Grizzcoat Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 06Z GFS first wave-- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 06Z GFS both waves --- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 It's nice to see the models still holding onto the 2nd wave as it heads this way. Nothing better than a daytime snow event on a weekend which will be nice to see. I'm also noticing that some Lehs/LES may be in play here for SE WI/NE IL which may add some additional snow but I'm not sure if this is a great set up. As Grizz noted, this should be a long duration snow event. 06z NAM picking up on both the Lehs/LES... 06z FV3... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Good morning, it seems I have a shot at 5 or 6 inches this morning, I also noticed some models have my sky clearing late tonight and with a fresh snow pack temps should plummet, 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 00z Euro also seeing the Lehs/LES potential...this setup is interesting bc it will be a long duration wind event off the lake. Could be some bonus snow for some spots along the lake??? Winds will be a bit gusty Sun afternoon as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 00z EPS came in a bit wetter overall across IA/IL for the 2nd wave and trending towards the GFS. IA seems to be the location where the heaviest snows will fall with the 2nd wave. KC region still does well with the 1st wave.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 The latest RAP still gives me a shot at warning level snow today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 This is looking up for Iowa. All models now drop 0.30-0.40" around here... over a pretty long period. It's going to require a few snow board clearings. It appears there will be a bit of wind, though, which I don't like. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 This is looking up for Iowa. All models now drop 0.30-0.40" around here... over a pretty long period. It's going to require a few snow board clearings. It appears there will be a bit of wind, though, which I don't like.the wind could shatter some really nice dendrites Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 NCEP WPC (75% percentile) snowfall through 12z on Monday.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 In KC this morning so can’t officially report on Central Nebraska. However, radar has looked really good and I saw visibility was .25 earlier. Looks like it could be a solid 3-5” event as the WWA has said. Always depends on heavier snow bands. NWS Hastings did up snow totals slightly and they mentioned a southern shift. Now I get to report on how the west side of the KC Metro does today. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Central Nebraska cashing in on radar right now! Just gotta hope it holds together as it moves East. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Who knows, maybe SEMI can score a few flurries from this.. It looks much better for peeps south of me. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Central Nebraska cashing in on radar right now! Just gotta hope it holds together as it moves East.Looks like it. Too bad I’m not seeing it up close. Saw temp is only 8 degrees. We leave KC Sunday morning so probably some snow blowing or scooping in my future Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Who knows, maybe SEMI can score a few flurries from this.. It looks much better for peeps south of me.I think SMI west and east is SOL for snow for awhile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 In KC this morning so can’t officially report on Central Nebraska. However, radar has looked really good and I saw visibility was .25 earlier. Looks like it could be a solid 3-5” event as the WWA has said. Always depends on heavier snow bands. NWS Hastings did up snow totals slightly and they mentioned a southern shift. Now I get to report on how the west side of the KC Metro does today.Afternoon rush hour will be terrible! Kansas drivers 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 I'm scared looking at radar tbh. One shot of dry air into that line and our chances of anything appreciable are zapped. Gotta admit, it's not looking good for Omaha. And it's looking like best totals will be South of here for the trillionth time. We've been picking up Beatrice's scraps this whole winter, why not do it again? 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 I think SMI west and east is SOL for snow for awhile.I think we stay dry for a couple of days and into early next week. Starting midweek and thereafter, it starts getting more active, especially as we head towards the end of the month and into the beginning of March. Temps will remain below the norm, but nothing outrageous. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Dry nose at 850mb is making its presence known. Radar indicates that we should be getting a pretty decent clip right now, but we're just getting flurries here atm. Hoping it can fill in. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 How's Omaha doing? I see some returns over there, wondering if anything is making it to the ground or not. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erburns18 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Heavy dry air. Down to zero visibility 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 NAM looks good around here again. While certainly not terrible, Kuchera ratios are definitely showing the lower range that the DVN has mentioned. They’ve said ratios of 14-19:1, but Kuchera seems to be indicating 13-15:1, at least from what I’ve seen with the GFS & NAM. I’m guessing that’s probably more realistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 How's Omaha doing? I see some returns over there, wondering if anything is making it to the ground or not.Nothing, not a single flake of snow falling. Dry air winning again. On to tomorrow night, nothing to see here today around here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Moderate snow starting to fall a couple hours ahead of schedule. I think the NWS should upgrade to a warning for areas south of KC including me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Dry air is dominating here. Only saving grace is the storm on the 23rd-24th looks good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Getting pixie dust dendrites falling at a decent clip. 00Z NAM runs hit it right on the head, we're not exactly the epitome of dry air here but this is where it starts, which should keep our totals down today. 8.2*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Moderate snow starting to fall a couple hours ahead of schedule. I think the NWS should upgrade to a warning for areas south of KC including me.Radar looks really impressive down there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 This thing looks a lot wider and slower than expected. I expected it to be a weenie band as did most other models, but there's a legit comma on radar. Hopefully Omaha can get rid of the dry air so they can get in on the fun too. Omadome is working in full force. 3 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Radar looks really impressive down there.It went from nothing to getting after it in a matter of minutes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Defo band looking feature is over GI/Hastings. Hoping that one holds together. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 3km NAM advertised 0.2" here lol. Seeing that that's basically less than what we have now, I'm gonna go ahead and say 3km NAM can suck it. Same with normie NAM and its 0.0" solution. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Defo band looking feature is over GI/Hastings. Hoping that one holds together.This is one healthy looking wave to say the least...you guys will do well... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 2nd wave GFS 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 NAM, ICON, GFS all drop 0.40" on CR/IC. All three have the bulls-eye in south-central Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 both waves- GFS- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 A little dry gap close to the surface is hurting returns as they get here. Flake size is puny but the clip is good. Once that fills in, we should be golden here. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 2nd wave GFS USA_ASNOWI48_sfc_072.gifThis model run really couldn’t be anymore depressing for us Omaha folks. Iowa cashes in AGAIN... disgusting! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 12z NAM...Lehs signal is def viable... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 Omaha and Lincoln deserve nothing out of this. You guys have gotten 3 or 4 snow events just like this where my area didn't see even an inch. It's my turn to enjoy something. Took a walk for an hour while the best returns were here. Had moderate to heavy snow and good flake size for a bit. Probably around 3 inches with the back edge now approaching. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2019 Report Share Posted February 15, 2019 12z FV3...likely over juiced but the take-away is that the 2nd wave is holding together better over here... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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