Bham_Guy Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Btw, I am still curious about the option to put people on ignore here. There a certain few I have in mind... The Weather Forums → My control panel → Settings → 'Ignore' Preferences Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 I appreciate a diversity of opinions and perspectives.Me too. Not a big fan of "opinions" formed simply to aggravate others, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 The Weather Forums → My control panel → Settings → 'Ignore' Preferences Now Jesse will put me on ignore. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Me too. Not a big fan of "opinions" formed simply to aggravate others, though. I'm not really trying to aggravate you. I'm tired or our weather trolling the out of us with one dumpfest of a winter after another. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Now Jesse will put me on ignore.Not necessarily. I still like barely over half of what you post. There are others who are definitely worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'm not really trying to aggravate you. I'm tired or our weather trolling the s**t out of us with one dumpfest of a winter after another.I feel you. I'm just trying to enjoy what we have right now. At least it feels a little wintery out here. I do think February had a lot of potential too. Past history shows it can be a good month. I guess I just don't get the pessimism simply for the sake of pessimism. Despite the blisteringly hot late January sun, true spring is still well over a month away for the lowlands. Probably a lot longer than that for you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Monty67 Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Did KVUO make his way to the new forum, or did he disappear? Under a new name perhaps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Hopefully a mutual love of the 12z Euro can help us put all of our differences behind us. The progression looks great, and is moving up. It has been SO long since we've seen decent arctic air in the first ten days of February. Fingers crossed... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Did KVUO make his way to the new forum, or did he disappear? Under a new name perhaps?I believe he is now BLI snowman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Monty67 Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 I believe he is now BLI snowman. Ahhh, that makes sense. The euro is not ugly, but not great, room for improvement. In general seems like things are trending better Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Ahhh, that makes sense. The euro is not ugly, but not great, room for improvement. In general seems like things are trending betterWe must not be looking at the same Euro. I would call the 12z run great. It really seems like some people will never be happy... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Monty67 Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 We must not be looking at the same Euro. I would call the 12z run great. It really seems like some people will never be happy... "Great"... really? What is great about it, not trying to start an argument or anything. I will be happy when its 28F and there is 6" of snow on my front steps. I don't see that happening with what the euro is showing. That's why I said there is room for improvement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 12Z Euro is pretty good for those seeking a pattern change. It definitely opens the door for opportunity next month, I'd say. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chinook Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Despite the wind...fantastic day. McMinnville...Sunny and close to 50. taunting of spring? Probably not but I'll take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Today COULD be mistaken for a mid October day if it were colder than average and sunny. It COULD also be mistaken for a mid April day if it were colder than average and sunny and the earth's tilt got screwed up pretty bad. It COULD be mistaken for a mid January day if it were a week or so ago. Lots of possibilities. Keep those eyes on the models! Don't ignore them if they get you down! They MIGHT start ignoring you!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex_Snakes Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 "Great"... really? What is great about it, not trying to start an argument or anything. I will be happy when its 28F and there is 6" of snow on my front steps. I don't see that happening with what the euro is showing. That's why I said there is room for improvement. http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Rc8k_D3yYoE/Tw4IyOKMysI/AAAAAAAAAls/awgasVzJMfA/s320/Stephen-Colbert-Popcorn.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 43F and CLEAR sunny skies in Eugene...finally. This is the nicest day here since I've been back from the sunny southern hemisphere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
50shadesofvan Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Latest NAEFS EPSgram shows high likelihood of precipitation by the 28th or 29th, but remember, NAEFS although more skillful than CMC/NCEP alone, still rapidly lose skill after 10 days...Note the cooling trend in early February, but the error bars are still quite significant. Quote 50 Shades of Van: A weather blog dedicated to providing the public with easily accessible and downright interesting weather information for Vancouver, BC and the Pacific Northwest Latest Post: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/10/23/chaos-in-the-pacific-storm-parade-route-unknown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 There are others who are definitely worse.And you're one of them. It really seems like some people will never be happy...NOT with confrontational people like you. It's fascinating seeing you call people out for their opinion but then acting as if your opinion is the only one that matters. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slim1357 Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 And you're one of them. NOT with confrontational people like you. It's fascinating seeing you call people out for their opinion but then acting as if your opinion is the only one that matters.Nailed it. I've been lurking here and the other forum for several years. Some people seem to think that a realistic analysis is being pessimistic or negative just to be pessimistic or negative. Some seem to think a statement of truth, for example "it feels like spring today" is trolling. This makes no sense to me but I don't take the weather too personally. I'm bummed about this ski season but there will be future ones. I'm bummed about the lack of valley snow since 2008 but we will get another snowstorm someday. It is what it is. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Monty67 Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 If there is 6 inches of snow, I will set up a lawn chair on my front steps and eat popcorn just like that. I am moving Jan 30th, I am sure my new neighbours will think I am crazy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 12z GEM shows classic retrogression. 12z EURO looks fine also. 12z GFS isn't bad either. Still a long ways to go, but I certainly like the pattern change advertised. Anything but another ridge at or inside 130 W. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 12z GEM shows classic retrogression. 12z EURO looks fine also. 12z GFS isn't bad either. Still a long ways to go, but I certainly like the pattern change advertised. Anything but another ridge at or inside 130 W.Amen to that... In about 10 to 15 days we may all need to be snacken on some popcorn watching the snow fall or eating it to comfort ourselves because the outcome sucked. For now ,things are waaaaaaay out there but at least we have baby steps. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 And you're one of them. NOT with confrontational people like you. It's fascinating seeing you call people out for their opinion but then acting as if your opinion is the only one that matters.I think the best thing Jesse can do is put the whole board on ignore then he can have a love fest with himself. 2 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'm looking at the 12z GEFS individual members, and I'm not sure what's so great about them...only a few of them are cold enough for snow in the lowlands. Furthermore, most of them send the brunt of the cold east of the Rockies...the different timing amongst them leads to a smudged SE ridge look as heights rise due to phasing in the central US. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 I'm looking at the 12z GEFS individual members, and I'm not sure what's so great about them...only a few of them are cold enough for snow in the lowlands. Furthermore, most of them send the brunt of the cold east of the Rockies...the different timing amongst them leads to a smudged SE ridge look as heights rise due to phasing in the central US. It is better than anything we have experinced in the last 3 weeks, that is what is so great about them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman Josh Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Ya, I'm not seeing anything all that great. Pattern seems to be shifting but I see some easterly slide as we always do. Does appear to be a surface low developing around day 8 but that can't be believed as of now. Quote God, I'd give anything for a drink. I'd give my god-damned soul for just a glass of beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 It is better than anything we have experinced in the last 3 weeks, that is what is so great about them.not to get all deadspin, but +1. new 18z gets the action going within the believable time range with atmospheric river action - doubt the ski areas would like that much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 not to get all deadspin, but +1. new 18z gets the action going within the believable time range with atmospheric river action - doubt the ski areas would like that much.Yup. Block is pinched off. Energy digs south, and then the undercutting jet arrives with SW flow.... hmmmm.... A run full of speculation, but hey maybe this is how things pan out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 Ya, I'm not seeing anything all that great. Pattern seems to be shifting but I see some easterly slide as we always do. Does appear to be a surface low developing around day 8 but that can't be believed as of now.Oh c'mon are you trying to say the GFS isn't believable in the 8-10 day range Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 The 18Z op is a warm outlier. The ensembles look pretty good to me (a relative term of course). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 The 18Z op is a warm outlier. The ensembles look pretty good to me (a relative term of course). http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.pngwhich is the kontroll? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 which is the kontroll?Heavey dark blue line Der Capitan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 So what's the difference between the kontroll and hauptlauf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 I think the best thing Jesse can do is put the whole board on ignore then he can have a love fest with himself.Nah, I'll just block annoyances like you and Brody and be off on my merry way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 So what's the difference between the kontroll and hauptlaufI'm not certain on this myself. Hauptlauf sounds like Beer Here, I found a link of absolutely no help at all! http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/HauptlaufYou're welcome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 3 hours until 00z GFS!3 1/2 hours until 00z GEM!5 hours 28 minutes until 00z EURO! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 Surprised no one has commented on the east winds in the Portland area today. PDX was gusting up around 40mph all afternoon. It has been very cold and windy out here. High of only 37 today, after a low of 32, with east winds gusting in the 30-40mph range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 Breezy east wind in areas prone to breezy east winds today. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted January 24, 2014 Report Share Posted January 24, 2014 So what's the difference between the kontroll and hauptlaufThe control line is of a lower resolution than the operational and is developed using the best analysis and is usually what is perturbed to produce the remaining members. I lifted that definition from a GFS training page. I don't know what "best analysis" really entails though. If the control line and the operational are somewhat in agreement that means the operational can be considered more reliable than if they don't somewhat agree. In the case of the current 18Z ensembles it looks like the operational is in poor agreement with the control line after Feb 3rd but in good agreement prior to that. Since the operational is much warmer than the control line after the 3rd I would guess that the warmer solution is less likely. Edit: the hauptlauf is the GFS Operational output. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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