- if you mean 90's, then I agree. I'd say there a good chance we'll see another stretch of 80's, but even mid-to-upper 70's and sunshine qualifies as summery in the PNW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Looks like winter will peak in the next 2 weeks. What a change. Looking forward to 2016. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Meteorological fall starts on Tuesday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 It's not everyday you see a 992mb low bearing down over the area in August with 60+ mph winds possible. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Not disputing the pattern is different, but seasonal change tends to be more gradual. As for today being the last summery day, that depends on your definition of "summery" -- if you mean 90's, then I agree. I'd say there a good chance we'll see another stretch of 80's, but even mid-to-upper 70's and sunshine qualifies as summery in the PNW.You must be purposefully missing his point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abbotsford_wx Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 You must be purposefully missing his point. No. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 This system is incredibly rare considering that the all-time high wind gust for PDX in August is only 39 mph. Getting excited to watch this thing develop now! Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 It's not everyday you see a 992mb low bearing down over the area in August with 60+ mph winds possible. Screen Shot 2015-08-27 at 10.25.43 PM.png Pretty rare stuff. Still pretty skeptical (the operational still shows pretty much just an open wave), but if it does wrap up with some true cyclogenesis mixing will be really good even in the valley. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Pretty rare stuff. Still pretty skeptical (the operational still shows pretty much just an open wave), but if it does wrap up with some true cyclogenesis mixing will be really good even in the valley. Agreed. I don't even think the models are picking up on the strong thermal gradient that we would have. Tough one to model considering the season. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Agreed. I don't even think the models are picking up on the strong thermal gradient that we would have. Tough one to model considering the season. THIS is where people should be jumping on board the blob train. Pretty unlikely that tropical energy has enough components left over at this point without it, even just at a mesoscale model level. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Forecast model interpretation for the following weeks.....http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_08280328_aug27a.pnghttp://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_08280329_aug27b.pnghttp://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_08280331_aug27c.pngSeptember is looking more and more like a warm month across eastern Canada with cooler and wetter conditions farther to the west. Upper ridging likely returns to the west coast with a drier weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Aw man...not more dry weather! I'm looking forward to fall/winter here. September is my least favourite month in this climate. Except 2013 was pretty awesome in Eugene. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 A warm rain starting to fall here now. Still 71F. Just remembered to cover up my patio chairs at the last minute, Crisis averted. Also took the time to clean out the spider webs and unidentified gunk from my rain gauge earlier this evening. Looks like it should get a nice work out over the next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/609-approaching-pattern-discussion/?p=83762 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 28, 2015 Report Share Posted August 28, 2015 Forecast model interpretation for the following weeks.....September is looking more and more like a warm month across eastern Canada with cooler and wetter conditions farther to the west. Upper ridging likely returns to the west coast with a drier weather.Man, good thing that's cleared up. Think of all the hours I would have wasted looking at the models if you hadn't made this post! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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