Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 It finally makes landfallYeah, Thursday evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 hows the weather down there? You can always go over to Hapuna Beach if the weather is crappy up there. Only a 20-minute drive. We usually just cheat and end up using the pool there at that resort. We figure we are paying for drinks so we can use the pool. Nobody ever says anything. That is one of the best spots on the west side. Great pool and bar and a beautiful beach. You can also go to Waikoloa or Mauna Lani too. The Hilton in Waikoloa has a great beach and snorkeling area that is in a protected cove. There is also a great snorkeling place inside the Mauna Lani resort area that is not well known. You have to go through a development but the guard at the gate has to let you through because they cannot block access to beaches in Hawaii. Its down a road with incredible mansions and there is small parking lot at the end. I circled it here... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Makes landfall about the same place as the 06z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Yeah, Thursday evening. Then regional snowstorm Friday morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 BOOM hr 168. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 A little less than the 06z but not too shabby. Still think there is a high likelihood that either 1) the front/CZ has more oompf to it than what is currently being modeled or 2) it's drying out the backwash too fast. Both would be even better!I have been consistently buried in that Sunday/Monday storm with pretty much every model run over the past few days. Much better than last February when every run showed me cold and dry while Puget Sound was getting pummeled (and the models were right). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Really disappointed with the east wind trend to be honest. What it’s showing in N. Cali for this system should be what it is for the region. Snowfall obviously gets there by the time it pushes in-land but it has weakened quite dramatically. We’ll see where this goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 we will be there every other day I’m sure!Yeah, that's my favorite place. Went there a couple times in October. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 there is a free 9 hole course here and clubs at the house so we will do it I’m sure, although it was like 25-35 sustained winds yesterday... my dad just retired so when he gets here Monday I know he is wanting to golf Once you turn that corner on the north end of the big island... you get into persistent wind and rain when the trade winds are prevailing. But the area around Waikoloa is protected... so much nicer down there. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 You can always go over to Hapuna Beach if the weather is crappy up there. Only a 20-minute drive. We usually just cheat and end up using the pool there at that resort. We figure we are paying for drinks so we can use the pool. Nobody ever says anything. That is one of the best spots on the west side. Great pool and bar and a beautiful beach. You can also go to Waikoloa or Mauna Lani too. The Hilton in Waikoloa has a great beach and snorkeling area that is in a protected cove. There is also a great snorkeling place inside the Mauna Lani resort area that is not well known. You have to go through a development but the guard at the gate has to let you through because they cannot block access to beaches in Hawaii. Its down a road with incredible mansions and there is small parking lot at the end. I circled it here... That's where I played golf. Here's the view from the green just west of that beach. 4 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 6z NAM hammers the South Sound with 2-5" of snow Sunday night in the CZ/Arctic Front combo. sn10_024h.us_nw.pngI may need to adopt the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Really disappointed with the east wind trend to be honest. What it’s showing in N. Cali for this system should be what it is for the region. Snowfall obviously gets there by the time it pushes in-land but it has weakened quite dramatically. We’ll see where this goes. That heavy precip in the NorCal mountains is par for the course down there. They get much heavier precipitation than the PNW lowlands can dream of. The heavy orographic lift in the Klamath Mountains and south Cascades / Sierras means that anything that hits there goes the distance, those are real Pacific storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 1PM Wednesday-1PM Friday... Even with the atrocious east wind situation on the GFS, PDX still gets a good 5-7 inches, not bad at all. My confidence of 1-3 inches is increasing! 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 there is a free 9 hole course here and clubs at the house so we will do it I’m sure, although it was like 25-35 sustained winds yesterday... my dad just retired so when he gets here Monday I know he is wanting to golf I have played the Waikoloa Beach course with my sons several times... right by the Hilton Kings Land resort. I remember it was pretty reasonable after about 3 or 4 p.m... even with a cart and rentals. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That heavy precip in the NorCal mountains is par for the course down there. They get much heavier rain than the PNW lowlands.Completely understand that, I forgot to mention that it should be more widespread than what was modeled. Hope this changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 No snow here this morning...was hoping to score but heck we got the 1/2" yesterday which is more than a lot of people got. Better chances coming next week! Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 1PM Wednesday-1PM Friday... I'll take it for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Wow, goes to crap at hour 204, bring back the 0Z please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I have played the Waikoloa Beach course with my sons several times... right by the Hilton Kings Land resort. I remember it was pretty reasonable after about 3 or 4 p.m... even with a cart and rentals.I played there a few years back on my Honeymoon. Much more reasonably priced than Mauna Lani or Hapuna. The 7th hole is pretty spectacular. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Wow... the 12Z GFS sure warms it up fast later in the week compared to the 00Z run. That is what the EPS thinks will happen too. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Wow, goes to crap at hour 204, bring back the 0Z please.Finally showing the cold air pushed out? Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 My focus for Portland has been on that first potential snow maker Monday evening. I love to see the 12z showing it a bit colder and snow for Portland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I think we are headed to the cabin for the weekend for the cold and snow there then head back home monday for the fun here. Should be pretty nasty over there Sunday night.Post pics! A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Finally showing the cold air pushed out? Yup. That low spinning up out of the SW brings an end to the event. We've seen it before but it's made a reappearance on the last two runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Wow... the 12Z GFS sure warms it up fast later in the week compared to the 00Z run. That is what the EPS thinks will happen too.If we can get a decent snowstorm, followed by some ice and a few days of frozen weather then I'll be satisfied. Take what you can get here in the PNW Western Lowlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Even with a really good track from both the lows (Monday and Wednesday), PDX doesn't really get absurd totals here. I think GFS is becoming pretty sure this isn't going to dump moisture like the older runs showed. Hopefully this storm ends up a bit more dynamic than currently modeled. Will be interesting to see what the mesoscale models show once in range. 12z GFS has TWL winning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 My focus for Portland has been on that first potential snow maker Monday evening. I love to see the 12z showing it a bit colder and snow for Portland. Do you think that one has a better chance of being a good storm than the Wednesday system? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Yup. That low spinning up out of the SW brings an end to the event. We've seen it before but it's made a reappearance on the last two runs. Bummer. Was hoping that would be a big boon for the GFS. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 UGLY at 240. Yikes man. NEXT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Post pics!You know I will. Going to try and get some action there and back home Sunday night. Kids aren't going so should be easy! 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Do you think that one has a better chance of being a good storm than the Wednesday system?Well, it is closer in time, so that feels a bit more real to me. Hard to say still. I think there is some decent potential with that low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Next week's still gonna be interesting. No real telling what will happen after monday really...models are going to struggle past 3ish days with this pattern. Will be lots of fun surprises I'm guessing. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Raining pretty hard in Tacoma now...southerly wind event coming later today. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 06z Euro didn't look half bad for Sunday. A little further north centered than the GFS. Goes to show that the CZ/front can setup shop just about anywhere. Right over the udist! I will take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I used a light bulb changer pole that could extend to like 20 feet or more. Then duct taped a towel on the end. But my wife threw it away this past summer. <_>Attach a powerful electric leaf blower pointed towards dish. Have it on a timer to go off every 15 minutes. Of course you will need another leaf blower pointed at the other leaf blower to clear it off. You may need to replicate this pattern until the last leaf blower is under cover and will not be effected by snow. Good luck 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Even with a really good track from both the lows (Monday and Wednesday), PDX doesn't really get absurd totals here. I think GFS is becoming pretty sure this isn't going to dump moisture like the older runs showed. Hopefully this storm ends up a bit more dynamic than currently modeled. Will be interesting to see what the mesoscale models show once in range. 12z GFS has TWL winning 12z ICON came in wetter with a stronger system. As long as the EURO/EPS keep showing a lot of precipitation then I think we'll be okay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 It feels like some people on here expect this cold spell to last a historic amount of time or expect a historically large snowstorm in their city. Those things are always unlikely. (That's what makes them historic) A great week of potential is shaping up though, just try to enjoy it! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 It feels like some people on here expect this cold spell to last a historic amount of time or expect a historically large snowstorm in their city. Those things are always unlikely. (That's what makes them historic) A great week of potential is shaping up though, just try to enjoy it!True that but wouldn’t it be amazing if it lasted into feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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