January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nws discussion talks about low snow levels coming. It begins..

[Phil]

[Deweydog]

Weather geeks should be free to geek out as they see fit and not be painted into 500mb corners. This message is brought to by the letters A, T and F.

[GHweatherChris]

Nws discussion talks about low snow levels coming. It begins..

Only because they know the sooner they mention it the sooner it will disappear...

[TT-SEA]

So you’re not a weather geek, then?

 

Again, I think the vast majority of the forum would agree that troughing is superior to ridging. Which, by extension, renders your viewpoint to the minority.

Not all weather geeks just want cold, crappy weather.    And there are only a handful of people posting here out of the millions of people in the PNW.

 

But I also said that I realized that I might be the only person on the planet who enjoys and sun and warm. I have never met anyone else who likes sun. But I hope there is someone else out there... somewhere.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

All-Time January record high of 67 at Redmond, OR.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In comparing the 06z and 18z ensembles it is interesting to note there are now a cluster of pretty cold members in the Feb 3-5 range. The long range is also a bit cooler. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

FV-3 was really good again. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem looking at another high of 40 or 41 today.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I like snow.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Springfield got to 42. EUG to 41. Monmouth only got to 40. Currently 38 in the west Central Valley.

[BLI snowman]

Today was my favorite day of the winter so far.

 

Does that make me bad/good?

[Front Ranger]

Today was my favorite day of the winter so far.

 

Does that make me bad/good?

 

It makes the winter bad so far.

[Deweydog]

Today’s fog and haze reminded me of last summer’s smoke everyone loved so much.

[Phil]

Holy crap. So today was just the “appetizer” blast, and International Falls already recorded its 5th coldest temperature on record, -46*F.

 

There was also a -58*F reading just north of the border, and a -49*F reading in Kabetogama.

 

[Deweydog]

It was 80+ degrees warmer here this morning and it felt CHILLY.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Holy crap. So today was just the “appetizer” blast, and International Falls already recorded its 5th coldest temperature on record, -46*F.

There was also a -58*F reading just north of the border, and a -49*F reading in Kabetogama.

Sh.t phil i posted that minus 46 9 hrs ago.

[Phil]

The SSW took forever to propagate down. Over a month!

 

Actually won’t manifest in the tropospheric sector of the NAM until the first week of February. So technically the pattern we’re seeing on the modeling at least partially arose from processes that took place a month ago. It’s incredible to think about, really.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The 58 below is crazy.

[Timmy]

Technically Phil was right, guys!!!

[Phil]

Technically Phil was right, guys!!!

Even if I get the timing wrong by 3-4 weeks? (I had originally said 1/1-1/10 was the window).

 

Lol. See how complicated/subjective this stuff can be? You can be right for the wrong reasons, or you can correctly identify the major players and still get screwed.

 

And then you get trolled by angry, disappointed weenies who accuse you of senseless hype, appealing for attention, being bearish whenever models show cold, etc.

[Deweydog]

PDX down to 40.

[Guest Sounder]

Confession time... I know I am in a tiny minority who also appreciates sunshine and warmth. I have never met another person who likes sun... not one. Everyone loves dark all the time. I know this. No one ever vacations to a warm, sunny place. We fly on a empty plane to Hawaii each year and the place is completely abandoned.

 

But for the .000000000000000000001% of the human population who likes sun and warmth... I am here for you.

I don't know why it has to be one or the other with the autists on this forum. I just spent 2 weeks in the Bahamas getting burnt to a crisp and it was amazing. Now I'm ready for some snow and having to spend 30 minutes digging my car out in the morning. I also enjoy the occasional week of nonstop torrential rain and streetlights on at 12pm. It's okay to like all kinds of weather.

[Deweydog]

Missed it, but it looks like the Arctic front moved through The Dalles this afternoon.

[Bryant]

Not all weather geeks just want cold, crappy weather. And there are only a handful of people posting here out of the millions of people in the PNW.

 

But I also said that I realized that I might be the only person on the planet who enjoys and sun and warm. I have never met anyone else who likes sun. But I hope there is someone else out there... somewhere.

It's winter time. 99% of the forum is here for cold and snow.

[TT-SEA]

It's winter time. 99% of the forum is here for cold and snow.

I understand.

[seattleweatherguy]

The SSW took forever to propagate down. Over a month!

 

Actually won’t manifest in the tropospheric sector of the NAM until the first week of February. So technically the pattern we’re seeing on the modeling at least partially arose from processes that took place a month ago. It’s incredible to think about, really.

 

So this SSW may cause cold and snow here?

[Phil]

I don't know why it has to be one or the other with the autists on this forum. I just spent 2 weeks in the Bahamas getting burnt to a crisp and it was amazing. Now I'm ready for some snow and having to spend 30 minutes digging my car out in the morning. I also enjoy the occasional week of nonstop torrential rain and streetlights on at 12pm. It's okay to like all kinds of weather.

Yeah, those winter solstice sun angles are really something. Lmao, someone has baby skin.

 

And there’s nothing wrong with wanting variety. I’d get bored too if it was the same weather 24/7/365. But it was a comparative discussion, and a giant, persistent ridge in the middle of summer is less than ideal to the majority of sane individuals.

[ShawniganLake]

Holy crap. So today was just the “appetizer” blast, and International Falls already recorded its 5th coldest temperature on record, -46*F.

 

There was also a -58*F reading just north of the border, and a -49*F reading in Kabetogama.

 

Where was the -58. The coldest I saw in southern Canada was -53F

[Jesse]

Today’s fog and haze reminded me of last summer’s smoke everyone loved so much.

Looks like your preference buddy agrees.

 

The smoke last summer did make for some nice sunsets. And inversions like today’s can have a certain beauty in their moodiness, IMO. Everything has a silver lining. Except for light rain. **** light rain.

[Phil]

Where was the -58. The coldest I saw in southern Canada was -53F

About 75 miles north of Thunder Bay? Forget the particular location, and am too lazy to look it up.

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

From NWS PDX:

 

LONG TERM...Wednesday night through Sunday...The operational GFS and ECMWF are in agreement when looking through the extended. The models have an upper level low passing south of us, then proceeding to hug the California coast. This passage will keep the already well established ridge in place through Thursday evening. Friday the models have a deep trough pushing its way inland. This trough and associated cold front look to bring a a very good chance for precipitation to the area, as well as a sizable cold pool in the postfrontal environment on Saturday. 850mb temperatures starting on Saturday look to be around -5 to -4 degrees Celsius (23 to 25 degrees Fahrenheit) through the next weekend. Sunday into the start of next week the models show a new cold front with a slightly cooler 850mb temperatures between -7 and -6 degrees Celsius (19 to 21 degrees Fahrenheit). The two systems mentioned are expected to have precipitation with them, and if the models continue trending in this way winter precipitation along the foothills of the Cascades could occur towards the early part of next weekend.

 

If these model 850mb temps verify it could result in, a lowering of

surface temperatures, snow levels falling and the possibility of

winter precipitation coming to areas that have seen little to no

winter precipitation given elevation.

 

It should be noted that winter precipitation on the valley floor

will typically happen with 850mb temperatures between -8 to -6

degrees Celsius (18 to 21 degrees Fahrenheit).

 

Overall, the models look to be in agreement when compared to

yesterday. As a result have lowered surface temperatures slightly,

lowered snow levels, and increased PoPs through the latter part of

the week and into the weekend.

 

 

 

 

So that should go ahead and jinx things.

[TT-SEA]

If the east wind kicks in here tonight... which it should... the next couple days should be gorgeous.

 

Might be able to see the mountains again. And maybe the end of the driveway!

[Jesse]

Some very cool views above the inversion on Hamilton Mountain today. Almost looked like a river of clouds flowing from the western valleys into the Gorge.

 

 

 

[Phil]

Haha. You saw this on a T-shirt.

With a few tweaks that might might actually sell.

[Jesse]

I love where the inversion started to become shallower at the western end of the gorge. Almost looked like a waterfall draining the lake of clouds over the western valleys.

[TT-SEA]

I love where the inversion started to become shallower at the western end of the gorge. Almost looked like a waterfall draining the lake of clouds over the western valleys.

 

So nice above the inversion... sunny and warm with awesome views.    Under the inversion is dark and dank with no views of anything.   

[Guest Sounder]

Yeah, those winter solstice sun angles are really something. Lmao, someone has baby skin.

 

And there’s nothing wrong with wanting variety. I’d get bored too if it was the same weather 24/7/365. But it was a comparative discussion, and a giant, persistent ridge in the middle of summer is less than ideal to the majority of sane individuals.

You are so inspiring. I really appreciate all the hard work you've done to learn and grow, even while disabled! Keep at it, bud!

[Front Ranger]

So nice above the inversion... sunny and warm with awesome views.    Under the inversion is dark and dank with no views of anything.   

 

Inversions force one to look within. Not always pretty.

[Gradient Keeper]

I hate it when models are slow in retrieving data. Ughhhh......