Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
66 dew. Plenty of available moisture for the storms when they arrive. Probably the highest dew around here since last September. Pretty muggy when you aren’t used to it. Got some sweat going when I mowed the yard earlier.
Even then it’s not possible. Our atmosphere isn’t even remotely thick enough for the radiative forcing required for Venus-like temperatures.
Though this summer may challenge that idea. Ugliest aggregate forcing structure I’ve ever seen going into JJA.
The climate optimum for life is much warmer than it is currently... there are no polar ice caps or glaciers in that situation and there are forests in the arctic.
Of course the big issue right now is rate of warming and our ability to adjust.
I don’t think that’s the reason in this case. It’s just the state the tropics are in, thanks to 3 years with a general circulation pattern favoring heat buildup/storage in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans.
I mean with a comical amount of CO2 sure, but it would need to be so much that it suffocates all life on earth and saturates every corner of the natural world, including our water and soil and rock.
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