bainbridgekid Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 GFS sure has trended toward more moisture with the Friday/Saturday system. 00z shows very borderline temps and a period of rain for Seattle, but tough to overstate the potential with this much precipitation and that much cold air around. 12z:18z:00z: Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I wish the Friday system came in on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I wouldn’t expect much 33 degree rain from the upcoming pattern. The WRF is going to be unbelievable eye candy if it shows as much moisture as the GFS is showing. I feel WRF will show rain down here...just a hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Crazy looking pattern at the end of the run We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Down to 15.9. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Went for a walk right as the sun was setting. Just gorgeous out there! Awesome. At sunset here. Down to 18° now. 2 Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 33, clear and calm. Would be nice to be able to experience some sort of interesting weather event here but our most recent one was the huge number of 90 degree days last summer. Literally, there has been nothing of interest since then. Worst/most boring stretch of weather since I moved to Oregon in 1989. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 PDX 30 and light snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 GFS sure has trended toward more moisture with the Friday/Saturday system. 00z shows very borderline temps and a period of rain for Seattle, but tough to overstate the potential with this much precipitation and that much cold air around. 12z:gfs_apcpn_nwus_22.png18z:gfs_apcpn_nwus_21.png00z:gfs_apcpn_nwus_20.pngIf I remember correctly there was a system or two during the Dec 2008 period where models had a borderline temp setup but as we got close we stayed all snow. (At least up here) Perhaps we are following that script a bit? Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Moving into the metro area nicely now, appears to be enhancing slightly too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Here is the more realistic WRF map. Shows nothing for any of us in the metro area after 10 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 If I remember correctly there was a system or two during the Dec 2008 period where models had a borderline temp setup but as we got close we stayed all snow. (At least up here) Perhaps we are following that script a bit? I sure hope so, as it currently stands it's an extremely close call for VI and for the puget sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 EURO is far more impressive for lowland snow IMO Anyways, that band is just parked over PDX and it is snowing a good clip. Everything is turning white! 3 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Pendleton radar looking even worse for PDX. 4 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 EURO is far more impressive for lowland snow IMO Anyways, that band is just parked over PDX and it is snowing a good clip. Everything is turning white! Hopefully the 00z Euro still gives PDX a snowstorm. Not liking what I see on the other models, especially the vomit inducing GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hopefully the 00z Euro still gives PDX a snowstorm. Not liking what I see on the other models, especially the vomit inducing GFS. Can't complain about the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Pendleton radar looking even worse for PDX.Linear thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Arlington down to 12! Olympia 17! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Pendleton radar looking even worse for PDX.Juuuuuuuust a bit snowy around Sunnyside. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Juuuuuuuust a bit snowy around Sunnyside. Not bad. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hopefully the 00z Euro still gives PDX a snowstorm. Not liking what I see on the other models, especially the vomit inducing GFS. 00z actually turned out to be pretty decent. GEM was good. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 But seriously, the western part of the band is getting a second life, seems like its trying to pivot around The Dalles/Hood River area... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Spots in the PNW still above freezing: AlbanyTangentSweet HomeBrownsvilleSpringfieldCreswell That's it. Let's see who the "survivor" is 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Spots in the PNW still above freezing: AlbanyTangentSweet HomeBrownsvilleSpringfieldCreswell That's it. Let's see who the "survivor" isWild card submission: Asotin, WA @ 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hmm FV3 showing some weak snow moving in from the southwest on thursday evening colliding with the incoming arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Pretty much impossible to nail down timing at this point. I think the late week period has much more potential then this past weekend had, in terms of snowfall for our area. I have to agree, the air will be plenty cold/dry to support snow from the start, it's hard to see it transitioning to rain with persistent offshore flow and established low level cold to the north and south. The biggest concern again is snow shadowing, but at this point it looks like anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Juuuuuuuust a bit snowy around Sunnyside. Awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Juuuuuuuust a bit snowy around Sunnyside. I wonder if somebody in Yakima valley is going to measure a foot tonight. I can't remember which model nailed this, going to go back in the thread right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 How much snow did The Dalles get today? It looked like they just got totally nuked! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I have to agree, the air will be plenty cold/dry to support snow from the start, it's hard to see it transitioning to rain with persistent offshore flow and established low level cold to the north and south. The biggest concern again is snow shadowing, but at this point it looks like anything is possible. My interpretation of the situation shown can be wrong, but I feel that the trajectory of that low on the GFS tonight is absolutely perfect for a massive dump everywhere from here to Nanaimo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 10 degrees in Arlington at 9 PM. WOW. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I feel WRF will show rain down here...just a hunch.If it shows rain it will be short lived. That is just a massive snow setup on the GFS. I’m expecting the WRF to show 20-30” ( here). Not that it means anything. Just fun to speculate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Here is the more realistic WRF map. Shows nothing for any of us in the metro area after 10 PM. That map is definitely going to bust. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 If it shows rain it will be short lived. That is just a massive snow setup on the GFS. I’m expecting the WRF to show 20-30”. Not that it means anything. Just fun to speculate. Check out the FV3. Continuing that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 That map is definitely going to bust. Trusting the HRRR- it actually handled this quite decently. WRF was/is awful. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 How much snow did The Dalles get today? It looked like they just got totally nuked! .4" qpf same as Yakima. so probably 6" and 8" at Yakima atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 So did most Vancouver Island posters get shafted to this point as well? Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 So did most Vancouver Island posters get shafted to this point as well? Absolutely got shafted. Max accumulations reported have been 2 inches in the Triangle Mountain area of Colwood (west of downtown). There apparently was more snow up in the Duncan area, but down here it was a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Absolutely got shafted. Max accumulations reported have been 2 inches in the Triangle Mountain area of Colwood (west of downtown). There apparently was more snow up in the Duncan area, but down here it was a bust. You will have a turn here in the next week. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Ended up with a 29F high here in spite of having no snow cover after a low of 21F last night. This marks the first freeze of the season in this part of town and coldest my weather station has reported in the 3 years it's been running. Looks like YYJ may have broken its long running streak without a sub-freezing high, although it looks like it got close this afternoon. Interestingly many places north of here with a solid snow cover ended up getting above freezing. Currently 28F and cloudy, for how cold it got the outflow winds never got particular strong here and it's dead calm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts