OKwx2k4 Posted September 19, 2019 Report Share Posted September 19, 2019 Houston and parts east and northeast are really struggling. Many evacuations, even hospitals are being evacuated. 2' of rain in Houston, more east and northeast. Like Dorian, it hasn't moved fast. IMG_3914.JPG IMG_3915.JPG IMG_3916.JPGRead where they issued a civil emergency. Tough times there. Lots of water. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted September 19, 2019 Report Share Posted September 19, 2019 So far September at my place is running as the 2nd warmest month of the year for average highs: July: 87.5Sep: 85.6Aug: 84.1Jun: 84.1May 70.2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 19, 2019 Report Share Posted September 19, 2019 If there's any good news to come out of the situation in Kingwood, it's that the river isn't expected to rise much more than it already has. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted September 19, 2019 Report Share Posted September 19, 2019 Read where they issued a civil emergency. Tough times there. Lots of water.It's a rough go south and is moving slow. Sitting over Houston. I've had overcast skies 90% of the day. A little sun breaking out right now but they've upgraded our rain tonight to 50% chance. A 1/2" is likely all I'll get this far North and West. Currently 84*DP 69*Humidity 59% Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted September 19, 2019 Report Share Posted September 19, 2019 3 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 19, 2019 Report Share Posted September 19, 2019 Local met has 70s next week and actually down to 70 next Thursday. What?! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 Look's like a solid 2.5-3 inches of rain over my area last night! Was quite a light show and the thunder was pretty crazy as well. 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 I just was awakened by some thunder from storms that are popping up. Maybe some of the CAMS will be right after all. I think DVN did mention that this is a nowcast event. First they sounded optimistic that storms will fire once again tonight, then they backed off from that idea since the HRRR was backing off. I hope I can get something once. I'm tired of storms always dying off just as they reach my area and endIng up with just a trace or a few hundredths, as happened the previous two days and to often to count this summer! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 It's a rough go south and is moving slow. Sitting over Houston. I've had overcast skies 90% of the day. A little sun breaking out right now but they've upgraded our rain tonight to 50% chance. A 1/2" is likely all I'll get this far North and West. Currently 84*DP 69*Humidity 59%Wow, in light of the present weather we've experienced down on this end of the forum, that's a beautiful afternoon. At least its below 90° anyway. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 It was a beautiful evening yesterday to grill some sausages on the grill over a fire...then it was bonfire time.... 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 It was a beautiful even yesterday to grill some sausages on the grill over a fire...then it was bonfire time....You had quite the bonfire going and it looks like you're burning pallets! (Bottom photo) Also it doesn't appear like you're in Chicago. Probably wouldn't be room for a bonfire there, or at least not allowed! I'm guessing you're at a friends place. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 @ Clinton, looks like your area (including KC) up into the lower lakes region is in a good position to get some real heavy rains. The 00z Euro is showing 4"+ from N MO/SE IA/N IL through Mon am. Some spots may pick up 7"+ if the storms end up training over the same areas with torrential rains. Meanwhile, Winter is looking to make an abrupt visit down into the Lower 48 across the N Rockies later next weekend as the pattern will lambaste the mountains with FEET of snow. All the global models are latching onto the late month system that I've been on the look out for. Historic snowfall may be in the cards for this region. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 You had quite the bonfire going and it looks like you're burning pallets! Also it doesn't appear like you're in Chicago. Probably wouldn't be room for a bonfire there, or at least not allowed! I'm guessing you're at a friends place.Yes, I was at my sisters place not far from where I live. Her neighbors are not nosy and don't mind at all when we have bon fires like these. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 Yes, I was at my sisters place not far from where I live. Her neighbors are not nosy and don't mind at all when we have bon fires like these.Awesome! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 I ended up with only 0.06" rainfall earlier today. FWIW, here are some maps to look at. Sorry but you need to tap or click to view clearer image.The CPC doesn't see any sustained cold weather in sight, or the rest of this year. Lol that could easily change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 Graphic from NWS DVN 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 I'm sorry Tom, but I don't like that outlook for Texas. Can I have another one ?!Drier and Warmer than average. Really not wanted around here.***** Don't Forget To Post Your Rain Totals in the Separate Thread as We Near the Close of 2019 *****Shttp://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/2044-2019-rain-totals-for-great-lakes-great-plains/ 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 Currently at 66F w beautiful sunny skies. It will be getting increasingly humid as well, especially on the weekend. Temps will be in the 80s. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 It's starting to look possible that Lincoln will end the month without any temperatures below 50, which has never happened before. It could be worse. I could be back in Memphis where models are starting to show upper 90s for the end of September into October, which is really bad even for there. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 It's starting to look possible that Lincoln will end the month without any temperatures below 50, which has never happened before. It could be worse. I could be back in Memphis where models are starting to show upper 90s for the end of September into October, which is really bad even for there. Wow. I think here we may have officially gotten down to 48 or 49 one night. What an odd month and unfortunately very warm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 More trees are now starting to show some color. I don't think last year any colors were showing up at this time. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 The H/L yesterday at GRR was 84/57 that 84 is tied for the 14th warmest September 19th in Grand Rapids history. The overnight low at GRR was 61 if it stays above 61 until midnight that will make September 19th 2019 the 16th warmest minimum for the date. For today the average H/L is 71/51 the record high is 90 set in 1931 and the record low is 33 set in 1956. The warmest minimum for today is 69 set in 1978 and the coldest maximum is 54 set in 1927. Last year the H/L was 83/65. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 More trees are now starting to show some color. I don't think last year any colors were showing up at this time.Here is the latest report this yearhttps://www.foliagenetwork.com/index.php/foliage-reports/foliage-reports-midwest-us/current-season-midwest-us/129-foliage-reports/foliage-reports-midwest-us/foliage-reports-midwest-us-current-season/877-mw-foliage-report-4-2019and last yearhttps://www.foliagenetwork.com/index.php/foliage-reports/foliage-reports-midwest-us/foliage-reports-midwest-us-archive/midwest-us-2018-reports/175-foliage-reports/foliage-reports-midwest-us/foliage-reports-midwest-us-archive/foliage-reports-midwest-us-archive-2018/819-mw-foliage-report-5-2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 I received only 0.07" early this morning as the cells mostly went around me. Once the line moved off to the northeast a bit, it stalled and continues to bubble up. We've kinda been on the edge of everything this month, unable to get anything too heavy. I'm having trouble being optimistic about this weekend. Models are really wanting to keep much of the rain south and east of Cedar Rapids... even though the front will be well to the west... because of course. If we can get an inch that would be a win. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 @ Clinton, looks like your area (including KC) up into the lower lakes region is in a good position to get some real heavy rains. The 00z Euro is showing 4"+ from N MO/SE IA/N IL through Mon am. Some spots may pick up 7"+ if the storms end up training over the same areas with torrential rains. Meanwhile, Winter is looking to make an abrupt visit down into the Lower 48 across the N Rockies later next weekend as the pattern will lambaste the mountains with FEET of snow. All the global models are latching onto the late month system that I've been on the look out for. Historic snowfall may be in the cards for this region. We have a flash flood watch through the weekend, looking like a good soaker. Could next weekend be the beginning of the new LRC? I think so. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 We have a flash flood watch through the weekend, looking like a good soaker. Could next weekend be the beginning of the new LRC? I think so.Might be a bit early for the new LRC pattern, but could actually start seeing some bigger differences late month and esp the opening days of October. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 Looks like Sunday into Monday brings my next chance of rain and then thereafter t'stm activity as warm air stays put. It gets a little cooler at the beginning of the week, but temps rise in the mid to upper 70s later on. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 20, 2019 Author Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 On today’s date last year, ORD set a new record of 93F! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 DMX is now going with above normal temps next week and is saying model output is too cool. Man I'm sick of it. September is turning out to be more summer like than what summer actually was. I guess nature always balances its way out. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 This morning's Euro lifted this weekend's heavy rain (2-4+") up through east-central Iowa, but I'm not buying that. The 3k NAM and WPC keep the heaviest stuff southeast. The Euro lifts a wave of general rain through the area Sunday, but the NAM keeps all the precip well south with the heavy storms, which is the way it typically works. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 We h it 97* today with humidity a surprising 39% Windy A line of thunderstorms are NW of the DFW area stretching back from the Panhandle to Arkansas, however it's moving NE. With only a 30% chance of rain, I doubt we"ll catch any action. Imelda has fallen apart and now it's back to early fall weather. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northland09 Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 It's looking like the leaves on the trees are turning color here a week eariler then they did last year. It's crazy how much they have turned just within this last week! One of our maples is dropping quite a bit of leaves already, our driveway where it's located is pretty well covered in them. Today compared to 2018 and 2017:https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/fall_colors/compare.html 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 20, 2019 Report Share Posted September 20, 2019 Gorgeous evening w clear skies and warm conditions. Back to dews again w current (D) at 68F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 21, 2019 Report Share Posted September 21, 2019 DMX is now going with above normal temps next week and is saying model output is too cool. Man I'm sick of it. September is turning out to be more summer like than what summer actually was. I guess nature always balances its way out.What is your average H/L temp for this time of the yr Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 21, 2019 Report Share Posted September 21, 2019 What is your average H/L temp for this time of the yr James' avg high/low is about 74/49. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted September 21, 2019 Report Share Posted September 21, 2019 This morning's Euro lifted this weekend's heavy rain (2-4+") up through east-central Iowa, but I'm not buying that. The 3k NAM and WPC keep the heaviest stuff southeast. The Euro lifts a wave of general rain through the area Sunday, but the NAM keeps all the precip well south with the heavy storms, which is the way it typically works.I hope that happens. After all, Cedar Rapids is still in a moderate drought which just won't go away. Things are still dry here. I. hope for at least an inch which shouldn't be too much to ask for. Hopefully everything can come together just right for heavy rain here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 21, 2019 Report Share Posted September 21, 2019 CPC eyeing the end of month system: 5 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 21, 2019 Report Share Posted September 21, 2019 James' avg high/low is about 74/49.Thanks Hawkeye Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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