January 2016 Observations and Discussion

[Geos]

LE snow showers starting to get it's act together again. Could see some minor accumulations and maybe even some heavier bands of snow later this evening.

 

Yeah it is looking better on radar now. Flake size increased here.

[CentralNebWeather]

Would love to be in Washington, D.C. To experience this storm

[james1976]

Jim Cantore has the best job!  I'd love to be a reporter out there in this massive storm.  Thundersnow is almost inevitable.

I was literall just gonna say that! Just watching TWC. Id love his job haha.

[james1976]

Cantore said possibly 4" OR MORE per/hr rates. Thundersnow across many states.
DC Mayor said they havent seen a forecast like this in 90 years.

[Geos]

Northern Cook County with 20 dbz returns now. LES getting stronger.

 

Too bad it's not cold here, we'd could be getting dumped on.

[Tom]

Better convergence will be setting up later tonight as the winds veer more northerly.  Could get some decent banding off the lake after 7pm.

 

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-90.76,40.66,3000/loc=-88.222,42.457

 

 

[Geos]

Better convergence will be setting up later tonight as the winds veer more northerly.  Could get some decent banding off the lake after 7pm.

 

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-90.76,40.66,3000/loc=-88.222,42.457

 

There's almost a solid plume now north of Milwaukee hitting Manitowoc. If that could build inland a bit and move down the shore, could be looking at 1"/ hour rates.

[Tom]

#TheDayAfterTomorrow...that's wild to see that much flooding along the EC

 

[gabel23]

#TheDayAfterTomorrow...that's wild to see that much flooding along the EC

 

Remember, this storm is occurring during a full moon. That means not only do you have the effects from the storm but the highest of your tides!

[jcwxguy]

Thundersnow from the international space station, looking down at the East Coast storm. Photo from astronaut Scott Kelly.

 

 

[Snowlover76]

Nor'Easters are awesome.  I imagine my parents get 30+ from this and it beats when 1996 did for their area. 

[Snowlover76]

Pics from my parents 

 

 

 

http://www.usa-wx.com/forum/uploads/monthly_2016_01/image.thumb.jpg.39a670078a2ce81d418dedd9c8728603.jpg

http://www.usa-wx.com/forum/uploads/monthly_2016_01/image.thumb.jpg.96cf121c6e561d20730e2a34535c2b29.jpg

http://www.usa-wx.com/forum/uploads/monthly_2016_01/image.thumb.jpg.e337540e9e0eafc4f0a70fae3efa9bfb.jpg

[Snowlover76]

NYC only needs 2 more inches to break the all time record.  They were at 25.1 at 7pm EST, and I think they break it. 

[jcwxguy]

https://www.facebook.com/joshuawilcox/videos/10100237161883894/

[Geos]

https://www.facebook.com/joshuawilcox/videos/10100237161883894/

 

Way cool! Thanks for sharing.

[Grizzcoat]

DCA may have issues with snow totals..

 

.https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/23/washington-d-c-snowfall-total-called-into-question-after-improper-measurement/

[Maxim]

DCA has always had issues with snow measurements, no surprises there.

[Geos]

Yeah from what I read the officials at the airport are not NWS employees or trained properly. DCA had three hours of moderate snow and they only recorded 0.3" of accumulation. You know that's wrong. They should have realized that and took several measurement and averaged it. The Central Park observers left off several tenths of an inch that fell after 1am, which would have put the location into the #1 spot.

 

In other news had a much cloudier and colder weekend than predicted. Only 28° today, now clear and down to 22°

[OKwx2k4]

Yeah from what I read the officials at the airport are not NWS employees or trained properly. DCA had three hours of moderate snow and they only recorded 0.3" of accumulation. You know that's wrong. They should have realized that and took several measurement and averaged it. The Central Park observers left off several tenths of an inch that fell after 1am, which would have put the location into the #1 spot.

 

In other news had a much cloudier and colder weekend than predicted. Only 28° today, now clear and down to 22°

Lol. Folks in DC can't even measure snow right. That's terrible.

[Geos]

Lol. Folks in DC can't even measure snow right. That's terrible.

 

You can see a problem clearly here.

 

 

I hear they measure snow really close to the river, which is no good. Those 18" amounts to the N and W are also suspect. Most agree that the airport should have been over 22".

[NEJeremy]

I believe as of yesterday(24th) we have now had measurable snow on the ground here in Omaha for 30 consecutive days! Not too bad for a Nino winter. Added an inch back today to what melted yesterday. We're probably still at about 3" or so.

[Geos]

I believe as of yesterday(24th) we have now had measurable snow on the ground here in Omaha for 30 consecutive days! Not too bad for a Nino winter. Added an inch back today to what melted yesterday. We're probably still at about 3" or so.

 

Will be the same case here in 2 days. 34 days total this winter so far. Not bad at all.

[Tom]

Will be the same case here in 2 days. 34 days total this winter so far. Not bad at all.

Whoever gets nailed by the GHD storm, I think they have a good chance at seeing that snow last through the entire month of Feb and into the early part of March.  Unlike the past 2 GHD storms, I don't expect to see a huge warm up in the 5-10 day range that will melt the snow pack.  In 2011, we saw some big time cold post storm for 7 days or so, then the torch came and by mid month it was gone!

 

Post storm...

 

 

 

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201102/nsm_depth_2011020305_National.jpg

 

 

After torch...

 

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201102/nsm_depth_2011021805_National.jpg

 

 

In 2015, we also had some real cold post storm for about 5 days....

 

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201502/nsm_depth_2015020205_National.jpg

 

to this by the 10th...more than half of it melted...

 

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201502/nsm_depth_2015021005_National.jpg

 

 

 

Let's hope we can all see a sweet snow pack as we roll into Feb!

[Geos]

I wish we could have held onto that February snow cover longer also. With the collapse of the polar vortex likely soon, the cold usually hits 2-3 weeks after that happens. Got a feeling winter might last into March this year again.

[Tom]

I wish we could have held onto that February snow cover longer also. With the collapse of the polar vortex likely soon, the cold usually hits 2-3 weeks after that happens. Got a feeling winter might last into March this year again.

I don't doubt it also, in fact, the LRC suggests the "cold phase" of this year to hit during cycle #3 end of Feb into the first part of March.  Euro Ensembles keep the pattern below normal post Feb 1st-3rd system and develop a eastern CONUS trough.

[Geos]

There's a snowstorm going on here! Blowing and snowing sideways.

[Geos]

Sure does look better outside with a little new snow.

[Niko]

Temps here might be approaching 50F this Sunday, unreal. El Nino doing its thing I guess. Rain in the forecast too for this weekend. I still have patches of snow that are still hanging on.

[Tom]

Have you guys out in NE melted a lot of the snow from today's temps???  Looks like temps will avg in the mid/upper 40's over the next few days.  Hope your snow cover can hold on to keep the streak going!

[westMJim]

I am down in Fort Myers until Monday and will drop this about todays wet weather down here. For the most part its been nice down here until today

Down here in Fort Myers (and most of the southern half of Florida) we had tons and tons of rain. We had several hours of very heavy rain and there is some flooding that has taken place.  There have been reports of over 5” of rain.  Its still very warm by our standards the high here today was 70° and the current temp here is 67° with a dp of 64°

[CentralNebWeather]

My good snow cover from last weekend is slipping away. 53 today. Piles of snow and shaded places is about all that is left in my area of central Nebraska

[gabel23]

Have you guys out in NE melted a lot of the snow from today's temps???  Looks like temps will avg in the mid/upper 40's over the next few days.  Hope your snow cover can hold on to keep the streak going!

Still around 2-3" of snow on the ground, will be interesting to see if the ditches and drifts survive the melt. We have some drifts that are 3-5' and ditches are full of snow.

[Tom]

My good snow cover from last weekend is slipping away. 53 today. Piles of snow and shaded places is about all that is left in my area of central Nebraska

It's time to refresh that scene!

 

Still around 2-3" of snow on the ground, will be interesting to see if the ditches and drifts survive the melt. We have some drifts that are 3-5' and ditches are full of snow.

I think those drifts stand a good chance...thinking the snow cover streak will come to end though.  Oh well, you'll get a nice refresher to open Feb.

[CentralNebWeather]

Amen Tom

[Snowshoe]

Had a quick snow squall this morning in advance of the cold front. Big wet flakes. Wish it would have last a few hours but unfortunately not. Sure was pretty!

[Geos]

Nice Snowshoe

 

Had some flurries today as the front went through. Actually made it to 38° before the front came through.

 

We both might get some snow this weekend if this system continues to dig and get stronger.

 

[OKwx2k4]

I love how the GFS always tries to snow on me on day 10-11. A couple of times a season is ok but it's gotten out of hand with it this year. Lol

[Tom]

On a side note, a lot of places on the EC who saw the Blizzard have seen their snow melt away.  NYC down to 6", DC down to 10" and parts of PA down to less than 10".  I dunno about you, but that is pretty depressing.  The storm we are tracking now for GHD overall will have a much better piece of mind "after the storm" than their Great Blizzard of 2016.

[gosaints]

On a side note, a lot of places on the EC who saw the Blizzard have seen their snow melt away.  NYC down to 6", DC down to 10" and parts of PA down to less than 10".  I dunno about you, but that is pretty depressing.  The storm we are tracking now for GHD overall will have a much better piece of mind "after the storm" than their Great Blizzard of 2016.

I would take my chances and except the 26.8 that NYC recieved in 24 hours.  

[WildWisconsinWeather]

I would take my chances and except the 26.8 that NYC recieved in 24 hours.  

 

Yeah, most of us are not primarily snowcover enthusiasts, but moreso snowstorm lovers.  I could only dream about averaging over 1"/hr rates for a whole 24 hour period.