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February Weather in the Pacific Northwest


Deweydog

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Total snow through tomorrow morning...

 

ecmwf_tsnow_washington_5.png

 

 

I post this to support others. I can also want it to turn drier and warmer in the future while still supporting others and their interests in cold and snow right now.

 

Those things can co-exist.

You're not capable of dropping it. It's pathetic and hilarious at the same time

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You're not capable of dropping it. It's pathetic and hilarious at the same time

 

You are much worse.   You poke and troll and then stand back and say that I am not dropping it.   Its pathetic and hilarious at the same time.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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NWS Portland says dusting to 2 inches for PDX Metro tonight. I haven't really payed attention to the models lately since I had to go back to work and it's been busy but I'll take their word for it. Looks like light snow develops this afternoon with the heavier stuff after 6pm. Looks like the evening commute might not be affected but if it arrives earlier it could.

 

Please see the Weather God's comments.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This area does well with many pscz...we are looking at places up near the Skagit/Snohomish border to get away from the Smokey Point area but it doesn’t quite do as well many times though in 2008 they actually got more than we did, about 40” as apposed to 34” at home so not all hope will be lost.

 

I would try to get into a spot where you could pick up some upslope. 

  • Like 1

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Whatever makes you feel better about yourself

 

Likewise.   That it exactly what you do.   You troll me just to get a reaction and then stand back and mock me for responding.   Pathetic.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Why don't you guys fight over PM. No one is interested in this crap.

  • Like 8

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Why don't you guys fight over PM. No one is interested in this crap.

 

I am not interested in it at all.

 

Bryant... you can just troll me through IM.   Have it buddy!   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Are you enjoying Hawaii at all?

 

Very much!   Its only 8:55 a.m. here and everyone sleeps in.   I have been getting up my normal time at home which is really early here.   Do some work... look at the models... post on the forum.   The usual stuff.    We are usually out and about for the day by 1 p.m. PST which is 11 here. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The ECMWF actually shows a decent chance of snow during the night.  Temps in the mid 30s with more moisture than today.  It is beginning to appear the EPSL could remain snow through the night.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The ECMWF actually shows a decent chance of snow during the night.  Temps in the mid 30s with more moisture than today.  It is beginning to appear the EPSL could remain snow through the night.

 

The 12Z ECMWF definitely shows snow through tomorrow morning for most of King County.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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You can see a nice push from the south ahead of the precip band just hitting the coast.  Almost impossible Seattle doesn't score from that.  The shear looks quite impressive just like Wednesday.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Dumping snow here for the past hour.

 

Interestingly enough, my manager just congratulated me on my four-year anniversary with the company tomorrow (the 24th). I was reminded that my very first day here, half the employees didn't show up after the area got buried in snow the day before (also the 23rd). I gave myself an hour to make the fifteen-minute drive because I refused to be late on my first day. Made it through about five minutes before they shut down the highway.

 

For those who keep exhaustive records, I'd be interested in knowing if there are other specific dates that tend to pop-up in the snow records more frequently.

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Dumping snow here for the past hour.

 

Interestingly enough, my manager just congratulated me on my four-year anniversary with the company tomorrow (the 24th). I was reminded that my very first day here, half the employees didn't show up after the area got buried in snow the day before (also the 23rd). I gave myself an hour to make the fifteen-minute drive because I refused to be late on my first day. Made it through about five minutes before they shut down the highway.

 

For those who keep exhaustive records, I'd be interested in knowing if there are other specific dates that tend to pop-up in the snow records more frequently.

 

No question.  There are periods within the winter time frame that are much more likely to score than others.  Obviously Christmas is one of the lest likely days of the winter to score for instance.  Might do a thread about this someday.  

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The low of 24 this morning at SEA is up there with the big boys for this late in the season.  There are only 8 days going forward that have a lower record.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Nice event down in Roseburg. They had at least 2" in town yesterday followed by 23 this morning. 

 

Some impressive record lows on the eastside. -5 at Redmond and 1 in Goldendale jump out. For Goldendale, the only colder readings this late appear to be -3 on March 5, 1955 and 0 on Feb. 26, 2011. 

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Mason County is already filling in spite of the main feature still being just at the coast.  Looks like el busto for the WRF.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I'm thinking most of that will miss Central Sound areas and instead hit points further south. Could be wrong though.

 

Look at the shear.  The main push is from the WNW, but there is a strong southerly push within it.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looking like the NWS knew what they were doing ignoring the dry models.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Total snow through tomorrow morning...

 

ecmwf_tsnow_washington_5.png

 

 

I post this to support others. I can also want it to turn drier and warmer in the future while still supporting others and their interests in cold and snow right now.

 

Those things can co-exist.

This all started with a poorly timed post two nights ago.

 

Told you so! Told you so!

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 of last 5 days have seen lows of -10 or lower in Kalispell, MT. Really impressive persistence of Arctic air west of the divide this late in the season. Their 3 day streak of -10 lows (Feb. 19th-21st) only had 2 other precedents this late in the winter, in late Feb. 1922 & March 1969. 

 

Interesting.  One of my analogs going this winter was 1921-22.  Too bad the middle of the winter didn't work out like that one.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just checked security cams... don't see any flakes yet at home.   

 

Do you have any snow on the ground?

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This looks reasonable. About 3-4" here. NWS is calling for 5-10" which seems way overblown  Unless we get a bunch of snow between 4a-10a, because after that precip tapers off quite a bit.

FWIW I already have almost the forecasted amount of snow in Vancouver, and the main event hasn’t even happened yet. So hopefully this system has more moisture than predicted for everyone.

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