TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Up to 37 here. Everything has melted. Things will be fine if the EC verifies though. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 So, when exactly should I start getting excited?Get excited now but just remember that if and when the models pull back on this, life will go on. If the GFS comes fully on board tonight, feel free to your pants though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 You didn't counter it with swimming in the ocean? What part did u go to? Maui? Disney Aulani Oahu and I lived in the water. Surfing (at least trying), snorkeling , swimming, none stop ping pong and being pounded by shorebreak waves at Waimea Bay body surfing! https://www.youtube.com/embed/wnNrd-VjLsQ?rel=0&showinfo=0&autoplay=1&playsinline=1&enablejsapi=1 Thinking about it must of been the Costco tub of chocolate macadamias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Get excited now but just remember that if and when the models pull back on this, life will go on. If the GFS comes fully on board tonight, feel free to s**t your pants though. Oh of course. I'm not expecting the GFS operational to come on board, but ensembles on all models are looking very good (which is a plus). "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Disney Aulani Oahu and I lived in the water. Surfing (at least trying), snorkeling , swimming, none stop ping pong and being pounded by shorebreak waves at Waimea Bay body surfing! https://www.youtube.com/embed/wnNrd-VjLsQ?rel=0&showinfo=0&autoplay=1&playsinline=1&enablejsapi=1 Did you see anything fun while snorkeling? I was about 5 feet from a 10 foot Manta that swam right under me in Maui back in 2015. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Yet you, of all people, roundly ignored it plus the low solar factor. Some people never learn... A method that will work out two decades in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Who from the forum went on vacation during this period? That's who we really need to thank and remember. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeattleWXGuy Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Pretty intense YWL-BLI gradient setting up Saturday, showing in the neighborhood of 30mb. Impressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 That's too cold to snow, must be fake.If only all climates were created equal. 4 degree snow doesn’t happen where dry, downslopey, offshore flow under high pressure is required to achieve said temperature. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 This pattern may inspire me to go back to school and get my doctorate. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Should be some fun statements watches and warnings coming from the NWS this week. Then we will also get to read them all again when Moss Man posts them in 2026. Lol 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 This pattern may inspire me to go back to school and get my doctorate. Publish or perish. Maybe you can work on a text with Cliff Mass. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Should be some fun statements watches and warnings coming from the NWS this week. Then we will also get to read them all again when Moss Man posts them in 2026. Lol Nope. Seasonal weather ahead courtesy of NWS PDX. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex_Snakes Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Now I want to see what the 18z GFS is going to do for Friday/Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 BTW, I mentioned this before, does anyone have any clue as to what the snow ratios would be for your area? It will be interesting if it is different that the usual 10:1. I know where I live since it is colder it can be higher.If the temps are in the 20s with dry Fraser River outflow. Pretty common to see ratios of 20:1 when precip does fall. I think the Fraser valley had some 20:1 ratios in February 2017 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Now I want to see what the 18z GFS is going to do for Friday/Saturday.Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I expect the PDX NWS pulls the trigger on this at the last second. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I was just thinking that too. No better way to end the lamenting of the good old days then blowing away even our most insane cold and snowy months in history.Been saying this for awhile..if all-time cold/snow records can be smashed in Midwest/East, they can be smashed in the PNW too. It is bound to happen at some point, and it might be about to happen now. There is nothing unique about the climate picture that precludes the PNW from joining the party. There has been some bad luck in recent decades w/ feedback loops involving WPAC convection and intraseasonal timings not lining up right, but that can’t last forever. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 In-fuccking-sane. Every frame of the EPS has looked basically the same for the last 2 weeks going out 15 days. There is no variability. There is ALWAYS variability. I honestly cannot remember anything like this since I have been looking at weather models.I see this kind of stability in the EPS all the time. In the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Who from the forum went on vacation during this period? That's who we really need to thank and remember.When I left for Quesnel last Sunday I said I was bringing the arctic air back with me. I got home Sunday night. You are all welcome. And I saw that plenty of snowfall at -15F. Not too cold to snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Not something you see everyday for the lowlands of the PNW from the CPC. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png 2 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 A method that will work out two decades in a row It's really a win-win for everyone. Watch Justin get b*tch slapped by Mother Nature, AND get regional winter madness. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 This pattern may inspire me to go back to school and get my doctorate. Classes will be cancelled, silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I see this kind of stability in the EPS all the time. In the summer. I know you are sort of joking here... but I have not seen this lack of variability ever. Even in our hottest months... the patterns are still changing. This is beyond crazy right now. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 SEA is above freezing... forks out! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Not something you see everyday for the lowlands of the PNW from the CPC. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png Just misses Portland, but I'm not terribly concerned with details this far out. I'm sure we'll get something at the very least. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Looks to me once the set up starts friday it very well could stay locked with the ridge where we need it. What u think?Yes, into the third week of February the pattern looks very stable with a solid upper level cold source. My gut instinct is that snowstorm chances will become increasingly high especially for Oregon with time, because a modest (but not overwhelming) jet extension off Siberia/East-Asia will add some momentum around the stable -PNA ridge (both into the STJ the northern jet) which would favor an inverse N/S gradient with time. At least based on what I can derive from the relevant 1998-present era which holds the most analogous Pacific Hadley Cell climatology. So I do think the “big kahuna” of this event is favored to end up centered south towards Oregon, but certainly the entire region is in the crosshairs. 2 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex_Snakes Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Rain Probably. 18z does what 18z does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 18z NAM hugs the coast more than the GFS. Looks snowy Friday afternoon around the Sound. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Classes will be cancelled, silly.F*ck it. I can just buy one online. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 SEA is above freezing... forks out! Pretty difficult to remain below freezing with full sunshine this time of year, at least for most stations. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Meanwhile, it’s 71*F and sunny here on the east coast. One week ago it was 5*F with 55+mph winds. Like a different world outside. Eat your heart out, Tim. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 It's really a win-win for everyone. Watch Justin get b*tch slapped by Mother Nature, AND get regional winter madness. Just gotta wait another decade now 6-7s usually work out okay, though. Maybe 8 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 18z NAM hugs the coast more than the GFS. Looks snowy Friday afternoon around the Sound. NAM evolution looks more like the Euro. Sets us up beautifully for Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 NAM evolution looks more like the Euro. Sets us up beautifully for Saturday. Which day has the most potential for NW Oregon? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 F*ck it. I can just buy one online. 'Merica Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Yet you, of all people, roundly ignored it plus the low solar factor. Some people never learn... Hard to deny the solar factor in this era. The geomag/solar wind in particular has correlated fantastically to PNA/warm pool tendencies (hence PNW winters) since the 1990s. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 31.3* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 This is 15 days out... #ItsHappening #NoReallyItsActuallyHappeningThisTime 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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