TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Tim you are coo coo. My brother-in-law is an avid birder! Maybe I am more in tune to birds because of him. But I would really have to be ignoring nature to not notice the morning doves singing away this morning after a couple months of dead quiet in the morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 My brother-in-law is an avid birder! Maybe I am more in tune to birds because of him. But I would really have to be ignoring nature to not notice the morning doves singing away this morning after a couple months of dead quiet in the morning. Speaking of birds, I have seen many bald eagles over at my property and was reminded of when they were on the endangered list and now they are all over the place. Awesome bird. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Speaking of birds, I have seen many bald eagles over at my property and was reminded of when they were on the endangered list and now they are all over the place. Awesome bird. Yeah... we see them all the time when we are out on the boat on Lake Washington and Lake Sammamish. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Yeah... we see them all the time when we are out on the boat on Lake Washington and Lake Sammamish. It's amazing how brave the crows are because I see them chasing the eagles all the time. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Gem is super backdoor cold for day 7-8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 It wasn't misleading... the atmosphere isn't a 1:1 with the surface yeah tim you big dummy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 It wasn't misleading... the atmosphere isn't a 1:1 with the surface It obviously was a little misleading to the non-educated. Two of us thought that looked like a major backdoor arctic blast but then we looked at the 850mb temps and the surface temps it was not even close. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 It obviously was a little misleading to the non-educated. Two of us thought that looked like a major backdoor arctic blast but then we looked at the 850mb temps and the surface temps it was not even close. It's important to note that 10mb is pretty high up. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 It's important to note that 10mb is pretty high up.Yes... we have learned that today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 It's amazing how brave the crows are because I see them chasing the eagles all the time. Seen that too. Seen the crows chase off hawks as well.I work right next to the giant Crow roost at UW Bothell. The group fluctuates in size, but on average there's 10,000 birds that sleep there at night. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Raining this morning. Up to 16 consecutive days with rain here now. This is turning out to be quite the streak. Starting to look like it may be followed by a second notable dry period this winter, after the one the first half of December. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Rain shadow effect going on across the north Sound right here. Nothing more than a light rain here. Almost a heavy drizzle. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Mourning doves were singing this morning when I went out to get the paper... that is a new and always a sign of spring. They must not care about this perpetual warm front drizzle. According to Wikipedia... Just as the mockingbird in the southern states bursts suddenly into song and separates winter from spring, so the male mourning dove, who has been silent through the winter, at the first hint of spring begins to coo.Yeah, birds have a sixth sense and can predict weather along with the changing of seasons. This all but verifies that winter is over for us in the PNW. Spring has come early this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Yeah, birds have a sixth sense and can predict weather along with the changing of seasons. This all but verifies that winter is over for us in the PNW. Spring has come early this year. Phil and I have both agreed that our ginormous January busts were mainly due to not listening to the birds. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 It's crazy how north/south the rain has been. We are going to be way drier than Seattle. It would be interesting to compare it to the other extreme n/s years. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Seen that too. Seen the crows chase off hawks as well.I work right next to the giant Crow roost at UW Bothell. The group fluctuates in size, but on average there's 10,000 birds that sleep there at night. Wow crazy. About 15 years ago my buddy found a baby crow that fell from nest out in the woods and called me to see if I wanted it. I did and raised it and had it for about 3 years when it died from something. Little did I know that they need to be hand fed to about 6 months old lol. To this day by far the coolest pet I have had. I had a cage outside that was about 6 feet tall and wide and during the day I would let him fly around and do what he wanted but he never would fly more than a 100ft away from home. The best part was when we had people over for dinner in the summer and he would fly over and land on my arm or shoulder the look on the face was priceless. They are very smart and sneaky and are some of the smartest birds in the world. They are always into something and mine would even walk up behind our dog and peck his back and try and hide. I know a lot of people don't like them but they really are a fascinating bird. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Wow crazy. About 15 years ago my buddy found a baby crow that fell from nest out in the woods and called me to see if I wanted it. I did and raised it and had it for about 3 years when it died from something. Little did I know that they need to be hand fed to about 6 months old lol. To this day by far the coolest pet I have had. I had a cage outside that was about 6 feet tall and wide and during the day I would let him fly around and do what he wanted but he never would fly more than a 100ft away from home. The best part was when we had people over for dinner in the summer and he would fly over and land on my arm or shoulder the look on the face was priceless. They are very smart and sneaky and are some of the smartest birds in the world. They are always into something and mine would even walk up behind our dog and peck his back and try and hide. I know a lot of people don't like them but they really are a fascinating bird. That's a cool story. They are very smart birds and very social. Your crow probably didn't want to loose sight of home because he saw you as family. Bothell crows on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=bothell+crows Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 #imprinting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 That's a cool story. They are very smart birds and very social. Your crow probably didn't want to loose sight of home because he saw you as family. Bothell crows on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=bothell+crows Yeah the wild crows would freak out when I walked outside with him on my arm. We have 2 species of crow around here, north American crow and the Puget sound crow. The Puget sound crow has a flatter head above the beak and the north American crow has a swept back head above beak. Most you see are the north American but if you look you will see the difference. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 I posted a gif for the link that Phil provided. It shows temps at the top of the atmosphere. He was showing what the sudden stratospheric warming (SSW)would look like. I believe his point was the cold air at that level triggers convection over the warm Pacific waters.Yes, it will affect things (globally) in the months ahead, assuming it actually happens. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 I thought the idea was that it would induce high pressure over the Arctic, dislodge the PV, and an Arctic blast "somewhere" in the lower latitudes. Never any guarantee who will actually benefit from that.That too, but usually you see the blocking response lag the wave-2/SSW by several weeks..and the more important global repercussions occur over the following months. Again..long game. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Phil and I have both agreed that our ginormous January busts were mainly due to not listening to the birds.Those d**n birds. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Phil has always reminded me of a crow. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Phil has always reminded me of a crow.And you remind me of a dodobird. Andrew reminds me of a Duck, and Hawkstwelve reminds me of a Hawk. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UAJEbuTBodI Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 January stats High.....55.3...average temp.....43Low......28.5Precipitation....7.60Pressure.......High (30.44) low (29.59) Currently a lovely Gray outside with wet falling from it Jim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just an FYI. January did end up being the 2nd warmest on record at PDX. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just an FYI. January did end up being the 2nd warmest on record at PDX.Top tier! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Next weekend looks gorgeous. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Next weekend looks gorgeous. I have been watching that as well. Hope it holds up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Bring on more rain! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Uh oh! I sense a difference of opinion! #februaryfireworks! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Uh oh! I sense a difference of opinion! #februaryfireworks!He is just trolling. No difference in opinion. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 He is just trolling. No difference in opinion.D**n. I was hoping it would make the place a little more lively. #februaryflatline Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2018 Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 d**n. I was hoping it would make the place a little more lively. #februaryflatline Go ahead... take over. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2018 Go ahead... take over.Cold winters cause cancer! Phil and the PNA have two children out of wedlock! Flatiron's anal logs are bruised and bloodied! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 2, 2018 Report Share Posted February 2, 2018 Image from Sam Lillo on Twitter. The “MQI” plots he created describe the QBO more efficiently, in that they’re based on cycle stages of shear stress progression (the life cycle of the QBO, essentially) rather than simply assigning a positive/negative QBO number, which is essentially useless.. Note how many of the best large scale analogs to this winter (2000/01, 1976/77, 1967/68, 2014/15, 1981/82, 1962/63, etc) shared a similar QBO/MQI phase. On this date, this is how other years compare, in regards to “MQI”: Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 2, 2018 Report Share Posted February 2, 2018 Also, note that this winter is the most amplified QBO wave on record for this stage in the cycle. Also, you can see the weird/skipped cycle in 2017, which followed the record breaking westerly QBO cycle in 2015/2016. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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