Jesse Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 So, how’d the squall play out in the PDX metro? Went on a long run and missed the main event.We’re getting some needed rainfall. So all in all I would count it as a win. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 We had a decent burst of winds around 30-35mph a bit ago with the front passage, nothing too crazy though unfortunately. Looks like everyone’s best bet at some thunderstorms is going to come from the post frontal airmass. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Up to 0.28” for today and moderate rain at the moment..56 currently. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 FWIW, this would match well with the tropical forcing structure from summer 2010. Assuming this is what the background state evolves to..would be easy to shift this ever so slightly and have the wavetrain favor a cooler outcome for much of the US compared to 2010. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 But yeah, there’s strong support for IO/EHEM forcing and dateline/WPAC subsidence this summer, which would reflect a more -ENSO regime (strong walker cell with a focused Indo-Pacific uplift channel). Of course, that doesn’t necessarily juxtapose with -QBO efficiently, though cases like 2007 show it can occur with modulations to the meridional component(s). An outcome analogous to 2007 or even 2005 is possible. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 But yeah, there’s strong support for IO/EHEM forcing and dateline/WPAC subsidence this summer, which would reflect a more -ENSO regime (strong walker cell with a focused Indo-Pacific uplift channel).Of course, that doesn’t necessarily juxtapose with -QBO efficiently, though cases like 2007 show it can occur with modulations to the meridional component(s). An outcome analogous to 2007 or even 2005 is possible.Nice. 2005, 2007 and 2010 were all great summers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 It would be fun to have at least a moderate Nina. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Looks stormy but nothing special .29 precipitation Just breezy here 15-20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 It would be fun to have at least a moderate Nina. Is it time to have a Super Nina? Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 But yeah, there’s strong support for IO/EHEM forcing and dateline/WPAC subsidence this summer, which would reflect a more -ENSO regime (strong walker cell with a focused Indo-Pacific uplift channel). Of course, that doesn’t necessarily juxtapose with -QBO efficiently, though cases like 2007 show it can occur with modulations to the meridional component(s). An outcome analogous to 2007 or even 2005 is possible. Another Hot and dry summer? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Looks stormy but nothing special .29 precipitation Just breezy here 15-20 Looks like a decent batch of showers along the coastal range moving in...maybe that’ll lead to some convection. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Another Hot and dry summer? Those were not hot and dry here. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Poor Utah.And Nevada. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Really wet day. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 Looks like there’s some strong cells north of Portland in SW WA...also we’re getting some sunbreaks in Tacoma...still hope for some exciting weather to develop. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 2, 2020 Report Share Posted May 2, 2020 This isn't the most favorable setup for storms in southern OR, so it may or may not even thunder this evening. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Up to 1" of rain on the day. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Up to 1" of rain on the day. Had maybe 1/10th of that. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 0.21” PDX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 I'm finally done with the front. Now if we can get some isolated rumblers going. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Just saw some lightning, thunder was pretty loud. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 A nice refreshing 0.47" today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 That line had a little more action! I’ll give it a 6 on a scale from 1 to 10..32 for the day so far51* 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Now this! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Have picked up 0.33” so far today. Hoping that we can maybe see something in the next hour or two or Tomorrow afternoon. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 The last batch of drizzle this afternoon dumped my total up to 0.10”. Breezy and sunny after about 330pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 3, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 0.25" or a bit more in and around town. I think the airport was 0.28" for the day so far. Much-needed. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Cool and wet day. High of 56 after a low of 50 so far, although may fall into the 40s before midnight. Coolest high temp since 4/18. .32” precip. Bands of light to moderate rain much of the day, then the sun came out with gusty west winds after 5:30pm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Up to 1.10" on the day now. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Up to .56” on the day...Sadly no thunder boomers however. Currently 47 degrees and raining. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Now this!Looks like the Holy Spirit! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Looks like the Holy Spirit!Also kind of like a nuclear explosion...I wonder if that’s the reason why it was called the “Trinity” test. 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 The 00Z GFS says the ridge break down after next weekend is just a glancing blow for one day... the ridge pops right back up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 The 00Z GFS says the ridge break down after next weekend is just a glancing blow for one day... the ridge pops right back up. Oh noes. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 Oh noes. Don't worry... it probably won't happen. But the EPS and GEFS mean maps have been showing the same thing to some extent. Something that is not apparent in those charts for a single location with no reference to the larger pattern. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 The new 00Z GEFS is the same... minor ridge break down around day 10 which is even later than the operational run and then it pops right back up. Here is the 5-10 day mean... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 And the 10-15 day mean... same overall pattern. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 It's been pleasant to finally get an alternating pattern. More of a spring garden variety of weather. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 It's been pleasant to finally get an alternating pattern. More of a spring garden variety of weather. I was just thinking today that we actually did get into an alternating pattern over the last couple weeks. Its been pretty rare this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 3, 2020 Report Share Posted May 3, 2020 It's been pleasant to finally get an alternating pattern. More of a spring garden variety of weather.Nice alternating pattern looks to continue on the GFS ensembles nice. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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