jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 18Z GFS slightly slower and south 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Gfs actually strengthens it quite a bit as it crosses WI compared to previous runs that weakens it Down to 999 over MKE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Through 42 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Wow, that’s a good run for CR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 You know what happened with these 18z runs? They all proved that the King is King for a reason.Big win for the NAM too. It had always been south. If this trend is real that is. Still looks to have been to skimpy on QPF, but it had consistently the right idea with track. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Man GFS is a great solution for pretty much most of the posters here.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Gfs caved big time on that run! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Mkx just put out a graphic lowering totals too? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 3km NAM with ~4" of snow on top of 0.1" of ice. Roads will be a disaster tomorrow if that pans out. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Split kuchera and 10:1 and still pretty.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 The difference between 18z hr 42 and 12z hr 48 is hilarious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Wpc ain't buying this change. Hmmm. I love it but I really hopes this pans out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 what's mr euro say....is this thing gonna turn into a legit storm? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 what's mr euro say....is this thing gonna turn into a legit storm? almost 2hrs before 18z euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I know...just was trying to drum up some excitement 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 18z rgem fwiwI could be remembering wrong, but I believe that’s a slightly southern shift from its 12z run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Fv3 slower and south as well, stronger at 500mb. Ill have the pivital one up later 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 DMX goin with Warning for frz drz and 4-6" of snow. Hope the changeover doesnt take forever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Surprised no afd from gid or Oax yet. Woner if they are waiting on the 18z models Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Local guys sticking with ice and 1-3. I wonder if they will change with the 18z runs following the euro. Edit: honestly I think oax will stay the same they are going to play this very cautious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Models getting wetter.... Weird Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 The cutoff on the GFs is unreal. 10 miles north of me 10”. Only a couple IMBY. Thankfully I’m not buying it. Would be the second time this year I missed on heavy snow by 10 miles. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Fv3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 It appears the euro wins again. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erburns18 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Omaha NWS still has .1-.2 of ice followed by 1-2 inches of snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 More juice. Keep it comin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Omaha NWS still has .1-.2 of ice followed by 1-2 inches of snowYeah they just updated they are sticking with GFS and CMC. Playing this cautious and I think they are not counting the 18z runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Usually a good sign when models trend wetter as the event gets closer 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 OAX going with 12Z GFS and CMC. Saying EURO is an outlier. --- going to be an interesting 12 hours and see what the short range guidance does. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 HRRR is wanting to make dry air a problem. And the beat goes on. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Ratios shouldn't be an issue if RAP has any say in it, at least not a couple hours after the changeover. Wind may be a problem still but at least we'll have decent temps aloft. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Weird to see this trending wetter. Hopefully the trend continues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Freezing drizzle has begun here. Streets are very slick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 21z RAP looks like 18z Gfs but it’s so hard to tell without a zoomed in picture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 18z GFS looks great! Lol. Let’s lock that one in! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 21z RAP looks like 18z Gfs but it’s so hard to tell without a zoomed in picture18z GFS has better snow bands. Rap keeping the freezing rain/drizzle longer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Gridded output has at 27 in an hour. It's currently 20 that is one heck of a warm up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 DVN's updated graphic I'd be ok with 2-3". 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 22, 2019 Report Share Posted January 22, 2019 I guess I could accept 6 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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