gosaints Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 The new GFS says what storm??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Epic fail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Epic fail.Hopefully the model just sucks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Hopefully the model just sucksYes and no. That’s our new shiny upgrade. One of the best in the world..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Yes and no. That’s our new shiny upgrade. One of the best in the world.....true that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Hopefully the model just sucksIt was acting weird with this storm last night too, but the other models have continued to show this storm. Maybe I’ll be wrong, but I think it’s just performing terrible. Maybe the govt shutdown is getting to it lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Unless I’m looking at it incorrectly, the Ukie seems to have a similar SLP location as the GEM at HR 96. Don’t know any details besides that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Be right for once in your life GGEM. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 The iconic icon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 I’d love to see the performance scores of the FV3 vs ICON. Total trash. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 FV3 says enjoy your 1-4” of snow everyone. Buzzkill. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 FV3 says enjoy your 1-4” of snow everyone. Buzzkill.Not really sure I’d say it’s a buzzkill, as it’s pretty difficult to take serious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Not really sure I’d say it’s a buzzkill, as it’s pretty difficult to take serious.Yeah, sarcasm didn’t come thru there. Ha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 It was acting weird with this storm last night too, but the other models have continued to show this storm. Maybe I’ll be wrong, but I think it’s just performing terrible. Maybe the govt shutdown is getting to it lol I thought GFSes blew the last storm pretty good too. Just my 2 cents. Seems like it likes to come in warm and weak with this pattern we're in. Just because it's new doesn't mean it's better. I would even argue it could even be worse for a time as they work with the new software and make adjustments. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Ukie 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 So much potential with this thing considering the gradient established by the westerly WAA. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Be right for once in your life GGEM. Agreed. That is INSANE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 That was a YUGE slide south on the gfs from the 06z and still along ways to go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Euro with a 1002mb SLP in NW Missouri at HR 96. Pretty similar to the CMC as far as track. SLP is slightly weaker (2mb). Very similar to the UK, at least as far as track and strength at HR 96. As usual, no idea on any other details. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 A wide 6+ assuming ratios are 15:1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 The euro has dropped the system from super clipper to more of an ordinary high end clipper. Except for the weak FV3, the models are darn close this morning. I'll certainly take 5-8 inches of clipper fluff. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Fluctuations on qpf this far out to be expected and will continue. This weekend will be interesting to see what they show compared to what the models that were on the high end. Will the GFS/Gem continue to be on the high end and will the Euro stay the middle ground. At least the consensus is for a decent storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Meh. If it happens it happens, if not I move on. It’ll snow, just a matter of how much.Can't agree more. Been so meh all winter that it is turning into a "whatever happens, happens" kind of winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 12z EPS a touch S but still a good hit for a lot of places from IA/IL/IN/MI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Not that it means anything but nam jumped a good bit north from its 12z run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Not that it means anything but nam jumped a good bit north from its 12z runNAM at HR 81 zzzzzz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 NAM at HR 81 zzzzzzJust copying you lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just copying you lolAnd I’m just busting your balls haha! But I do think it’s worth noting. You actually beat me to posting it. Just because it’s long term NAM and not reliable, doesn’t mean it’s not worth mentioning at least. It’s just interesting to compare to what other models see and have, even if it’s not worth a darn. I think I’d trust the long term NAM over the FV3 right now, honestly 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 I accidentally clicked on the NAVGEM in TT. Solid hit here on the 06z run. Boom. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Not that it means anything but nam jumped a good bit north from its 12z runActually looks pretty good and not far off the 12z GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 ^ was just going to post that. Good call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 I accidentally clicked on the NAVGEM in TT. Solid hit here on the 06z run. Boom.Just looked at it for kicks...that looks like it would bury most of the sub-forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 So what you guys are saying is we need to lock it in? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Icon looks north Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Icon looks northComparing it to 18z Nam, Icon looks a little faster but other than that looks about the same. It is farther north of it's 12z run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Icon looks northI think I trust the long range NAM more than I trust the ICON, but I would say the track is pretty similar to what the GFS is showing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Gfs will be farther east also Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Based on hr 66 I’ll say the GFS bumps a tad east Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 24, 2019 Report Share Posted January 24, 2019 Still only out to HR 72, but if I had to guess.. GFS will come in at least slightly further north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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