January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Goducks09]

You made the call for the late January to mid February period way long ago as our best chance of a region wide event. You've spent so much time on this forum helping us understand more about weather. I hope all your hard work doesn't go to waste and the PNW sees its biggest region wide snowstorm since December 2008. You deserve to be right.

 

 

It looks like PDX may be left out of the "region-wide" event...

[Jbolin]

It looks like PDX may be left out of the "region-wide" event...

GOOD!

[Timmy]

I have had 17" total snow so far so I'm hoping for at least 7" to break the 2 foot mark.

i have at least 7" for you for the right price.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I wouldn't hang my hat on one runs snow map either way right now lol.

[Deweydog]

i have at least 7" for you for the right price.

Gross.

[Jbolin]

i have at least 7" for you for the right price.

Side job?

[Timmy]

I wouldn't hang my hat on one runs snow map either way right now lol.

ill be at the beach friday-tuesday.  should be fun driving over the pass!

[Timmy]

Side job?

main job

[Deweydog]

I wouldn't hang my hat on one runs snow map either way right now lol.

Wisdom.

[Phil]

You made the call for the late January to mid February period way long ago as our best chance of a region wide event. You've spent so much time on this forum helping us understand more about weather. I hope all your hard work doesn't go to waste and the PNW sees its biggest region wide snowstorm since December 2008. You deserve to be right.

Thank you very much. Let's hope, lol.

[snow_wizard]

It looks like PDX may be left out of the "region-wide" event...

It would be fitting in a way.

[Deweydog]

It would be fitting in a way.

Should we throw tantrums?

[BLI snowman]

Should we throw tantrums?

 

Protest march. Pioneer Square to PDX. Be there.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jeez i dont look at the models for 12 hrs and shitt gets real! wow..

[luvssnow_spokane]

Should we throw tantrums?

Not until you go at least 3 to 5 years with little to NO snow, while watching us get ours every year. Then you are allowed. As of today... NO, you have not earned it yet.

[Deweydog]

Protest march. Pioneer Square to PDX. Be there.

I hope the event is insured. Lots of pothole-related injuries are sure to occur.

[umadbro]

I'm gonna pout. Its the American way apparently. If We miss out on snow, I'm gonna protest and make sure people can't go about their normal lives.

[BLI snowman]

I hope the event is insured. Lots of pothole-related injuries are sure to occur.

 

Talk to Soros.

[HighlandExperience]

[snow_wizard]

Not until you go at least 3 to 5 years with little to NO snow, while watching us get ours every year. Then you are allowed. As of today... NO, you have not earned it yet.

Well said.

[Heavy Snow]

Thank you very much. Let's hope, lol.

You're welcome. I remember around the same time last year you guys there on the East Coast were preparing for a Blizzard the first week of February. Even though it didn't affect me I tracked the event closely and was mesmerized at how much heavy snow was about to accumulate there. Flash forward to a year later and I'm hoping we will be able to experience something like that here in the PNW this coming week.

[Timmy]

the 18z nam is much less bullish with moisture so far thursday evening.

[Jbolin]

Reality check?

[luvssnow_spokane]

the 18z nam is much less bullish with moisture so far thursday evening.

For what is worth I believe the NAM has been less bullish with the moisture for a while now. So nothing new here. At least is consistent.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Reality check?

I Guess that depends on which models reality you want to believe.  

[HighlandExperience]

I Guess that depends on which models reality you want to believe.

Normally I'd say Euro, but I've lost faith in its snow maps this season. The Gem was good too, so I'm not as worried.

[stuffradio]

I Guess that depends on which models reality you want to believe.  

Whichever model gives the most snow.

[Phil]

You're welcome. I remember around the same time last year you guys there on the East Coast were preparing for a Blizzard the first week of February. Even though it didn't affect me I tracked the event closely and was mesmerized at how much heavy snow was about to accumulate there. Flash forward to a year later and I'm hoping we will be able to experience something like that here in the PNW this coming week.

I'm rooting for you guys, especially the puget sound folks who've been shafted for 5 years now.

 

And yeah, that was a big one...3 feet in one day lol. I can't believe it's been a year already. The NWS employee living near me recorded 38". I measured about 35" but didn't clear the snowboard as often as recommended.

[ShawniganLake]

I'm rooting for you guys, especially the puget sound folks who've been shafted for 5 years now.

 

And yeah, that was a big one...3 feet in one day lol. I can't believe it's been a year already. The NWS employee living near me recorded 38". I measured about 35" but didn't clear the snowboard as often as recommended.

How often is recommended? 6 hrs?

[Phil]

How often is recommended? 6 hrs?

Yeah, that's the ideal frequency to account for compaction. Don't do it more frequently than once every 6hrs though.

 

I cleared mine once, then the snow really started pouring down and buried it and I couldn't find it. Same thing happened to the observers @ DCA, which is both ironic and hilarious.

[jakeinthevalley]

NWS PDX issued a WS Watch everywhere west of the crest. We're screwed now.

[FroYoBro]

NWS PDX issued a WS Watch everywhere west of the crest. We're screwed now.

 For what time period? I'm guessing Thursday night/Friday? 

[Perturbed Member]

12z ECMWF ensemble mean through hr180 for PDX is in the 4-6 inch range. About 6 inches for SEA.

[luvssnow_spokane]

18z is running!!!!

[jakeinthevalley]

For what time period? I'm guessing Thursday night/Friday?

Thursday afternoon through Friday evening. Moisture spreading south to north throughout the day

[stuffradio]

18z is running!!!!

Better go catch it!

[BLI snowman]

NWS PDX issued a WS Watch everywhere west of the crest. We're screwed now.

 

Another obvious bust.

 

And once again in their embarrassment they will downplay Monday night and we will see 4-6".

[luvssnow_spokane]

Super Bowl Sunday and Snow!!! YAH!

 

[Perturbed Member]

Thursday afternoon through Friday evening. Moisture spreading south to north throughout the day

The precip looks real pathetic on basically all models. They seem to be implying that the models are underestimating the frontogenesis as the warm moist air runs into the dry cold. I doubt we see more than a trace.

[stuffradio]

Looks like a possibility of ZR on Sunday for southern BC.