Went off the rails, from start to finish.

Looks like the low was just weaker and took a slightly eastward track. It’s not really that far off from the previous runs. Slight differences in track and pressure rise made a big difference. We probably won’t really know have a great idea of what’s going to happen until the night before. Even then…the storm a decade ago looked like a lock.

Not sure the EURO will get there in the LR.

Why is this surprising? Models waver on low tracks basically up until the event. All it takes is 50 miles east or west and it’s basically a non event.

Im sure its been posted but WTF WAS THAT NAM 3KM RUN. 80 MPH in PDX and 70 at SEA.