Requiem Posted January 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 #lildeweyI’m glad others are better at reading sarcasm than I am haha But I’m all seriousness I like the 00Z trend from what it seems. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Some all around improvements on the 00z GFS ensemble. Wetter/more active in the short to mid range, more cold members showing up in the long range. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Hudson Bay cold pool gets dislodged and is hurdling south towards MT/ND by D7. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 This should do the trick to shake up these weather patterns! https://komonews.com/news/offbeat/totos-africa-is-playing-on-infinite-loop-in-mystery-location-down-in-africa 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Hudson Bay cold pool gets dislodged and is hurdling south towards MT/ND by D7. Sucks seeing those states consistently see colder weather than us here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Bingo. You are using the same logic as someone who "likes where it's headed" at hour 240, based on your pattern recognition skills. It's not the same as just posting model output.It’s pretty much the same. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Sucks seeing those states consistently see colder weather than us here. All of us should put our money together and buy a huge chunk of property in northern Minnesota and all take a party bus there to party in the cold each time the Hudson cold pool gets dislodged. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 All of us should put our money together and buy a huge chunk of property in northern Minnesota and all take a party bus there to party in the cold each time the Hudson cold pool gets dislodged. Bemidji sounds like a nice place to freeze to death. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Bemidji sounds like a nice place to freeze to death.A partner of mine went to school there. He said it was cold in the winters. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 A partner of mine went to school there. He said it was cold in the winters. Sounds like an interesting microclimate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Bemidji sounds like a nice place to freeze to death.Well at least we would all die doing something we love and constantly stay up late dreaming about. COLD WEATHER!!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 That's fair. If there's a clear signal in the ensembles that far out, it can definitely mean something.As long as their showing a solid retrogression signal I like our chances to score somewhere down the line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 As long as their showing a solid retrogression signal I like our chances to score somewhere down the line.Tell your friend Frosty to march is fat a** down past the Canadian border. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 This run would probably get there around D13-14, but obviously extrapolating like that is pointless at this range. That’s some seriously cold air moving into the heartland though..850mb temperatures of -41C plunge deep into the Midwest. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Another crazy day of model riding with lots of ups and downs. I'll try to stay up for the night shift but no guarantees tonight. I'm running low on energy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Tell your friend Frosty to march is fat a** down past the Canadian border.He's trying lol! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Sounds like an interesting microclimate.It’s the Covington of Minnesota. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Told ya so... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Playing songs that I listened to leading to the Dec 2008 blast (in late Nov before it showed up in the models). I’m surprised how many songs have been forgotten from 2008. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Playing songs that I listened to leading to the Dec 2008 blast (in late Nov before it showed up in the models). I’m surprised how many songs have been forgotten from 2008.Hope you like BSF while we get our snowy asses handed to us... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Guaranteed 0.75” on Friday, most likely an inch+. Thursday and Saturday combined will likely get another 0.75”. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Hope you like BSF while we get our snowy asses handed to us...Oh I fully expect it. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Playing songs that I listened to leading to the Dec 2008 blast (in late Nov before it showed up in the models). I’m surprised how many songs have been forgotten from 2008.You already wrote off this winter silly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 You already wrote off this winter sillyOh I don’t expect anything to happen. Was going through my years of music that I have and had forgotten a ton of songs from 08. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 06z much less amplified than 00z at hour 228. Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 AB8BF47B-C60C-4E34-910C-30B315331FEB.pngStill showing a good retrogression signal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 What a difference one run makes 00z: 06z: Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 What a difference one run makes 00z: gfs_z500_mslp_npac_48.png 06z: gfs_z500_mslp_npac_47.pngIt's common to see huge swings between GFS operational runs this far out. I wouldn't be too worried about it right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 It's common to see huge swings between GFS operational runs this far out. I wouldn't be too worried about it right now.This is common knowledge now, I'm not a noob. Just pointing out the difference between the two Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 This is common knowledge now, I'm not a noob. Just pointing out the difference between the two Okay, yeah there's definitely a big difference between the 00z and 06z. The ridge does finally start to retrograde at the end of the run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 There will be a lot of people mowing grass by the end of January/first of February...guess I better get busy with repairing/prepping my mower. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Still showing a good retrogression signal.3rd or 4th consecutive run to back off on the retrogression signal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 3rd or 4th consecutive run to back off on the retrogression signal.It still shows retrogression though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Wolf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Dizzying. Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 Doing a rainfall update at the end of a dry period here per Jared's instructions. Total rain overnight here was .05 and total rain for the last week has been .05 But the rainy season has been almost perfectly normal here in terms of total precipitation and days with precipitation. Using the Cedar Lake station (2 miles east of here): October 9.91 (+0.29)November 13.70 (-0.24)December 15.80 (+1.75)First half of January 5.69 (-1.01) Total rain since October 1st is now 45.10 inches which is +0.79 above normal. But here is the most important statistic to me personally... number of dry days. October - 14 (normal is 15)November - 10 (normal is 11)December - 8 (normal is 10)First half of January - 8 (normal is 5) A total of 40 dry days this rainy season so far... and the normal is 41 dry days to this point. No complaints from me at all in terms of rain this year. This rainy season has been the definition of climo in my area. And the dry periods have been evenly spread out each month. So much better than some of the persistently wet winters we have had recently. I much prefer climo here! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 6Z ensembles were a bit of a letdown. Retrogression signal remainw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 All of us should put our money together and buy a huge chunk of property in northern Minnesota and all take a party bus there to party in the cold each time the Hudson cold pool gets dislodged.We could all learn how to ice fish.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2019 Report Share Posted January 17, 2019 6Z ensembles were a bit of a letdown. Retrogression signal remainwProbably the worst ensemble in a couple of days anyways. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.