Jesse Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Probably would have gotten a little bit of snow if this system came in 3 hours earlier. Warming up above freezing with some very light precipitation moving in from the nw. How cold did you get overnight? I fell to 28. It was a pretty and frosty sunrise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Snowing a little bit harder but the south wind has kicked in. Amazing how many days at least some flakes have fallen from the sky this month. One more thought about the Monday situation is keep in mind the models usually don't send moisture far enough north on the north side of a low in cases like this. I think places from Seattle south will still get some snow even with a favorable track for Portland. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Rain just turned to heavy snow here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Dumping here and 31. 1/2 inch new. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 How cold did you get overnight? I fell to 28. It was a pretty and frosty sunrise.29 here. Up to 34 now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/monanom.shtml No model on that page agrees with one another for anything in March. Tough call given were on the shoulder of the season. These are only anomalies though. Minus anomalies can happen in any season. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Just drove to East Redmond and it was snowing almost the whole way. sticking at all? Hope the eruo turns more north otherwise my area may be shut out for sat thru tues Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Snowing and blowing here. 36.2 with a DP of 29 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Snowing and blowing here. 36.2 with a DP of 29 The central sound is being heavily shadowed right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 29 here. Up to 34 now. 33 and clouding up here. Would be nice to see some flakes at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 The central sound is being heavily shadowed right now. 40 at SEA now with a south wind gusting to 29. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 The 12z UKMET precipitation maps for Monday. Looks snowy for the WV. Tiger Woods gets ironed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 40 at SEA now with a south wind gusting to 29. Ya it is warming up fast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 You are starting to change your tune a bit. Would be nice. I'm not aware of the track record of trends on the 06Z Euro being picked up on and being continued by the 12Z, or how common that is. Has anyone else noticed? I followed the 06z and 18z euro runs during the last event that went to Seattle, I didn't observe any major differences between the 12z or 00z runs. They seemed pretty much inline. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Gfs ensembles and operation agree with 2-4 inches here on Sunday morning. It’s more or less on its own so I’m not entirely convinced but I’m impressed about the consistency of the gfs on this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Precip has reached me. 32.3F and snowing lightly. DP of 30. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I enjoyed the 12z ICON run, let's see if it's leading the way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Went through an area of large flakes in east Kirkland. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I enjoyed the 12z ICON run, let's see if it's leading the wayWhat are you 16???? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 FWIW... the WRF shows lots of snow in Portland and southward on Monday morning and just about totally misses the Seattle area. The snow total maps have not updated yet. But if the 12Z ECMWF still shows the same scenario as its 00Z run then the WRF is just plain wrong about the northern extent of the snow... which happens all the time. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Precip has reached me. 32.3F and snowing lightly. DP of 30.Nice, I'm out in Hillsboro but stuck in the Fab at the moment. No access to windows so can't see outside yet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 What are you 16????After seeing all the sh*t on here the past 48 hours, I'm not going to sit back and hope I don't get snow just so some random internet people in Oregon can stop whining. You get some and you give some, and my preference on model solutions makes no difference on what will actually happen For the record, I doubt I'll see any snow from this in the first place, I'm too far north. One can wishcast though 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Some big league gusts here with light snow swirling all around. Everything is frozen solid despite it being 35. Oh the power of the dew point! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Nice, I'm out in Hillsboro but stuck in the Fab at the moment. No access to windows so can't see outside yet. Mostly just tiny flakes floating around, precip rate is low but it is fun to see the snow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman5678 Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 sticking at all? Hope the eruo turns more north otherwise my area may be shut out for sat thru tues Just a dusting so far NE of Redmond. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Here is the 12z FV3 snow totals through Monday 4pm. Take these with a grain if salt, likely overdoing it but it's useful to see which areas get hit the most and if you look at the 06z EURO they both show Beaver Nation in the bullseye for now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 GFS ensembles continue the cooler trend in the mid to long range 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Yeah this will be too light to do anything but still a little fun. The cameras in the coast range under the precip aren't showing any accumulation even with temps around 30-31. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Some big league gusts here with light snow swirling all around. Everything is frozen solid despite it being 35. Oh the power of the dew point!Same here earlier but the Olympics shadow is doing me in again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Temp down to 34.8. Still light flakes swirling. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Pretty decent snowfall rate now, a bit above freezing though. 33.3F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Regional snowstorm! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Well it looks like Monday may end up good for Portland after all! North end of the precip will probably make to Seattle or just north at best, good for me in Tacoma id be happy with an inch of snow...good for Portland if this pans out really happy for y’all if it does! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I shortened the AFD and just kept the highlights... Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 927 AM PST Fri Feb 22 2019 winding down of activity and little if any snowfall or accumulation expected. As such...will treat as a minor irritant at best for now. Models diverge again after that as the ECMWF keeps a troughy pattern over the Pac NW while the GFS ushers in a pretty steep ridge from over the Pacific. Fortunately...no matter which model is right regarding the upper level systems...precip and what have you...the consensus is that snow levels will climb throughout the long term period...getting up to the 3000-4000 ft range by Thursday/Friday and as such any precip from Wednesday on will be liquid. Should this remain consistent in future runs...may finally be able to put the specter of this winter in the rear view mirror. SMR Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Well it looks like Monday may end up good for Portland after all! North end of the precip will probably make to Seattle or just north at best, good for me in Tacoma id be happy with an inch of snow...good for Portland if this pans out really happy for y’all if it does! This is a huge ECMWF run coming up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 GFS ensembles are really interesting! Big dip now at PDX for Thursday/Friday, and then a lot of really cold members around the 4th. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Nws Seattle still being very conservative as usual lol, yes big run on the euro coming up will be interesting to see how it pans out Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 This is a Critical ECMWF run coming up. Fixed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Nws Seattle still being very conservative as usual lol, yes big run on the euro coming up will be interesting to see how it pans outThe low will probably end up crashing into San Francisco. Never underestimate the power of the Tim! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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