Snowlover76 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 No kidding. I know it's a problem everywhere, but their standards for when they start plowing vs. just brining is just ridiculous. They think brine is a magic serum that melts snow on contact. No. Bring out the plows.the wheel tax goes to good use Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 the wheel tax goes to good useI live off an arterial (Pioneers) and they'll always refuse to plow it, or they'll half-assedly plow one lane once just using the type of plow that shoves snow off to both sides, so basically onto the sidewalk and into the lane that they were too tired to plow. You'd think they'd treat a bus route better. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 EURO is weaker for everyone but Chicagoland. A solid 4-6 across a good part of Nebraska. Overall 0z models weakened the system. lets see what happens tomorrow shall we? Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 00z euro is awful.... really backing off the great potential. The first wave is still aimed at northern Iowa, so it refuses to budge from that, but it's weaker this run and passes through more quickly just like the UK tonight, and now the second wave is weak garbage. Much of Iowa now only gets 0.25-0.40" qpf for the entire multi-wave event. Heck, we got that much yesterday. If that's all we manage to get this week, it would be a huge disappointment. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 I live off an arterial (Pioneers) and they'll always refuse to plow it, or they'll half-assedly plow one lane once just using the type of plow that shoves snow off to both sides, so basically onto the sidewalk and into the lane that they were too tired to plow. You'd think they'd treat a bus route better.the worst is for if you don't live off a main road you will never see a plow unless there is 5 or 6" lincoln actually has a policy for this. Like I said that wheel tax goes to good use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Not bad! 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 LOT already put a a winter storm watch for Thursday into Friday. And that’s only for the first wave. Hopefully the second is just as strong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 LOT: Thursday evening and continue through much of the day Friday. NAM and GFS are in reasonably agreement within a few counties painting a stripe of QPF of 3/4 tonear an inch across northern Illinois and northwest Indiana by Friday night. Forecast soundings do show nice cross-hair signatures within the greatest QPF axis which would help promote higher SLR, though in general remain conservative (12-15:1). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Looks like icon and gfs are south a little more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 DVN talking advisories again. They are already calling for 5-6” Friday and a few more Saturday. Not sure why you wouldn’t just issue a watch. And they might yet this afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 The season's first Winter Storm Watch hoisted from LOT: Winter Storm WatchURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Chicago IL332 AM CST Wed Feb 7 2018ILZ006-013-014-022-INZ001-002-071745-/O.NEW.KLOT.WS.A.0002.180209T0500Z-180210T0500Z/Lake IL-DuPage-Cook-Will-Lake IN-Porter-Including the cities of Waukegan, Wheaton, Chicago, Joliet, Gary,and Valparaiso332 AM CST Wed Feb 7 2018...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGHFRIDAY EVENING...* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Plan on difficult travelconditions, including during the morning commute on Friday.Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches are possible.* WHERE...Portions of northwest Indiana and northeast Illinois.* WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday evening.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant reductions in visibility arepossible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Tom it’s still supposed to snow after the watch expires, no? Isn’t LOT expecting total accums to be more than 5-9”? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 06z GFS... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018020706/120/snku_acc.us_mw.png 06z NAM...secondary wave developing at the end of the run... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018020706/084/snku_acc.us_mw.png 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Tom it’s still supposed to snow after the watch expires, no? Isn’t LOT expecting total accums to be more than 5-9”?Yes, this is just for the 1st wave through Fri night... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 00z/06z GEFS still look pretty healthy qpf wise across our general region...looks like the lower lakes region may in fact be the jackpot zone... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 For comparison, here is the 00z EPS/Control and you can see the Euro is a bit farther north with the heavier band compared to the GEFS about a county or two. FWIW, the 00z EPS has dried up a bit but it's been going back and forth each run. The 12z EPS run may trend back wetter so we'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Yes, this is just for the 1st wave through Fri night...Enjoy your big dog buddy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Here's a local snowfall map of the Euro through Friday night... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 just another 2-3" here. Maybe we find our big dog next year! Enjoy Tom! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Enjoy your big dog buddy!Thanks amigo! Been waiting a few years for a big one and this system looks like it will be the one. My parents are still here to enjoy it as well, well, maybe not my Dad but my Mom def likes to see the snow! Their flight out is at 7:00am on Sunday so that second wave is going to be something I'll be paying attn to for them. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 This will be one prolonged, heavy snowevent. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman1 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Here's a local snowfall map of the Euro through Friday night... The King has got us worried down here in the Illinois Valley. Seems to be out on its own with as far north as it is, no? Huge contrast for us from Euro at 3.9" and GFS giving 9+ for this first wave on Friday. What gives? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Good luck to you guys in Illinois. Hopefullly it all works out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 The King has got us worried down here in the Illinois Valley. Seems to be out on its own with as far north as it is, no? Huge contrast for us from Euro at 3.9" and GFS giving 9+ for this first wave on Friday. What gives?At this point, I'd side with something in between. Can't argue the GEFS ensembles that paint a better picture down by you. Let's see where the models trend today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 12z NAM throwing in a curveball and trending north...way north actually... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 digging more in the sw? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 .75-1" of qpf showing up on both sides of the boarder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 12z NAM...now has the heaviest band along the IL/WI border...is it believable??? We'll have to see...but this wave is trending stronger on the NAM. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018020712/054/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Still expect a little fluctuation north and south with these coming runs but being in the middle for once sure does help. Hoping the 2nd wave can get its act together 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Interesting. I’ll take the nam and run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Still expect a little fluctuation north and south with these coming runs but being in the middle for once sure does help. Hoping the 2nd wave can get its act togetherMy thoughts exactly...for once it feels a whole lot better being in the middle ground somewhat as I expect to see some variances among the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Huh. Trend setter or just the NAM being dumb? You have to sweat out a few bad runs in order to earn a big dog. It’s never easy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Interesting. I’ll take the nam and runI knew you would like this run of the Nam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Roughly about 27hrs of snow with the first wave on the Nam. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 3k nam also took a jump north. Lines up with the 12k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Per both NAM's, the wave seems to be digging more as HP presses down across the central Plains allowing the southerly flow out ahead of the system to nudge farther north. I'm seeing better moisture transport out of the GOM over the past couple runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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