December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Big druncle here...like a 3rd down passing situation.

[kokaneekidz]

At least marshawn lunch is coming home

[Gradient Keeper]

GFS continues to be at odds with the EURO/EPS starting after Day 4 into Day 5.

[Deweydog]

That thing might be sticking it to us sideways, but man what a beast. More sub-460dm heights on this run.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Druncle sucks...

[FroYoBro]

No wind and the sun is coming out.

 

Nice day.

[Phil]

That thing might be sticking to us sideways, but man what a beast. More sub-460dm heights on this run.

This one’s even deeper..454dm. That might be a record.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

This one’s even deeper..454dm. That might be a record.

 

It'll all be headed your way soon enough.  I'm thinking another 1996-2003 might be in the cards for the PNW.

[Deweydog]

It'll all be headed your way soon enough. I'm thinking another 1996-2003 might be in the cards for the PNW.

This one should end up quite a bit longer.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

This one should end up quite a bit longer.

 

Wouldn't surprise me.

[ShawniganLake]

It'll all be headed your way soon enough. I'm thinking another 1996-2003 might be in the cards for the PNW.

Dec 98 happened in there. That was pretty cold. By late 20th, early 21st century standards.

[Phil]

God d*mn that fücker just won’t move.

 

The longer it sits there, the more thoroughly it can dynamically couple to the stratospheric PV and establish itself. S**t like this can destroy a mid-latitude winter.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

That looks very promising for at least backdoor cold.

Trying to download GIFs for the weeklies. Looks colder than normal for the PNW starting early January. And wetter than normal. I have no idea if that would be cold enough for Western WA/OR

[Deweydog]

PV off the east coast of Florida at hour 288!

[Phil]

453dm off the Greenland coast. That’s just stupid.

 

[Deweydog]

Flat ridging will save us all.

[El_Nina]

Climate Change

[TigerWoodsLibido]

18z

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yImkcG7IQeg

[Guest CulverJosh]

Conference call was nothing short of amazing. Extrapolation happening once I am off work. Lots to go through, recorded the whole thing.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Conference call was nothing short of amazing. Extrapolation happening once I am off work. Lots to go through, recorded the whole thing.

Were the other two a part of the conversation?  Are you able to post a recording?  Everyone is skeptical, so if you are legit, now is the time to prove it.  I don't have an opinion, yet.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Conference call was nothing short of amazing. Extrapolation happening once I am off work. Lots to go through, recorded the whole thing.

 

Oh man he made ANALogs Gone Wild 3...Slides West.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Well at least 1 GFS ensemble member gets to -10 on Jan 3.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Were the other two a part of the conversation? Are you able to post a recording? Everyone is skeptical, so if you are legit, now is the time to prove it. I don't have an opinion, yet.

Yes they were. Not sure how to post the recording.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

If the other two can verify it, that helps.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

 

Operational is a warm outlier in the long range. At least 8 members get to the -8 ball.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Best game EVER!!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I called in but they were speaking in Russian. I couldn't understand.

Well the Vodka Arctic air is coming from Putin's backyard.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Florida gets snow before Seattle does

[Deweydog]

Were the other two a part of the conversation? Are you able to post a recording? Everyone is skeptical, so if you are legit, now is the time to prove it. I don't have an opinion, yet.

Dude...

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Not necessarily. A change in the tropical forcing/overall pattern could weaken/bump it out of there, but that will take some time at this point and will likely involve a loading pattern for -EPO, since the loading pattern for +EPO will only reinforce it.

 

A SSW is a “nuclear option”, so to speak.

Well it has worked the last two times to save winter.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Dude...

I am skeptical, and now is the time to put up or shut up. Other forums will ban people for making false claims. Like Seahawks forums where people claim to have inside information. Very occasionally someone actually does. Mostly they are false. And when false, they are gone. Burden of proof is on him. Actually I think that any insider claims should be blocked until proven, if they are proven. Something Fred should do. And he does have contacts, though they hate us all.

 

I have no problem banning someone who makes false claims.

[Deweydog]

I am skeptical, and now is the time to put up or shut up. Other forums will ban people for making false claims. Like Seahawks forums where people claim to have inside information. Very occasionally someone actually does. Mostly they are false. And when false, they are gone. Burden of proof is on him. Actually I think that any insider claims should be blocked until proven, if they are proven. Something Fres should do. And he does have contacts, though they hate us all.

 

I have no problem banning someone who makes false claims.

I have a feeling he’ll be gone fairly soon. He’s got a record so his offender score is pretty high.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom_7day-9219200.png

 

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-nw-t2m_f_anom_7day-9219200.png

Hmmmmmm that looks a little better. Need some more amplification with the block to really drive down the Arctic air into the PNW but it's an improvement and a step in the right direction.

[Deweydog]

Was up in Olympia this morning. Still lots of water in shady areas and piles of plowed water in parking lots.

[GHweatherChris]

I hope it doesn't get too cold to snow.

[Guest CulverJosh]

I have a feeling he’ll be gone fairly soon. He’s got a record so his offender score is pretty high.

I haven’t done anything ban-worthy. Just because I call Phil out on his bologna and don’t take his acronyms as gospel? Not everybody is going to agree all the time. It’s an open forum isn’t it? Have we all become ultra-sensitive?

 

Everything I have said is legitimate. Sorry, but I can’t post privileged information without permission so there is that factor involved.

 

Just because certain people on here have personal vendettas doesn’t mean you can influence bannings on your accord. If I get banned for playful back and forths then there is seriously something wrong with society. Rob went on a profanity laden rant the other day and all everyone did was give him sympathy, even though it is something he has done numerous times, throughout many years. Get real guys.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Best game EVER!!

Classic!

[High Desert Mat?]

I was in the conference call this morning. Unfortunately I didn’t get to be involved in all of it due to work but what I did hear sounded a little like wish casting almost too good to be true. I felt like a kid in a candy store. I know they have the same models as we look at but I think he’s extrapolating to the extremes. Don’t know how else to put it. The main thing I got out of it was that the pna tanks around the 10th and bottoms out a few days later. Just hope I wasn’t being duped.