snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, FroYoBro said: No thank you. Just pizza, energy drinks, toilet paper and meth for me. Hope you're kidding about the meth. That stuff is horrible. 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Hope you're kidding about the meth. That stuff is horrible. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: The coastal waters have had a hell of a lot of excitement the last few weeks. Yep most definitely. 00z ECMWF in 56 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 00z ECMWF in 56 minutes You think they would consider running this 2 hours earlier? You know for those that start work at 6am... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Looks like some major arctic air may go east of the Rockies on this run, maybe we can snag some backdoor action. 1 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 The analogs are just tantalizing right now. Most of them really delivered the goods in the long run. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: You think they would consider running this 2 hours earlier? You know for those that start work at 6am... Starting Sunday all models will be an hour earlier, due to going back to Standard time. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just move the base of that ridge a little west... 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Starting Sunday all models will be an hour earlier, due to going back to Standard time. So that is true? I did hear about that, but I always thought the Euro started just before 11. Maybe I just don't remember. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The analogs are just tantalizing right now. Most of them really delivered the goods in the long run. Post the analogs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: I've seen enough pictures of what people addicted to that crap eventually look like. You would have to hate yourself to take it. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just move the base of that ridge a little west... Alaska looks toasty 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just move the base of that ridge a little west... At this point as long as things are amplified I'm not too worried about placement. That piece will eventually settle in nicely for us. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I've seen enough pictures of what people addicted to that crap eventually look like. You would have to hate yourself to take it. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Nice line between 2 air masses 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 A little bleed into E. Washington. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Strong push of cold air into Montana 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: I'm an X er actually. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: A little bleed into E. Washington. A little spill over through the Purcell Trench 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, snow drift said: Strong push of cold air into Montana The million dollar question is what will actually happen. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Overall though not a very interesting run. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Overall though not a very interesting run. 2008 has been coming up as a frequent analog recently. That November was painfully boring. I'm not so sure this one will be in the end though. Even if the month turns out to be a piece of sheit with a Nina a delay of the goods is often a good thing 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 2008 has been coming up as a frequent analog recently. That November was painfully boring. I'm not so sure this one will be in the end though. Even if the month turns out to be a piece of sheit with a Nina a delay of the goods is often a good thing Don’t worry. No winter cancel in November this year. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Running out of time…. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just move the base of that ridge a little west... Time to watch for notches and trends! C'MON!!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Down to 40 here now. Looks like a shot at 30s before midnight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 32 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: So that is true? I did hear about that, but I always thought the Euro started just before 11. Maybe I just don't remember. They will run it at the same time, but our time will have changed. It will run between 9:30 and 11:00 AM/PM starting Sunday. And the GFS will be between 7:30 and 9 AM/PM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Six weeks until sun angles increase. 2 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Lots of low to mid 30s already in the north half of Central and Eastern WA tonight. Winter is beginning to take hold. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Six weeks until sun angles increase. That was true for all of the greatest winters we've ever had as well. Many of which didn't get going at all until mid December. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Looks like they added Sumas to the Mesonet. That will be a fun one to watch during Arctic blasts. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That was true for all of the greatest winters we've ever had as well. Many of which didn't get going at all until mid December. Huh? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Huh? I know he was trying to play the Debbie Downer roll and I just countered it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 10:47 PM Radar Update VERY heavy rain roughly I-5 eastward in PDX metro and down the valley toward Foothills. There is a burst of wind with this too. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Even on 11/5/91, meteorological winter didn’t start for another 25 days and lasted for 90 days. 1 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I know he was trying to play the Debbie Downer roll and I just countered it. Uma Upper. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Uma Upper. No uppers for Jim 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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