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February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2


snow_wizard

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All this wasted energy you always spend trying to talk everyone out of being excited over an event. Like your ridiculous predictions regarding the #trendingnorth low that ending up landfalling down near the California border a few days ago. Just let it ride and let people have their fun.

 

Its not wasted energy.

 

Its just analyzing the data.    I mention lots of good signs as well.   All the time.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Doesn't hurt that something is actually falling out of the sky for you though.

 

Here is what the NAM thought would happen. Looks better than that for sure.

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_5.png

Yeah the radar definitely looks healthier than that at this stage. Let’s see if it counts for something.

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The main band has been trending south in the models for the past 24 hrs. I wouldn’t be surprised if it continues to trend south and hit us instead of Vancouver

 

Let's hope so, however, Vancouver is probably well placed either way. The band will be moving north so if it starts south of their they will still get in on it. If it forms too far north they probably will get quite a bit too, but we'll get nothing.

 

Crazy how cold it was today given conditions in the valley, had a high of 38F here, which is only a couple degrees warmer than the East Fraser Valley. The temperature profile of the region is fairly uniform right now.

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I don't get this.

 

I just like to know the facts good or bad... even with things I really want to happen. I don't understand cheerleading the weather.

Your timing is everything. You could simply let things ride and let people have their excitement or lack thereof, then provide your facts later.

 

Your timing is always impeccable and it’s kinda why people call you out on it.

 

I don’t disagree with your method as I’ve always enjoyed your facts... but from a neutral perspective, it does come off as a buzzkill.

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You do some cheerleading for dry sunny weather. Human nature.

 

 

Not really... I assume the worst usually.    I need solid data to be optimistic.  I want to see all the model data available.   Nature is going to do what its going to do.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I just saw a report from an hour ago of 6" in downtown Grants Pass! That is absolutely incredible. NWS just this morning was only forecasting T-2" in Southern Oregon below 1500'. Grants Pass sits around 800' on the Rogue River. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Your timing is everything. You could simply let things ride and let people have their excitement or lack thereof, then provide your facts later.

 

Your timing is always impeccable and it’s kinda why people call you out on it.

 

I don’t disagree with your method as I’ve always enjoyed your facts... but from a neutral perspective, it does come off as a buzzkill.

 

 

I said that I don't think the air mass in Portland would be even close to saturated tonight.    Just my opinion.    Why does everyone hang on my word so much?   I am obviously often wrong.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8E73A472-9BAA-456E-B783-B402C254E276.jpeg

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2.5” so far

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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This event has such an old school feel! I LOVE IT. Plus I'm not really getting to much, just able to enjoy yet another historic event in real time, in a month full of them! 26 now with light blowing snow. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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But, but Tim said something about dew points...

 

 

I am God.   I have spoken!   

 

You are so goofy.   Are dewpoints a factor tonight?   Is ECMWF data more information?     Did I say it would not snow?    My track record on these events is pretty poor this month anyways.

 

You have been so negative and such a party-pooper all month unless you get what you want.   You refuse to let people have their fun and remind us that cold is worthless without snow.   What a terrible thing to say.    Buzz Kill Chris!!!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I said that I don't think the air mass in Portland would be even close to saturated tonight. Just my opinion. Why does everyone hang on my word so much? I am obviously often wrong.

The majority of the people here have cold and snow bias. Unfortunately they will be critical of what you post if it doesnt go their favor. Again, i dont think you’re wrong in regard to the saturation of airmass, but all it takes is some heavier precip to change things. Overall, you’re kinda playing against the crowd which isn’t your fault

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Wow! Eugene with a NNE wind at 18mph now.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Unbelievable looking at the obs. 29 at McMinnville with light snow winds N22G28. Bend 12 degrees with moderate snow. Unbelievable this late in the season. Almost reminiscent of the early 60s.  

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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We got about an inch out of that first band.  Flurries now.  I have a feeling I'm going to wake up to about 3" tomorrow, in which case I'll count this as an actual snow event :-)

 

Great thing is its not dripping and melting before the next band rolls in. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The majority of the people here have cold and snow bias. Unfortunately they will be critical of what you post if it doesnt go their favor. Again, i dont think you’re wrong in regard to the saturation of airmass, but all it takes is some heavier precip to change things. Overall, you’re kinda playing against the crowd which isn’t your fault

And I play in the crowd's favor all the time too. Just depends on the situation. I have no problem with that. I don't decide based on the crowd. Just what I see.

 

And I am often wrong anyways. I am just another voice in the peanut gallery.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Now up to 3”

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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And I play in the crowd's favor all the time too. Just depends on the situation. I have no problem with that. I don't decide based on the crowd. Just what I see.

 

And I am often wrong anyways. I am just another voice in the peanut gallery.

I swear to God you are Donald Trump. :lol:

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I am God. I have spoken!

 

You are so goofy. Are dewpoints a factor tonight? Is ECMWF data more information? Did I say it would not snow? My track record on these events is pretty poor this month anyways.

 

You have been so negative and such a party-pooper all month unless you get what you want. You refuse to let people have their fun and remind us that cold is worthless without snow. What a terrible thing to say. Buzz Kill Chris!!!

As someone else said, your timing is impeccable, but I know for a fact and many others agree that it is on purpose contrary to what you say, hope you had a great Tuesday!!
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As someone else said, your timing is impeccable, but I know for a fact alot of us know it is on purpose contrary to what yous say, hope you had a great Tuesday!!

For mentioning dewpoints tonight?

 

OK

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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