PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Phil, dont take this the wrong way but I was WAY off on my assumption of your age based on your pfp.

Depends on which direction you were off.  

[RentonHill]

[Phil]

14 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Well everyone south of Randy and north of PDX scored snow. Randy is now on a rampage against mother nature while Jim laments the fact he only got a couple inches. We had the "coldest specific 7 days ever", and NWS is on our crap list after not sending a WAA out until 2 hours into a snowstorm.

How are you?

Haha, sounds like a good sitcom. I’m alright, thanks, hope all is well with you likewise.

[Skagit Weather]

18 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Well everyone south of Randy and north of PDX scored snow. Randy is now on a rampage against mother nature while Jim laments the fact he only got a couple inches. We had the "coldest specific 7 days ever", and NWS is on our crap list after not sending a WAA out until 2 hours into a snowstorm.

How are you?

Randy got snow (more than a number of places in the Central/South Sound), he just didn't get as much as he thought he should have.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow the EPS is such a blessing. 

[Kolk1604]

Snow on Christmas Eve Eve! 

[High Desert Mat?]

1 hour ago, Terreboner said:

I

Your fly’s open

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We had 5.5" of snow on Christmas Eve last year. That was nice. 

[MossMan]

26 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Did we ever figure out who the olive fried egg guy was? Did Kmart come back?

 

 

[RentonHill]

[Kolk1604]

@SilverFallsAndrew

I'm pretty sure Rob will be just fine 

[Doinko]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

@SilverFallsAndrew

I'm pretty sure Rob will be just fine 

What's the GEFS like? I think the 12 was slightly worse than the 06z but still good

[ShawniganLake]

26 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

kinda thought 850s would look better but i guess this is just the setup to the setup stage eh. Just waiting for the calendar to flip

Really not many ensemble members picking up on big time arctic air making it west of the mountains at this point. Will have to see how the details work out as things progress but could easily end up as a chilly dry period for everyone with an impressively cold gorge outflow. 

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

What's the GEFS like? I think the 12 was slightly worse than the 06z but still good

Cold 

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Really not many ensemble members picking up on big time arctic air making it west of the mountains at this point. Will have to see how the details work out as things progress but could easily end up as a chilly dry period for everyone with an impressively cold gorge outflow. 

Looks like potential for really cold stuff is later. who knew

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Probably going to have to wait until after Santa's birthday. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Winter Storm Godot is coming! Just wait….

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Looks like potential for really cold stuff is later. who knew

 

Longwave pattern looks primed for something good by later in week 2 on the EPS if the details work out.  Could definitely see us tapping into something good if that Alaskan ridge comes to fruition. 

[RentonHill]

Here are the mins. I'll take it! This will definitely help street surfaces finally shake off the last of the summer warmth. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

42F and pouring rain.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

42F and pouring rain.

40.8°F and rain here. Regionwide event!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

CFS finally came around and threw us a late month bone. 

[Slushy Inch]

20 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Here are the mins. I'll take it! This will definitely help street surfaces finally shake off the last of the summer warmth. 

Where does it say it's mins?

[Slushy Inch]

33 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Really not many ensemble members picking up on big time arctic air making it west of the mountains at this point. Will have to see how the details work out as things progress but could easily end up as a chilly dry period for everyone with an impressively cold gorge outflow. 

Really?

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Where does it say it's mins?

whoopswrong one 

[Slushy Inch]

Decent number of snowy members around the 20th.

[Snownerd3000]

Your favorite day of the week.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

whoopswrong one 

I have to say, I like the member with -4. 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Your favorite day of the week.

Not putting too much stock in JAN weeklies, weeklies got the upcoming period wrong pretty recently.

[Snownerd3000]

not a bad looking signal for the week leading up to Christmas

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Your favorite day of the week.

The west just stays cold. Looks like maybe a wetter pattern in early January, but overall a pretty dry signal. Could be moving towards a top tier cold winter in the Great Basin. 

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

not a bad looking signal for the week leading up to Christmas

Just like EPS, maybe we can get an extended cold period with snowpack.

[Seattle]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is the kind of weenie post I think people would expect more to come from me. This is always the risk...

Such is life living in the PNW lowlands... 

I don't want to imagine the next truly terrible year because weanieness will be off the charts coming down from the high of the past few years.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Burns, OR ended up with a low of -7 yesterday, quite a bit off from their record of -20 from 2013. However, they ended up carrying that -7 over into today... Once the low level cold settles in next week I would expect they will start pumping off some more ridiculous negative departures. Looking at their point forecast from the NWS they should be picking up 3-6" more snow over the next few days, and peaking with a high of 37 on Saturday. By the middle of next week they will be back down to having highs around 20 again, if that...

[Phishy Wx]

I mean I'll most likely get a white xmas here in Spokane (unless something really goes off the rails). snow this evening, this weekend, cold next week and maybe a white NYE in NYC later this month.  would be pretty cool I guess.  will be in the Denver area next weekend so maybe some cold and snow there too for a bonus.

Probably head to Palm Springs in January to the inlaws place to thaw out or to our beach place in South Carolina, although it can be cold, damp and dreary there in Jan.

[Randyc321]

1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That area is very remote from there south to ocean shores. For anyone who hasn't been there will be surprised how remote the forks area is.

Also for those of us in Wa. who haven't had more than short periods of snowfall this year, and I mean short.  I had to drive to Silverdale to try out my new all season tires.  They rocked.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Unless something really crazy happens I may not see a high above 50 this month. In fact, Sunday is probably our best chance of hitting 45 over the next couple of weeks, and that seems like a bit of a longshot, forecast high is 43. 

We only hit 50 three times in November with a monthly max temp of 51. A far cry from last winter when we hit 60+ in December, January, and February. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Lots of low level cold, east wind on the 12z runs. Really want to see the models trend back to a massive ridge bridge with sharp NELY flow for true arctic air.

18z GFS in 29 minutes

[Kolk1604]

Pepto! 

[Kolk1604]

Wait Wait 

More Pepto!