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Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22


bud2380

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25 minutes ago, Stormgeek said:

Snow is absolutely pounding here with big flakes and a band sitting overhead. Been snowing steadily since 8AM. Looking like we will see some pretty impressive totals for the wind to whip around!

Was just popping in again to mention this heavy band is just sitting overhead and backbuilding. This is awesome 

Where you located?

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Wind Bombage courtesy of the Euro. Don't see those colors very often. (non-fantasy range map)

 

 

22-12-21 12z Euro_500mb_h72.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Just now, jaster220 said:

Beginning of a "+" trend. I did like the look of the 0z NAM, just nasso much for SEMI. If it could tweak a couple counties E it would really be gr8

By the way the models have preformed on this side of the sub, you should have a good idea of how things will go about 5 min before it starts lol,

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Last thing you expect to read in a DTX afd

-Travel will become difficult or impossible ahead of the holiday
weekend, especially Friday, due to blowing and drifting snow as near
whiteout conditions remain possible.
 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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18 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Sure is nice to be reading all these posts of snow falling over a fairly large area. And it's really just gearing up. 

Yes, but as soon as it ends to our west, us 6 Mitt posters will be left in an empty auditorium as Peeps get back their Christmas plans, lol

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I'm not much of a play-by-play storm tracker. I like the lead-up hype to a storm potential, and I like to watch or go out in the storm when it is hitting. And I like the follow-up reports, stories, stats, etc. so I won't be frequent poster like some. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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We have a light rain/heavy mist here and everything is wet. Temp 33.8 and dew point 31.1 in MBY. Things will freeze up very quickly when the cold air comes blasting in here within an hour or two and we'll be off to a very slick start...

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23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24)

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2 minutes ago, Clinton said:

0nJUMs1r_normal.jpg

 
[Wednesday 9:00 PM]: Snow is starting to arrive in northwest Missouri. Roads are getting slick, and visibility is going down. Already have an accident that has SB I-29 closed in Atchison County, MO. The purple lines represent that the road is covered.
Image

Yikes. Not a good start.

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13 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

Looks like about an inch of snow here so far. 

Tiny flakes, at night... not much to look at.  I'll take it, but I want to watch big dendrites during daylight.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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9 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Looking at the radar returns and unless they start to turn more northeast before Omaha, it looks like we get missed to the south by the majority of it. Classic!

Man, we are going to be right on the edge, there could be decent disparity in total snowfall between Valley and Papillion/ Bellevue... hoping this band quits sagging south and would it slow down a bit too!?!

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Drove from Topeka to Lawrence and in about 20 mins went from heavy drizzle to sleet to snow and the roads were starting to get covered in snow. It’s going to be real slick as the drizzle has covered everything and is going to flash freeze with the light snow and temp drop coming. Hopeful for the Canadian model to be the winner when i wake up!

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2 hours ago, winterfreak said:

Looking forward to the post-mortems on these models for this event lol.

This storm is like predicting the exact locations of spotty showers-- the global models don't have the resolution to resolve what this event will really end up looking like-- some with a dusting, some with 5 inches! 

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1 minute ago, Jack_GradStudent said:

This storm is like predicting the exact locations of spotty showers-- the global models don't have the resolution to resolve what this event will really end up looking like-- some with a dusting, some with 5 inches! 

Thanks for the write-up. Classic KC winter storm. Radar watching time!

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13 minutes ago, Jack_GradStudent said:

https://whatgoesonoutside.com/a-white-christmas-for-most-and-dangerous-cold/

Hard to believe it, but areas between KC, Topeka, and St, Joe may see no snow at all. Here are my latest thoughts for the KC area! 

The HRRR shows what you talking about.  Snow north of the city, 4-5 inches around my place south of Warrensburg and KC sandwiched in the middle.  

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1 minute ago, Clinton said:

The HRRR shows what you talking about.  Snow north of the city, 4-5 inches around my place south of Warrensburg and KC sandwiched in the middle.  

I actually started to notice a trend in the GEFS and Euro mean. HRRR is higher res so it can resolve it better. 

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