TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Long history of hurricanes in Florida5 of the 7 strongest were between 1910 and 1960. Only 2 and now 3 since 1960. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Is there much evidence that we’ve seen an increase in major landfalling hurricanes in the US? Something like 5 of the 7 strongest storms to hit Florida were pre 1960.Inconvenient facts. For those pushing an agenda, the end justifies the means. Doesn't matter if there's no scientific support, as long as the event brings attention to the cause. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Meanwhile the 12Z is a little wetter, starting at hour 252 some weak zonal flow takes hold. Still chasing carrots, but perhaps this could be the end of the ridging? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 12Z GFS is close to bring us some rain from day 10 onward but it never quite gets here... basically no rain for the next 17 days per that run except a little along the NW WA coast and Vancouver Island. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Inconvenient facts. For those pushing an agenda, the end justifies the means. Doesn't matter if there's no scientific support, as long as the event brings attention to the cause. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Stephanie Abrams nearly airborne Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 No doubt this storm's rapid intensification can be directly attributed to Kavanaugh's testimony. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 12Z GFS is close to bring us some rain from day 10 onward but it never quite gets here... basically no rain for the next 17 days per that run except a little along the NW WA coast and Vancouver Island. I'm guessing nothing will change, considering we are the heart of the dry season climo wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 I'm guessing nothing will change, considering we are the heart of the dry season climo wise.Haha. Tim was right. We were DUE! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 33 mph gusts on LIVE TV! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 This conversation between Cantore and Abrams is just painful. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Haha. Tim was right. We were DUE! Right for the wrong reasons. But I realize that is still a solid right in lawyer land. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Just thought I would drop in to see what the forum was saying about Michael. 129 mph gust just reported. Probably not a good beach day... https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KPAM&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Michael is crawling. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 129mph gust just measured at Tyndall AFB. Holy crap. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=kpam&num=25&raw=0&banner=off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Right for the wrong reasons. But I realize that is still a solid right in lawyer land. He also started talking about it after the models were already hinting at a dry period coming up. We'll see how long it lasts. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 No doubt this storm's rapid intensification can be directly attributed to Kavanaugh's testimony. Robison would agree https://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/article130596509.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Pressure down to 921mb at Tyndall. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 33 mph gusts on LIVE TV!looks pretty gusty in the CNN coverage. Looks like that railing is about to be removed from the concrete wall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 He also started talking about it after the models were already hinting at a dry period coming up. We'll see how long it lasts. I am guessing it lasts 7-10 days. And its not a mystery or rocket science. When it rains on 80% of the days over a 30-day period here in September into early October then a dry spell is virtually inevitable. I can show you many examples. Its very simple. And when its dry here... its usually dry everywhere so I can extrapolate our extended dry spells to WA and OR pretty easily. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Holy moly! Sam Lillo@splillo 917.1mb and 152kt flight level winds! Okay, now. NOW. This is probably a category 5. Attaining it's maximum intensity *after* official landfall. https://mobile.twitter.com/splillo/status/1050076855670362112 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Bumped it up to 155 just for good measure. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 What a *** n beast. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Stephanie Abrams amazingly just recorded a wind gust of 40 mph. And she said "not even sustained... that is a gust"... like that makes it even more amazing. She seemed genuinely fascinated with the strength of 40 mph wind gusts. Really selling this storm short by reporting on 40 mph winds at her location as being so incredible. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Pretty much a cat 5. Amazing. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Pretty much a cat 5. Amazing. More like Staphanie Abrams is a category five idiot. LOL! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Michael made landfall with 155mph sustained winds. Panama City is reporting 100mph sustained NNE winds from the offshore direction! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Stephanie Abrams amazingly just recorded a wind gust of 40 mph. And she said "not even sustained... that is a gust"... like that makes it even more amazing. She seemed genuinely fascinated with the strength of 40 mph wind gusts. Really selling this storm short by reporting on 40 mph winds at her location as being so incredible.People often forget that the max sustained winds in a hurricane are only in a relatively small swath, with much lighter winds extending out. Storm surge affects a much larger area and is a much bigger deal most the time. Also, the winds reported by the air recon are rarely reflected on the ground. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 What a beast! At least it’s making landfall during daylight hours. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 It took 10 years for them to upgrade Andrew to a Cat 5 at landfall. Very possible with reanalysis that Michael gets the same treatment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Signs of the ridge eventually breaking down on the 12z ensembles. I was getting worried for a minute there! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 More like Staphanie Abrams is a category five idiot. LOL!Toxic Masculinity Alert! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Hard to understate the significance of 100mph sustained winds being recorded on the WEST SIDE of the cyclone. That’s just absurd. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 People often forget that the max sustained winds in a hurricane are only in a relatively small swath, with much lighter winds extending out. Storm surge affects a much larger area and is a much bigger deal most the time. Also, the winds reported by the air recon are rarely reflected on the ground.My God, is there anything you're NOT an eloquent expert on? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 And 152kt flight level winds with gusts over 170kts.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 People often forget that the max sustained winds in a hurricane are only in a relatively small swath, with much lighter winds extending out. Storm surge affects a much larger area and is a much bigger deal most the time. Also, the winds reported by the air recon are rarely reflected on the ground.Not in terms of sustained winds, but in gusts they almost always translate to the ground somewhere. Andrew produced estimated gusts to 200mph, and the Labor Day hurricane produced gusts possibly higher than that. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Signs of the ridge eventually breaking down on the 12z ensembles. I was getting worried for a minute there! DAEAB440-A97E-4910-8A32-BA8A015640F8.png Whew!! The 00Z EPS did not show the ridge breaking down at all through day 15. What if it does not start raining every day before November? What will we do? Complete disaster. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 You are really going all in with the shitty analogs lately. Could mean we get walloped at some point. Payback for the three week arctic blast last January.FWIW, I’m looking at the large scale wave structure..the analog years never match exactly and 2014 is no exception. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 10, 2018 Report Share Posted October 10, 2018 Is there no way to build an anemometer that would survive winds of this speed? It seems like it would be interesting if they could have some sort of hardy-portable device that could take a day to set up. They could put it directly in the path of the eye before the storm hits, connect it up to some sort of website from which you could monitor the gusts, and would get some unique science data out of it. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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