May 2020 Weather discussion for the PNW

[TacomaWaWx]

Shower activity is starting to increase to the south and east over terrain in the cascades. Still a decent amount of activity south and west of Olympia. It’s mostly sunny....has been most of the day and 64 degrees. Hopefully it makes things interesting this evening.

[Jesse]

Nice day.

It is.

[jakeinthevalley]

Cell over Salem has at least given us some T and L

[Omegaraptor]

Cell over Salem has at least given us some T and L

 

It's on track to reach here. However, it's slowing down. Probably going to fizzle out along the way but who knows.

 

Pretty gusty outside and partly cloudy.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Strong cell moving through NW Jackson County just to the NE of

Grants Pass.

[TacomaWaWx]

Lot of the action in western WA is still south and west of Olympia...but now we’ve got a strong cell on the north kitsap peninsula...some showers moving into Tacoma too.

[TacomaWaWx]

There’s a couple pretty strong thunderstorms west of the crest in OR on radar.

[MossMan]

Was a good day to cut down a few Alders.

Up to .30” on the day.

[Phil]

Was a good day to cut down a few Alders.

Up to .30” on the day.

At long last.

[MossMan]

At long last.

I did not cut down the larger dead tree that drives you crazy. I looked at it, but I didn’t like how the lower part of the tree looked. 10yrs ago I would have had no problem doing it, but I have lost a lot of nerve the older I have gotten. Nothing more dangerous than cutting down a dead tree.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

57F with lots of dark skies but only a few drops and no thunder.

[Blizzard777]

Nest cam footage as that shower with the funnel cloud moved North.  Watch the left side of the screen.  Looks interesting 

hope this link works as well

 

https://video.nest.com/clip/92d9e6c3897f43898307ac64a85521d0.mp4

[GHweatherChris]

Currently pouring rain in our backyard and no rain in the front yard.

[Farmboy]

Governors of Washington and Oregon, time to open up the beaches!

And the campgrounds...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Now pouring.

[GeorgeWx]

None of that is related to what I am saying now though... the GFS was on board for the last heat wave and is not on board at all right now. That is pretty important and I can already sense how this will play out.

 

18z Gfs still showing rain for Memorial Day, maybe you will be right.

[GeorgeWx]

Nest cam footage as that shower with the funnel cloud moved North. Watch the left side of the screen. Looks interesting

hope this link works as well

 

https://video.nest.com/clip/92d9e6c3897f43898307ac64a85521d0.mp4

https://katu.com/news/local/watch-funnel-cloud-swirls-over-puget-sound-in-wash

 

Made the news

[Phil]

 

18z Gfs still showing rain for Memorial Day, maybe you will be right.

Rain on Memorial Day is a blessing from above.

[Blizzard777]

https://katu.com/news/local/watch-funnel-cloud-swirls-over-puget-sound-in-wash

 

Made the news

While it was happening I was in my garage working out with garage door shut oblivious to any action outside.  

Cool shots they got and would love to witness this!!!  

[Jesse]

68/48 here today. Looked like things were going to get active for a minute there, then sort of fizzed out.

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS is zonal just like previous runs.   Mark my words... the ECMWF will cave.   Need the GFS on board or it won't happen.   And that is not just reverse psychology.   

[GeorgeWx]

00Z GFS is zonal just like previous runs. Mark my words... the ECMWF will cave. Need the GFS on board or it won't happen. And that is not just reverse psychology.

[GeorgeWx]

Rain on Memorial Day is a blessing from above.

It will help with the drought.

[Deweydog]

Looks like a preference-based stand off is setting itself up!

[GeorgeWx]

Cmc now showing rain good call Tim.

[TT-SEA]

Cmc now showing rain good call Tim.

 

 

GEFS just caved as well.  

 

Stick a fork in this one.   

[Jesse]

[MossMan]

Looks like a preference-based stand off is setting itself up!

Still snowing here.

[GeorgeWx]

GEFS just caved as well.

 

Stick a fork in this one.

Still want to see the Ecmwf cave as well to be certain.

[TacomaWaWx]

Nest cam footage as that shower with the funnel cloud moved North.  Watch the left side of the screen.  Looks interesting 

hope this link works as well

 

https://video.nest.com/clip/92d9e6c3897f43898307ac64a85521d0.mp4

Yep it went straight over my house and I didn’t even know!

[Phil]

Just 5 weeks until the days start getting shorter.

 

We’re almost there!

[TT-SEA]

Still want to see the Ecmwf cave as well to be certain.

 

 

It will happen slowly over a few days based on recent history.    But it will happen.

[TacomaWaWx]

67/53 0.15” today. Was a beautiful afternoon.

[TT-SEA]

Nest cam footage as that shower with the funnel cloud moved North.  Watch the left side of the screen.  Looks interesting 

hope this link works as well

 

https://video.nest.com/clip/92d9e6c3897f43898307ac64a85521d0.mp4

 

 

That is really interesting to watch... and the video clarity is amazing.

[GeorgeWx]

It will happen slowly over a few days based on recent history. But it will happen.

Now if the Gfs could regularly outperform the Ecmwf.....

[Deweydog]

Still snowing here.

The new normal sounds CHILLY in Skagit County!

[Jesse]

We’re honestly really overdue for a cool and rainy holiday weekend. But this wouldn’t be the first time in the past few years that the models toyed with the idea and had people freaking out, only to have things ultimately trend in their favor.

[Phil]

It will happen slowly over a few days based on recent history. But it will happen.

The GFS is off its rocker on this one.

 

Go with a CMC/ECMWF blend. They handle dateline MJO/CCKW transits a million times better than the GooFuS.

[TacomaWaWx]

That is really interesting to watch... and the video clarity is amazing.

The Tacoma area does happen to see funnel cloud/waterspouts from time to time....my grandparents saw one back in the the late 60s from NE Tacoma....my brother was going to SAMI highschool when there was another waterspout back in 2014 I believe. Then on 11/27/18 a strong thunderstorm passed overhead with a funnel cloud which is the only funnel cloud I’ve seen here in Tacoma.

[TT-SEA]

We’re honestly really overdue for a cool and rainy holiday weekend. But this wouldn’t be the first time in the past few years that the models toyed with the idea and had people freaking out, only to have things ultimately trend in their favor.

 

 

Nobody is freaking out.    That is hyperbole.   People are just interested because its a holiday weekend.