MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Was a biting cold day, sitting at 41 degrees which is my high for the day so far! Most of the day we were at 39 with showers and gusty winds. Morning low was 32. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I didn't say it was imminent, just at least back on the table. We'll see... For what? I have done none of the complaining I did in my younger days. I have honestly come to accept the nature of our climate and use vacations as an outlet. And we can move if we don't like it. We get letters all the time from realtors representing people wanting to buy homes in our area.. We are fine. The summer of 2017 could be a real bummer. Already planning for that one. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Heading over the pass early tomorrow morning...should be a fun drive! If they are open that is, seems like the first big snow always bring crashes and jackknifed semi's up there. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Let's talk about mountain snow and high winds 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Let's talk about mountain snow and high windsAnd possible arctic air next week! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk74WprmZxY This would definitely be worse. Oh...that picture makes me cringe. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Let's talk about mountain snow and high winds There is mountain snow right now and tomorrow will be windy. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Heading over the pass early tomorrow morning...should be a fun drive! If they are open that is, seems like the first big snow always bring crashes and jackknifed semi's up there.rain, you'll be fine Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Nice to see a model consensus that we will be in a pattern in 8 days that will at least have a shot at bringing some winter weather to our area. All in all this is shaping up to be a pretty dynamic and active month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 rain, you'll be fineI'm worried about the aftermath if it gets bad tonight, I have heard many different times for the switchover to rain. The first (and only) big snow last year there were so many wrecks it took hours to clear them all. We shall see! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 My son is obsessed with tracking mountain snow totals... desperately wants to ski. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 This would definitely be worse. That looks extremely painful. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 There is mountain snow right now and tomorrow will be windy. Utterly profound! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Utterly profound! Thanks! He said to discuss it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Since it hasn't been posted. High Wind Warning finally was posted for most of Western Washington, including Seattle. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA621 PM PST MON NOV 16 2015WAZ509-511-555-556-558-559-171315-/O.UPG.KSEW.HW.A.0002.151117T1400Z-151118T0800Z//O.NEW.KSEW.HW.W.0004.151117T1300Z-151118T0200Z/TACOMA AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-621 PM PST MON NOV 16 2015...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM PST TUESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WINDWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM PST TUESDAY. THEHIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* WIND...SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPHARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO THEAFTERNOON HOURS.* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...EVERETT...SHELTON...BREMERTON...ANDSEATTLE.* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR FROM MIDMORNING TO MID AFTERNOON TUESDAY.* IMPACTS...HIGH WINDS CAN DOWN TREES...DAMAGE PROPERTY...ANDCAUSE POWER OUTAGES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTEDOR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Nice to see a model consensus that we will be in a pattern in 8 days that will at least have a shot at bringing some winter weather to our area. All in all this is shaping up to be a pretty dynamic and active month. If there's one month you can count on to be fairly interesting, tough to beat November. Especially the past 15 years. A couple of snoozers in there, but a lot more very dynamic months. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I never have said anything about a drought. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I'm glad the temperature is going back up right now. Today honestly felt pretty uncomfortable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I will take this rain over the sweat box summer we had. Keep that crap in California. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Going to be some intense rain tomorrow afternoon with the cold front... and very quick drying behind it. Extremely dynamic day. Here is 1-4 p.m. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_024_precip_p03.gif And then by 7 p.m. its gone... here is the 7-10 p.m. timeframe. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_030_precip_p03.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I will take this rain over the sweat box summer we had. Keep that crap in California. Strange thing to say. Both are aspects of our climate. And also represent what we call "seasons". Just looking over August... SEA only had 1 day over 90 (the first day of the month). And many days in the 70s and a couple days in the 60s. And it was the 4th wettest August in history. So we had plenty of rain as well. 95% of the country (and most of the world) would call that cool summer weather... and pleasant. When we have cool, wet summer weather we should all chant "keep that crap in Alaska". Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I'm glad the temperature is going back up right now. Today honestly felt pretty uncomfortable. Are you being serious? Today was great for the mountains. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 On the 0z GFS you can see our coming cold snap is already unfolding over the GOA by day 6. It will be interesting to see how the details unfold in the coming days. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I'm glad the temperature is going back up right now. Today honestly felt pretty uncomfortable. Are you serious? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I could get use to lows taking this track. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 That low placment would be snow for some Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I could get use to lows taking this track. slp.60.0000.gifLooks like a Nov. 1996 track...had about 10" of snow that time! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 On the 0z GFS you can see our coming cold snap is already unfolding over the GOA by day 6. It will be interesting to see how the details unfold in the coming days.Verdict: PV wins, deflects NPAC wave break. Probably the most likely outcome, IMO. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Verdict: PV wins, deflects NPAC wave break. Probably the most likely outcome, IMO.explain Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 explainI think that means good for us. Could be wrong though. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I think that means good for us. Could be wrong though.well I assumed that too but... well ya know. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I think that means good for us. Could be wrong though.Unfortunately, not good. The NPAC wave break is the conduit for your downstream meridional response. In other words, flat, zonal flow is your end result. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Unfortunately, not good. The NPAC wave break is the conduit for your downstream meridional response. In other words, no upstream amplification = zonal flow.Why don't you ever give us good news??? Just kidding, thanks for the info. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Why don't you ever give us good news??? Just kidding, thanks for the info.Haha, I'm rooting for anything interesting. I hate zonal flow. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I could get use to lows taking this track. slp.60.0000.gif No doubt. It just never seems to happen. I bet that thing comes in north of that. Would be so nice if OR could take lows on a regular basis in the winter. That path would also be great for the mountains. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 I predict gusts to 50 mph around my house Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 00Z Canadian is better than its 12Z run for next week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Strange thing to say. Both are aspects of our climate. And also represent what we call "seasons". Just looking over August... SEA only had 1 day over 90 (the first day of the month). And many days in the 70s and a couple days in the 60s. And it was the 4th wettest August in history. So we had plenty of rain as well. 95% of the country (and most of the world) would call that cool summer weather... and pleasant. When we have cool, wet summer weather we should all chant "keep that crap in Alaska". Yeah, but almost all of the rain fell in 4 days that month. So while the total ended up wet, it wasn't really a rainy August. Plus, over half the days were 80+. It was definitely a warm, summery month. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 Yeah, but almost all of the rain fell in 4 days that month. So while the total ended up wet, it wasn't really a rainy August. A nice month overall... lots of rain and lots of sun. PNW at its best. He makes it sound like it was 118 degrees every day the entire summer. It was over 90 for about 2 hours the entire month in Seattle. 33% of the days had highs at or below 75... 3 days were in the 60s. Most Californians would love to have such nice weather in August. Keep what crap in CA?? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 17, 2015 Report Share Posted November 17, 2015 A nice month overall... some cloudy days and cooler weather... lots of rain and lots of sun. PNW at its best. He makes it sound like it was 118 degrees every day the entire summer. It was over 90 for about 2 hours the entire month in Seattle. Californians would love to have such nice weather in August. Keep what crap in CA?? Keep all the smog, we already have the dirty strip malls and overpriced homes. No doubt. It just never seems to happen. I bet that thing comes in north of that. Would be so nice if OR could take lows on a regular basis in the winter. That path would also be great for the mountains. Yup that is what is frustrating most of the time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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