Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[umadbro]

GFS not only sticking to it's guns. She keeps upping the Ante for PDX and Clark County.

[Requiem]

Look like hawkstwelve decides to take the night off. Can't blame him. Thinking about doing the same. This one might sting a little due to the nature of the precipitation. 

Since Sunday it's about 1" for me, give or take. Congrats to the jackpot winners! 

 

Did you miss out the last few days as well?

[wxmet]

Look like hawkstwelve decides to take the night off. Can't blame him. Thinking about doing the same. This one might sting a little due to the nature of the precipitation. 

Since Sunday it's about 1" for me, give or take. Congrats to the jackpot winners!

 

Wait till that activity crosses the Sound

[Cloud]

Did you miss out the last few days as well?

Oh yeah, I'm directly south of I-90 so I missed out big time last couple days. The stuff that accumulated on the and rooftops can't even hold on even though it has been pretty chilly. Cars that hasn't been moved do have a nice coating on them but that's it!   

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Warming up just a bit.  Can't warm up too much.

[TT-SEA]

Wait till that activity crosses the Sound

Very unlikely that makes it to his area. Its lifting north.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Beautiful clear evening. 26 with a west wind around 10mph. Just went out and took care of the animals with my daughter. She was loving it. 

 

Great event up north for a lot of people. Even if this ends up being one of our off years is great to see a localized event like this. 

[Blizzard777]

00z gfs still refuses to give up for Portland. Do we see the 00z euro bend the knee to the NEW KING???!11?

East winds will be active feeding into that storm! 

10am Wednesday model

[Thurston Howell III]

Is it the strong east winds that are wiping out the snow in NE Gig Harbor area?  Showed heavy band and all we're getting is a few tiny flakes.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Are you worried that band is setting up a tad too far south? Looking at the radar loop concerns me a bit

 

Not too concerned based on the current returns, follow the path of the onshore flow and the current location is almost as good as it gets. It's being deflected slightly north as it passes the Olympics as well. It'll be interesting to see if some of the heavier convective stuff closer to the center of that make it here, it seems roughly on track.

[wxmet]

Very unlikely that makes it to his area. Its lifting north.

It’s moving NE on RadarScope. It would have to move due north to miss me. Not sure how far east or south he is though

[joelgombiner]

Looks like some healthier radar returns are tracking towards Seattle 

[TT-SEA]

Is it the strong east winds that are wiping out the snow in NE Gig Harbor area? Showed heavy band and all we're getting is a few tiny flakes.

There is no east wind yet.

 

Wind is out the south. It switches to east by early morning after this band lifts into Canada. ECMWF showed that it we back down into the upper 20s in Seattle by morning with a ESE wind.

[FroYoBro]

Down to 33. I'm shaking with anticipation. 

[Blizzard777]

Is it the strong east winds that are wiping out the snow in NE Gig Harbor area?  Showed heavy band and all we're getting is a few tiny flakes.

Currently  just south winds happening

[TT-SEA]

Is it the strong east winds that are wiping out the snow in NE Gig Harbor area?  Showed heavy band and all we're getting is a few tiny flakes.

 

 

There is no east wind yet... the wind is out of the south.   SEA is 34 degress with S12.   

 

ECMWF showed that the east wind surfaces early tomorrow morning once that band lifts into Canada.   It also showed temps falling back into the upper 20s in Seattle by morning with an ESE wind.

[Thurston Howell III]

There is no east wind yet.

 

Wind is out the south. It switches to east by early morning after this band lifts into Canada. ECMWF showed that it we back down into the upper 20s in Seattle by morning with a ESE wind.

I wonder if it's just local then?  The water between Vashon and Gig Harbor is only 2000' away.

[GHweatherChris]

Welp, on to tomorrow and maybe a few hours of fun with the southern branch of the system(s).

[Oliver]

Looks like everyone in Seattle north of I-90 is about to be in luck with those returns finally inching across the sound. Probably gonna be a sharp North/South cutoff line right around downtown, going on an angle to the NE toward Kirkland, just like the models were suggesting earlier.

[Bham_Guy]

15°F and steady powder snow here.

[Requiem]

Looks like everyone in Seattle north of I-90 is about to be in luck with those returns finally inching across the sound. Probably gonna be a sharp North/South cutoff line right around downtown, going on an angle to the NE toward Kirkland, just like the models were suggesting earlier.

 

Agreed. How are you, Sounder?

[Weather1011]

19F and had snow most of the day in Vancouver bc

[Phil]

You truly are a written word expert on everything! Funny that you only bring this up now and didn’t drop a dime on these guys to less learned coaches, managers, players, scouts, analysts, video coordinators, ushers, season ticket holders, the ghost of Ty Cobb etc. sooner. You could have probably got your picture in the paper.

 

No doubt focusing on a zone and having knowledge of pitch selection helps immensely. That’s why it’s cheating. I just think you’re Philling it up as to your after-the-fact eagle eye which supposedly picked this up years ago while the rest of the baseball world needed boots on the ground information to unearth it.

What on God’s green earth are you bloviating about? Signs are stolen via “normal” methods (without technology) all the time and its obvious. What made this different is it’d happen with nobody on base..and FWIW people have been discussing it for at least 4 years.

 

And I’m sure you know that “pitch selection” is largely guesswork unless you already know what’s coming, correct? So if the hitter is right on top of every pitch, irrespective of speed/break/spin rate/delivery mode, either you’re tipping pitches, or signs are being stolen. Or you just suck that prolifically and should retire.

 

Quit being a dunderhead.

[Cloud]

It’s moving NE on RadarScope. It would have to move due north to miss me. Not sure how far east or south he is though

I'm a mile or so NE of BFI. Pretty nice echos on the radar but nothing is really falling. 

[Weather1011]

What on God’s green earth are you bloviating about? Signs are stolen via “normal” methods (without technology) all the time and its obvious. What made this different is it’d happen with nobody on base and people have been discussing it for at least 4 years.

 

And I’m sure you know that “pitch selection” is largely guesswork unless you already know what’s coming, correct? So if the hitter is right on top of every pitch, irrespective of speed/break/spin rate/delivery mode, either you’re tipping pitches, or signs are being stolen. Or you just suck that prolifically and should retire.

 

Quit being a dunderhead.

Hockey > Baseball

 

Also cheating is bad

[Phil]

What are the odds that three stud former Cy Young winning pitchers succumb to “tipping pitches” (AAA level mistake) within a two week span against the same team? Use your head, Matt. #OccamsRazor

[GHweatherChris]

What on God’s green earth are you bloviating about? Signs are stolen via “normal” methods (without technology) all the time and its obvious. What made this different is it’d happen with nobody on base..and FWIW people have been discussing it for at least 4 years.

 

And I’m sure you know that “pitch selection” is largely guesswork unless you already know what’s coming, correct? So if the hitter is right on top of every pitch, irrespective of speed/break/spin rate/delivery mode, either you’re tipping pitches, or signs are being stolen. Or you just suck that prolifically and should retire.

 

Quit being a dunderhead.

You didn't know they cheated exactly the way they cheated, the same as I didn't know Pete Rose bet on the game before anyone else.

[MikeInEverett]

F*ck the Astros.

 

That is all.

[Phil]

You didn't know they cheated exactly the way they cheated.

I didn’t say I did. Wtf? I just said I was suspicious.

 

Not that hard to read English if you understand it.

[Weather1011]

[GHweatherChris]

I didn’t say I did. Wtf? I just said I was suspicious.

 

Not that hard to read English if you understand it.

Whatever, end of convo.

[Requiem]

I mean the plus side of no snow in Portland is no need to worry about the melting snow on top of rain ‍♂

 

I'd take the melting snow on top of rain any day, man 

[Randyc321]

Snow starting to come down rather heavily near the bridge!

 

Holy crap. That is an understatement!

[MR. HEATMISER]

Heavy.

 

WEAK!

[GHweatherChris]

Phil's back...

 

Sorry, I got sucked in for a second, done now.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

All being well, we should have our first freeze since Dec 28 tonight.

[Phil]

CFS has also been pretty insistent on getting the Pacific jet going for about a week at the beginning of February. Phil, what do you think?

AAM will be rising massively late this month so it wouldn’t be difficult for even a modest +EAMT to get it going. But if might be more of the Aleutian low/+PNA variety.

 

If/when it retracts, it opens the door to another round of blocking.

[weather_fan]

Interesting...the radar over me is full but nothing seems to be falling.

[MikeBC]

The cold snap for Whatcom and up in the north of the border is impressive. 

 

Daytime high:

 

Abbotsford 14F

Vancouver 19F

Hope 10F

Bellingham 19F

 

Its is snowing here right now.

[Blizzard777]

That’s what I would like