Phil Posted February 9, 2022 Report Share Posted February 9, 2022 For instance, here’s the running 50yr average *trend* in global temperatures on HADCRUT4. There are a number of expressed resonances in systemic heat flow(s), and we may be due for a multidecadal slowdown or temporary reversal soon. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 9, 2022 Report Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 hours ago, Phil said: What about the CFS?! Get far enough out in time and the blend of solutions will usually start to look like the ENSO/low frequency state as intraseasonal cycles get washed out in the averages. It would have more meaning if this was a winter with a neutral ENSO/weak low pass regime. But you have to suspect there will be a -PNA episode given the coming E-IO/MC MJO transit. I cannot think of a SINGLE Niña winter where such an event failed to produce a -PNA response in Feb/Mar following -dAAMt in the tropics. It is one of the most predictable outcomes from a subseasonal forecasting standpoint. If it fails, that would be extraordinary in my opinion, and lend credence to the idea that there is indeed a substantial change happening w/ regards to the West-Pacific Warm Pool/off-Eq NPAC convection and associated z-circulations. And that would have major implications for western North America. Particularly the SW US. Resembles what happened there during the medieval climate anomaly (decades of megadroughts and fires, the soot from which is present in sediment cores across the continent). Man sounds like its over. But I started following Phil on twitter maybe that will change our luck! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 9, 2022 Report Share Posted February 9, 2022 Arctic warming seems to have leveled off over the last decade, as well. Time will tell. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 Ugly. Poo January, Poo February. But we all know this will flip for March and April, but by that time, winter's already done. Just deal with drip drip drip coolish weather into June. Tim's favorite kind! 1 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 19 minutes ago, Cloud said: Ugly. Poo January, Poo February. But we all know this will flip for March and April, but by that time, winter's already done. Just deal with drip drip drip coolish weather into June. Tim's favorite kind! I don’t know it will flip to wet. In fact, I’m convinced it won’t. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 89 in Vacaville, CA today. Pretty surreal for February 9. That is a typical June day there. 86 at Oroville shatters the previous monthly record of 82 set in 2018. 61 in Corvallis and sunny. 79 in Brookings. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 50 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: I don’t know it will flip to wet. In fact, I’m convinced it won’t. I’m starting to agree. Never ending nightmare. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 lmao! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Cloud said: Ugly. Poo January, Poo February. But we all know this will flip for March and April, but by that time, winter's already done. Just deal with drip drip drip coolish weather into June. Tim's favorite kind! If only we could get that lucky haven’t had a cool and wet spring in years Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 Hit 67 in The Dalles today they were 70 on December 1st probably one of the shortest seasons without 65+ highs on record there 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 33 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 89 in Vacaville, CA today. Pretty surreal for February 9. That is a typical June day there. 86 at Oroville shatters the previous monthly record of 82 set in 2018. 61 in Corvallis and sunny. 79 in Brookings. It was a gorgeous day here in Palm Springs. Absolutely perfect weather. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 23 minutes ago, Thunder98 said: lmao! I see an Oswego lake effect bullseye. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 56 minutes ago, Phil said: I see an Oswego lake effect bullseye. Haha. If by bullseye you mean donut hole, you would be right. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 56/34 day here low clouds burned off by 2pm four more days of this February heat wave to go we will probably hit 60 at some point. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: It was a gorgeous day here in Palm Springs. Absolutely perfect weather. I would like to visit there some day and I think it's great that you have been to Hawaii and Palm Springs recently. Some people get to take trips like those once in a lifetime. Good job bro. No super bowl snow this year. Kinda sad. Love FebRUARY SNOW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awright-31 Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 02-08-2022 OBS for MBY High temp - 52* at 1:01 pm Low temp - 33* at 12:15 am New precip - 0" February precip to date- 0.23" We have recieved 4% of our normal February precip 29% of the way through the month. New snow - 0" Winter 21-22 Snow to Date - 10.9" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, The Swamp said: I would like to visit there some day and I think it's great that you have been to Hawaii and Palm Springs recently. Some people get to take trips like those once in a lifetime. Good job bro. No super bowl snow this year. Kinda sad. Love FebRUARY SNOW. Yeah... SB Sunday has been crazy good lately. It's so late this year which is probably normal now with the 17 game schedule. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted February 10, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: It was a gorgeous day here in Palm Springs. Absolutely perfect weather. Are you going to hit up all the clubs? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Haha. If by bullseye you mean donut hole, you would be right. I think he meant Oswego, NY. Phil is an Easterner and the closest he's ever been to Oregon is Stampede Pass. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 Weren’t we just taking yesterday about how we routinely get PUMMELED by wind-driven snow in March? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 13 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I think he meant Oswego, NY. Phil is an Easterner and the closest he's ever been to Oregon is Stampede Pass. I did, but I figured I’d get his attention. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 10 hours ago, Meatyorologist said: Stumbled upon some footage of Washington state during the region's coolest summer of the last 100 years. Seems they picked one of the warmer days, maybe July 13th or 14th. Given the occasional tufts of stratus I'd say it's unlikely it was during the 96°F heatwave in early June that year. Weather nerd-ing aside it's remarkable footage. There is a shot of Mt. Rainier during a fly by and when compared to modern day satellite, there is some glacial reduction, however nothing too shocking. All in all the region looks remarkably similar; it's quite eerie how familiar yet distant this video feels. I wasn’t even invented yet…..weird! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 47 minutes ago, Phil said: I did, but I figured I’d get his attention. Ah, I was wondering about that. I know you’re in the DC area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 What’s everybody doing? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: What’s everybody doing? watching the Olympics Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: What’s everybody doing? Multivariable calc homework 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: What’s everybody doing? Watching college basketball. Currently 43F. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 16 minutes ago, Deweydog said: What’s everybody doing? Just ordered wifi for new new house. Buying a house @ 22 is scary cause I got no idea wtf I just got myself into 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Watching college basketball. Currently 43F. U see the Ohio State Rutgers game? Ohio State chocked 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Just ordered wifi for new new house. Buying a house @ 22 is scary cause I got no idea wtf I just got myself into 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Just ordered wifi for new new house. Buying a house @ 22 is scary cause I got no idea wtf I just got myself into Always good to be in the real estate market as early as possible. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Just ordered wifi for new new house. Buying a house @ 22 is scary cause I got no idea wtf I just got myself into Scary but SMART! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 25 minutes ago, Deweydog said: What’s everybody doing? Crying myself to sleep looking at the models 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Always good to be in the real estate market as early as possible. 8 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Scary but SMART! I’m down to hold a forum meet up at my house this spring!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I’m down to hold a forum meet up at my house this spring!!!! I’ll bring room temp White Claws!!! 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Just ordered wifi for new new house. Buying a house @ 22 is scary cause I got no idea wtf I just got myself into bought my first home on the east coast at 23. that was 24 years ago. think I paid $103K for it lol. lived in it for 2 years and got transferred with my job from SC to NH and it became an investment property. still own it. thought about selling it when we moved to the west coast (CA) 10 years ago. But decided to keep it and a house lived in in TN for 3 years. Now own 4 properties in 3 states. (WA, TN, 2 in SC, one of the properties in SC is a Vacation condo on the coast) and have owned property in 6 states. SC, NH, TN, GA, CA and WA. It's never too early to get in the real estate game. You'll do fine. cheers 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 LoLakers. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 38 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Scary but SMART! I’m working on possibly buying a tractor…Scary and not smart since they are now nearly the price of a new car…But it will be quite the back saver! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 10, 2022 Report Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Omegaraptor said: Multivariable calc homework Fun stuff, isn’t it? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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