jaster220 Posted November 18, 2016 Report Share Posted November 18, 2016 Follow link and scroll down to the video of the CAT! ROFLMAO https://twitter.com/crankywxguy 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 18, 2016 Report Share Posted November 18, 2016 Well, well, well.... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016111812/gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_11.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 18, 2016 Report Share Posted November 18, 2016 JMA/GFS/EURO/GGEM trying to paint a wintry set up for parts of MN/WI pre-Thanksgiving period...850's for all the models look decent for some snow... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2016111812/jma_T850_us_6.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016111812/ecmwf_T850_us_7.pnghttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016111812/gem_T850_us_21.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted November 18, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 18, 2016 Well got to see my first flakes of the season overnight! It sure helps to lift the spirit and really got me in full winter mode! Nice little appetizer, now I want the main course! Did anyone else see snow? I think we got about 1 inch in Grand Island. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 My highs have a chance to not get outta the upper 20s on Sunday. Wow, this is some real cold air for this time of the year. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 If December indeed decides to rock, these are the (recent) "deltas" to shoot for here in Marshall: Dec '08 had 28", and Dec '00 had 40" (a huge Dec!) LOL, well I did, and I didn't at the same time since (in '78) I was a kid growing up in SEMI not living here in Marshall. But yeah, Marshall got at least 22" vs. KFNT back home in SEMI with 9". Extreme SEMI got really screwed by the warm tongue on that one with mixed precip really cutting totals. Nonetheless, I've seen folks post that even in northern burbs of Detroit it took them 3 days to get home. That's how hard that storm hit and it was so rare you can't hardly describe it now unless you have 1st hand experiences. I saw one woman's post from OH somewhere. She fell into a drift trying to find the door of her apt building (like 15 feet from) and later was scared that she felt maybe she wouldn't find the door and just be stuck there and die. True life-threatening winter storms like that one are (thankfully for the unsuspecting) rare and thus legendary. Yup, at that time I was a little kid growing up in NYC. I think I remember that year opening the front door and snow being up to my head. We had a blizzard that same year,but in February. Absolutely buried. Too bad I was little and cant remember too much. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 If December indeed decides to rock, these are the (recent) "deltas" to shoot for here in Marshall: Dec '08 had 28", and Dec '00 had 40" (a huge Dec!) LOL, well I did, and I didn't at the same time since (in '78) I was a kid growing up in SEMI not living here in Marshall. But yeah, Marshall got at least 22" vs. KFNT back home in SEMI with 9". Extreme SEMI got really screwed by the warm tongue on that one with mixed precip really cutting totals. Nonetheless, I've seen folks post that even in northern burbs of Detroit it took them 3 days to get home. That's how hard that storm hit and it was so rare you can't hardly describe it now unless you have 1st hand experiences. I saw one woman's post from OH somewhere. She fell into a drift trying to find the door of her apt building (like 15 feet from) and later was scared that she felt maybe she wouldn't find the door and just be stuck there and die. True life-threatening winter storms like that one are (thankfully for the unsuspecting) rare and thus legendary. Dec '13 was not good for you? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 First Flakes in Hiawatha(I moved ~15ish miles south, guess I forgot to mention that) 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 34° here with light to almost moderate snow falling. Here is some web cams from the UP (Munising)http://www.exploremunising.com/web-cams/At this time, not much snow in Munising more away from the lake maybe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Not much, but nice to see our first dusting. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 00z Euro keeps the chill near the Lakes Day 7-10 with mainly below normal temps. After another wintry system around Thanksgiving, the snow that does fall up north may stick around for a bit. MJO is forecast to take a turn back to the cold phase 1 on the GFS, Euro may also be trying to do the same thing. GFS has been kicking butt with the MJO this season. The model updates within the next 2 hours so I'm curious to see if this trend continues. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/NCPE_phase_21m_small.gif That is a gorgeous 500mb pattern...SW Flow all day... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016111906/gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_10.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016111906/gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_12.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 From the looks on radar earlier this morning, Chicago area had it's first flakes. @WestJim, those bands coming off the lake look intense. There is a pretty intense band just W of GRR... http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/GRR/N0Q/GRR.N0Q.20161119.1503.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Looks like there will be another storm to track early next week for my area. How much it snows seems it will be heavily dictated on how the temperature profiles work out. Sitting really close on either side of the freezing line on models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Looks like there will be another storm to track early next week for my area. How much it snows seems it will be heavily dictated on how the temperature profiles work out. Sitting really close on either side of the freezing line on models.Yeah models have been consistently showing this. GFS trying to get a clipper type system going around Black Friday as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 12z GFS with a monster storm for midwest to open December.Prolly the storm Flowers keeps talking about. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 The central Plains are looking money for significant snows Week 2. NE is sitting in a good spot IMO. There will be a big time storm that forms in the Plains and cuts up towards the Lakes. I think this may be our next big storm to track. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016111912/gfs-ens_mslptrend_us_25.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 12z GEFS... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016111912/gfs-ens_apcpna_us_8.png Cold starts to bleed east from the Rockies... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016111912/gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_12.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 I know its fantasy land but would anyone have snowfall map from that early Dec storm?? Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 I hope that thing can take a more W-E track and crush us all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Getting heavy snow here for the last 10/15 min or so grass, roofs, car tops are now covered. Temperature is now at 31° 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Getting a very intense snow shower here. Everything is now covered except the road and driveway. On my snow board now have ¾ inch could reach a inch shortly if this keeps up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 I know its fantasy land but would anyone have snowfall map from that early Dec storm?? Thankshttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016111912/384/sn10_acc.us_mw.png hahahahaha. I wish. 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 12z EPS seeing a large system developing over the Pan Handle region Day 10. It's going to be a week long of model watching! From this map, looks like the rain/snow line would be roughly along I-80. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2016111912/ecmwf-ens_mslpa_us_11.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2016111912/ecmwf-ens_T850_mslp_us_11.png 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 The GFS and Euro Ensembles are trying to seed enough cold down into that southern system around the 1st to bring snows to Oklahoma. It would be about 41-43 days since the dreary, cold storm of October down here. I think it has merit. I'd like to see a good measurable snow to open December here and then I think a huge storm should follow it around the 4th-6th. Nearly the entirety of the northern half of the country is going to be covered in snow soon. What an amazing transition we are about to see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Loving it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Hello 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Hello There he is...good to see you back bud... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Andddd.....I saw my first flakes today. With the wind howling, it was a windriven snow. Of course no accumulations, although, by night, it can whiten up the grass surfaces a bit. Its on and off squalls. Lovin it! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 12z GFS with a monster storm for midwest to open December.Prolly the storm Flowers keeps talking about.Can you post the map? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016111912/384/sn10_acc.us_mw.png hahahahaha. I wish. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 There he is...good to see you back bud... First flakes here yesterday. power got knocked out from the wind for a few hours as well. Good to see you guys still going strong on here. Also congrats on the Cubbies. Awesome season for them, and they have a great future ahead with Theo. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Have to say that 95% of the trees in my area are now bare. Very few still have color leaves and with the winds howling here over the next couple of days, all trees will be naked very soon. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Cool, Cloudy and Wet pattern coming in the coming weeks for Wisconsin and Minnesota region? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Only made it to 36 today!! And gusty winds. What a transition! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Nearly a year ago we had a nice snowstorm hit the midwest. I got about 8" here with some places in Iowa getting nearly 13". I love the video of them clearing the snow from Kinnick Stadium, that was really cool to watch. http://www.weather.gov/images/dvn/Past_Events/2015/1121/regional%20snowfall%20map%20MRCC.PNG 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 KRMY hit 72º about 1:30 yesterday, and at 2 pm this afternoon had 32º and a heavy snow squall in progress! That's impressive for this river bottom region, especially with how mega-mild these past months have been. I broomed off my car, my back door's from a deck so shoveled twice there, and the rows of leaf piles along the streets now look like temporary snow banks lol. And the pounding across N Michigan continues this evening. This has really been one of the better backside events I can recall from a storm that gave a bliz to SD. If we carry this trend into real winter, those calling for GL's bulls-eye will be spot on. I'm calling it at least a solid inch here, maybe a bit more. It came and melted, came and melted, so I'll wait and compare official reports to make a final call. Still have autumn stuff outside, so I don't need full-on winter til 2nd week of Dec. Needless to say, hello winter! :) Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Nearly a year ago we had a nice snowstorm hit the midwest. I got about 8" here with some places in Iowa getting nearly 13". I love the video of them clearing the snow from Kinnick Stadium, that was really cool to watch. http://www.weather.gov/images/dvn/Past_Events/2015/1121/regional%20snowfall%20map%20MRCC.PNGYup that was amazing! I remember it was the first flakes of the season. And there was no wind so it was easy to measure. I ended with about 12". I was so excited. It just kept snowing. I remember wondering around the neighborhood that evening just taking it all in. One of my fav storms ever. Forgot it was a year ago this weekend! I believe it was Nov 20 and a Friday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Dec '13 was not good for you? It was not bad, that's for sure. About 17". 2000 and 2008 were the biggies around here (in recent times) Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 19, 2016 Report Share Posted November 19, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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