PNW April 2023 Weather Discussion

[SilverFallsAndrew]

OMG it's 84 at Ontario! They are ON FIRE!

[ShawniganLake]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Interestingly looking at precip over the years, we see a pretty noticeable upward trend in the spring months of March-May, and a declining trend in the fall and winter months, summer precip across Oregon has remained relatively stable since 1895, as it there is not generally much of it. Annual precip has been pretty stable overall, though there has not been an extremely wet year since 2012. 

About what I figured.  Annual precip hasn’t changed much. Our climate is warming not drying, overall.  Although, our summers may be drying slightly. 

[Omegaraptor]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

DID YOU SEE THE 12Z GFS?!

MJO should move into Phase 8 in about a week. If that fails to give us an appreciable warmup, idk what will.

[MossMan]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

OMG it's 84 at Ontario! They are ON FIRE!

Up to 45 here! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This one looks fun.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Big time, and next Sunday is a washout on this run.

[Cascadia_Wx]

So many fantastic runs lately I can barely keep track.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

So many fantastic runs lately I can barely keep track.

Cold troughing next week and then a POWERFUL low up the coast!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Let’s check out the 12z EPS. I was actually pretty surprised about the amount of spread in week two. Lots of warm members mixed in even though the mean is solidly in the cool camp. I imagine the warmer ones probably drop the trough offshore rather than progressing it inland. We’ll see what happens.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Let’s check out the 12z EPS. I was actually pretty surprised about the amount of spread in week two. Lots of warm members mixed in even though the mean is solidly in the cool camp. I imagine the warmer ones probably drop the trough offshore rather than progressing it inland. We’ll see what happens.

Thanks TIM!

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

Up to 0.44" of bounteous, beneficial, live-giving, nurturing RAIN here today.

Constant mild light AR drizzle/rain is just what the doctor ordered for the ecosystem without flooding or too much mountain snowpack destruction.

#greatful [sic]

#blessed

What do you think about the claims that the long term PNW climate isn’t drying out for down that way? Seems there’s been year after year of well below average annual precip the last decade.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

Up to 0.44" of bounteous, beneficial, live-giving, nurturing RAIN here today.

Constant mild light AR drizzle/rain is just what the doctor ordered for the ecosystem without flooding or too much mountain snowpack destruction.

#greatful [sic]

#blessed

River looked pretty high when I was down for a bit yesterday. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Thanks TIM!

The MJO should hopefully save us or else I’m packing up my sailor moon backpack and driving my parents minivan until I hit my first heat advisory  

[Omegaraptor]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The MJO should hopefully save us or else I’m packing up my sailor moon backpack and driving my parents minivan until I hit my first heat advisory  

Southern Oregon is gross and trash. I can't believe anyone would ever want to visit that dump.

[Front Ranger]

45 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

WOW, 72 in Burns, 75 at La Grande and 79 in ROME. 

75 here in Denver! Could hit 85 tomorrow. Big-time interior West spring heat dome.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

Southern Oregon is gross and trash. I can't believe anyone would ever want to visit that dump.

GOD'z Country. Can't wait to head down there this summer. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GOD'z Country. Can't wait to head down there this summer. 

So beautiful down there Andrew. Someday I’d love to backpack the Illinois River.

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

75 in Lewiston right now. Toasty in that warm sector!

Yep but still better for them than 80 which was a possibility a few days ago. I'm quite fine with 70 where we topped out. Now at 67.5 so about room temperature. Granted 80 in January feels like August, 80 if in April is nice but concerning for summer, 80 in August is a cool summer (or smoke cooled), and 80 in the fall feels cooler by comparison but I want the frost to come to kill the bugs.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Eujunga said:

That pine tree in the second photo looks pretty droughty.

Was gonna say. I think that must be an old photo of Galice Road on the Rogue River too, since there was a big fire (Rum Creek) in that area last summer

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

So that’s where our Easter Sunday/Monday temps as predicted 7-10 days ago ended up. Only 300 miles off!

Lucky you.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Thanks for all the luv brother of frozen yogurt.

[GHweatherChris]

The power of positivity is prevailing and blessing many of us with this glorious weather pattern, just amazing!!

[Deweydog]

I-5 north of Woodland!

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Jaboi here giving a whole new meaning to covid-19 by catching it 19 times.

slander! 2 times now  

[ShawniganLake]

16 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I-5 north of Woodland!

Beautiful.  Bountiful blessings all around.   

[ShawniganLake]

At least we are banking some major hours to put towards summer ridging. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

21 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I-5 north of Woodland!

I tried to find a Victorian era looking gif that somehow incorporated the Easter bunny, the resurrection of Christ and mudslides as a response to this but no luck

[Deweydog]

11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I tried to find a Victorian era looking gif that somehow incorporated the Easter bunny, the resurrection of Christ and mudslides as a response to this but no luck

Hmm, that sucks. I did just find an Elizabethan one which features a fundamental Christian gerbil with explosive diarrhea… I could drop it by your place if you’re gonna be home.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

OMG it's 84 at Ontario! They are ON FIRE!

At the same time 56 in Carlsbad.

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, FroYoBro said:

What a glorious spring day in the PNW! Rain has been falling pretty much all day here. The environment is teeming with life! Local creeks and streams are all running loudly with lots of water. The plants are green and thriving. Tim isn't posting. God is really blessing us with some beautiful things today! 

I have thoroughly enjoyed making up some of the rain deficit.   A little sun at times will be enjoyable tomorrow as well.   

[ShawniganLake]

0.01” of rain here today. Generally not a bad day. Clouds are thickening up now. 

[BLI snowman]

57 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I-5 north of Woodland!

 

I always think about that when I am driving that stretch after a jet extension!

[Meatyorologist]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

Omicron finally got me.  

That nabbed a huge chunk of my taste and smell. Hope you don't lose any of that.

Oh, and a huge bump on the dayquil suggestion. That (and a lot of edibles) kept me pretty stable.

[Omegaraptor]

Looks like PDX picked a low hanging fruit in the daily rainfall record book today. 0.64" was enough to do it.

Pretty weird the April 1st record is only 0.39"

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That nabbed a huge chunk of my taste and smell. Hope you don't lose any of that.

Oh, and a huge bump on the dayquil suggestion. That (and a lot of edibles) kept me pretty stable.

I have only gotten back about 40% of my taste and smell from when I had it back in late November.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I have only gotten back about 40% of my taste and smell from when I had it back in late November.

Wow... that is horrible.   Is it slowly coming back still?

[MossMan]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Wow... that is horrible.   Is it slowly coming back still?

I feel like the very slow uphill momentum stopped about a month ago. 

[GHweatherChris]

So apparently the laugh emoji is the new childish stamp of approval now, got it.  Anyways, actually ended up with 1.95" of rain yesterday, nice good soaking and temps in the upper 40's, perfect shorts weather!!  Slight chance of snow still in my point forecast, so some hail and diverse weather opportunities coming up for tomorrow and Wednesday, very fun and enjoyable spring that keeps on giving.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Never lost taste and smell with Covid .

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Never lost taste and smell with Covid .

Same here... thankfully.    That is rough.