April 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The 0z GEM is also hinting at some fun this Saturday, more of a WSW flow but still could do the trick.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017042500/gem_mslp_pcpn_nwus_20.png

[ShawniganLake]

Only wet on Van Island. I have no desire to reach 100% above average precipitation for the month.

99.99% of the island has seen plenty of rain. We need the ground to dry out a bit.

[ShawniganLake]

Another mild sunny day here, we couldn't even catch so much as a passing shower. Now up to 11 days without significant rainfall. Hopefully we can score a rainier pattern in May/June to avoid a 3rd crippling summer drought.

At least victoria has that new reservoir that is overflowing after 66" of rain this season. Get the sprinklers ready.

[wx_statman]

That's fascinating. Do you have any links about this sort of thing?

 

No, I don't unfortunately. I read about this a while ago. It was a piece about how there used to be more coastal erosion during that era in S. California.

[wx_statman]

Felt like winter this morning. Mid 40's, moderate rain, and east winds around 15 mph. 

[TT-SEA]

I am so jealous!    

 

Weekend snowstorm per the 00Z ECMWF:

 

[Jesse]

Felt like winter this morning. Mid 40's, moderate rain, and east winds around 15 mph.

Indeed. I was thinking the same thing yesterday. Pretty persistent cold deformation band over the Portland area most of the day. Decent mountain snows above 3,500'.

[wx_statman]

I am so jealous!    

 

Weekend snowstorm per the 00Z ECMWF:

 

 

That would be amazing if it verified. They've only had one other snowstorm like this so late in the spring...early May 2013. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF was aggressive in bringing in rain on Saturday... 12Z run is back to being dry for everyone that day.  

 

Here is 5 p.m. on Saturday on the 12Z ECMWF coming out now...

 

[epiceast]

00Z ECMWF was aggressive in bringing in rain on Saturday... 12Z run is back to being dry for everyone that day.  

 

Here is 5 p.m. on Saturday on the 12Z ECMWF coming out now...

 

Can you post a snow and a rain map for next 72 hours with a slightly larger frame? Thanks

[TT-SEA]

Can you post a snow and a rain map for next 72 hours with a slightly larger frame? Thanks

 

[TT-SEA]

And a little eye candy from the 12Z ECMWF for next Wednesday...

 

[Guest happ]

I really thought this was their year.

Not when the Dubs are in town

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not when the Dubs are in town

I hope someone can beat them.

[Guest happ]

I hope someone can beat them.

Clippers or Jazz are next to be swept.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Clippers or Jazz are next to be swept.

NBA is a joke right now unfortunately. No parity at all.

[James Jones]

NBA is a joke right now unfortunately. No parity at all.

 

It's pretty much always been that way. Lakers and Celtics in the 80s, Bulls in the 90s, Lakers and Spurs in the 00s... this incarnation of the Warriors is a bit more extreme though.

[Guest happ]

It's pretty much always been that way. Lakers and Celtics in the 80s, Bulls in the 90s, Lakers and Spurs in the 00s... this incarnation of the Warriors is a bit more extreme though.

Not to forget that every team has to deal with Lebron.

[BLI snowman]

NBA is a joke right now unfortunately. No parity at all.

 

Celtics won 8 consecutive championships at one point with Bill Russell.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Celtics won 8 consecutive championships at one point with Bill Russell.

Yeah I guess it's not a right now thing.

[Guest happ]

When was the last year the Wizards were in the playoffs? That's parity, too 

[stuffradio]

Go Grizzlies!

[Deweydog]

When was the last year the Wizards were in the playoffs? That's parity, too

Less than two years ago.

[TT-SEA]

Another bonus day... partly sunny here all day so far and calm.    At least the timing has been favorable the last couple days.

[Jesse]

Another bonus day... partly sunny here all day so far and calm. At least the timing has been favorable the last couple days.

Wrong forum. Post this stuff over on the weather side.

[TT-SEA]

Wrong forum. Post this stuff over on the weather side.

Sorry.

 

Go Mariners!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wet nasty day down here.

[FroYoBro]

NOT WEATHER RELATED:

 

I made some music, not sure anyone will like it, but thought I would share with my weather friends.

 

https://soundcloud.com/meursaultbeats/sets/songs-to-run-to

[Jesse]

Wet nasty day down here.

At least Basketball teams exist to distract us from this torturous weather. Take solace in that, my son.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

At least Basketball teams exist to distract us from this torturous weather. Take solace in that, my son.

I know, I was never very talented at basketball though, in fact the opposite of talented. So sometimes watching reminds me of my own inadequacy.

[TT-SEA]

Still totally dry here... first band fell apart on arrival.

 

I know for one brief fleeting moment how wonderful it is in Victoria every day.

[Jesse]

I know, I was never very talented at basketball though, in fact the opposite of talented. So sometimes watching reminds me of my own inadequacy.

You were a baseball pimp though. ️

[Jesse]

The 18z and ensembles says we stay in a generally cooler than average regime. Should be brighter and drier with more NW flow and brief periods of shortwave ridging, though.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Still totally dry here... first band fell apart on arrival.

 

I know for one brief fleeting moment how wonderful it is in Victoria every day.

 

Up to 12 days without significant rainfall here, already seeing signs of drying grass in sunny spots. I've had several random people comment on the "nice" weather, they don't seem to understand that unless we get a rainy May we're looking at a terrible drought this summer.

[Timmy Supercell]

Had a nice showery day. High of 48 degrees which could be a touch warmer but today worked I guess.

 

NOT WEATHER RELATED:

 

I made some music, not sure anyone will like it, but thought I would share with my weather friends.

 

https://soundcloud.com/meursaultbeats/sets/songs-to-run-to

 

Hey that's not bad. Normally I'm not even into that genre and I thought these were good. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Well... I assure you that our region is WAAAAAAAAAAAAAY overdue for a drier pattern.   So its coming.  

 

And how many Springs are out there that do not give us brief warm spells before July? At least in western Oregon memory I cannot say offhand I've had one like that.

[Jesse]

NOT WEATHER RELATED:

 

I made some music, not sure anyone will like it, but thought I would share with my weather friends.

 

https://soundcloud.com/meursaultbeats/sets/songs-to-run-to

 

I like it. You should see if you can get them to play it on 94.7. Seems like something they might feature on their EDM PDX show or something. They're pretty good about supporting local stuff.

[TT-SEA]

Up to 12 days without significant rainfall here, already seeing signs of drying grass in sunny spots. I've had several random people comment on the "nice" weather, they don't seem to understand that unless we get a rainy May we're looking at a terrible drought this summer.

 

But if you just drive 5 miles away... the world is sopping wet and thoroughly saturated.   

 

I have not heard a single person in real life say anything good about the weather this spring.   But then its literally been raining almost every single day since the end of January.   

[Trainwreck]

But if you just drive 5 miles away... the world is sopping wet and thoroughly saturated.

 

I have not heard a single person in real life say anything good about the weather this spring. But then its literally been raining almost every single day since the end of January.

Change the record. Good god

[TT-SEA]

Change the record. Good god

 

Waiting on nature to change the record.