Anti Marine Layer Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 10 minutes ago, Cloud said: 8-10 Big bad cutoff low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, WildrootParable said: Yesterday I engaged in a ritual I like to call "Optimistic Shopping", where I stock up on particular groceries and supplies *just in case* snow arrives, and thereby invite the snow to appear within a few days. It often works, at least for someone in the region. If you are the happy recipient, you're welcome. If your shopping was for milk and eggs instead of booze you're not going to win favor with the GFS with that shopping list. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildrootParable Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said: If your shopping was for milk and eggs instead of booze you're not going to win favor with the GFS with that shopping list. I said "particular groceries and supplies", didn't I? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Rip to the ppl in Longview. They ain’t dead or anything. They just didn’t see the 12z GFS 2 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, WildrootParable said: I said "particular groceries and supplies", didn't I? I'm good on booze but you're reminding me, I need to make a run 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Gotta say though, this is an odd but consistent pattern being shown w/ blocking coast to coast in Canada. Fun times ahead. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 11 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Rip to the ppl in Longview. They ain’t dead or anything. They just didn’t see the 12z GFS It's pretty warm down there when the bulk of the precip falls initially. So I think they will survive this chapter of GFS 8" snow depth fiction! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Currently 36 and cloudy. Woke up to a 35 degree light rain half an hour ago. Looks like the east wind may favor some spots for snow this weekend but it doesn’t look to be as favorable for a lot of places. 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: Currently 36 and cloudy. Woke up to a 35 degree light rain half an hour ago. Looks like the east wind may favor some spots for snow this weekend but it doesn’t look to be as favorable for a lot of places. I have been looking at the details since I was surprised by the snow this morning. I think I understand why the east wind is allowing for snow out here this morning with 925mb temps just below zero to the east. It does not look nearly as favorable on Saturday morning though. Current 925mb map and then for Saturday morning: 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Temps up to 34F. "Some downsloping here in the Rogue Valley will mostly prevent precip until later this morning or early this afternoon. This will scour out the colder air that we`re currently observing here in Medford due to residual low cloud cover that trapped the cold air beneath a steep low-level inversion." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 hours ago, Kolk1604 said: You love to see this from the EPS Temps are realistic I’m good with this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 49 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: To be fair Matt’s been the main one humping 2005 the last few weeks I’m assuming he’s going to give us a visual response to this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Too much focus on the long range GFS instead of the ensembles. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Too much focus on the long range GFS instead of the ensembles. Short, medium, or long. It sucks in all time frames IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Too much focus on the long range GFS instead of the ensembles. Roc Solid 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Not terrible. 6 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Too much focus on the long range GFS instead of the ensembles. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: At the rate we are going January is in trouble. It's been below normal here every day from November 28 to today with one exception last Saturday and is expected to stay that way for at least the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Storm system gets stuck in the middle of the country for like 4 days on the GFS and just buries the Plains/Upper Midwest. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: I'll be disabling GIFs later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Uhhhhh 6 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, Terreboner said: Short, medium, or long. It sucks in all time frames IMO. GFS for what is worth, from what I've seen in my limited time model riding, is the best at sniffing out pattern changes. Maybe this is because it goes out 16 days vs 10 and maybe because it runs fast and loose with its modeling. Who knows but time and time again, when we do get a big cold pattern setting in, its the GFS that moves first with the EURO caving to it over time. That is my take on it at least. Details its for however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Looks like a snowy morning out in the Columbia Gorge once you get east of Bridal Veil or so. 5 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 New 12Z ECMWF for Saturday system... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Storm system gets stuck in the middle of the country for like 4 days on the GFS and just buries the Plains/Upper Midwest. Describes this feature well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 PNA (GFS) Forecast looking much better today compared to yesterday. 6 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 REDONKULOUS blocking signal on the GFS ensembles. 8 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: PNA (GFS) Forecast looking much better today compared to yesterday. Looks like High Desert Mat's dart game, lol. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 18 minutes ago, administrator said: I'll be disabling GIFs later today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: PNA (GFS) Forecast looking much better today compared to yesterday. Would like it to see it compared to the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Looks like a snowy morning out in the Columbia Gorge once you get east of Bridal Veil or so. 3 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 It can get very snow in the lowlands if some moisture undercuts ridging while high pressure over the continent stays in place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: It can get very snow in the lowlands if some moisture undercuts ridging while high pressure over the continent stays in place. Late December 2005 1 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JW8 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 I'll allow it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Uhhhhh Where’s my SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 22 minutes ago, administrator said: I'll be disabling GIFs later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Snyder has a new post from Ha-Vai-ii!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Where’s my SE ridge. DENIED due to lack of TELECONNECTIONS! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 30 minutes ago, administrator said: I'll be disabling GIFs later today. What is this, the NFL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Where’s my SE ridge. I read this in this voice for some reason. Released in the spring of 1984 before a VERY blocky winter… 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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