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July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions


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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Dewpoint shot up this evening... its 61 here with a dewpoint of 61 and still misting pretty good in a wonderfully soupy air mass.   No wind at all.  

Dewpoint is almost 60 at SEA as well.  

If that’s ur definition of soupy I think I’ll survive. 😁

Seriously pumped up to experience cool air for the first time in what seems like an eternity already.

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I have a feeling a big time storm is gonna hit here while I’m out of town. Last time I was in Seattle was 2019 and we got slammed with an 80-90mph microburst the first afternoon I was gone. I wonder what it’ll be this time.

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I am sure many people agree on that term.    I picture Beavis and Butthead when someone says "smoked a bowl".    

bb.jpg

"Smoked a bowl" is a very common and accepted phrase way more than you think or feel.  It is way better than whatever the youngins probably call it nowadays, they probably say "i have partaken in some smoked herbs, it was enlightening".

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Apparently DPs have been in the upper 50s lower 60s up there. That’s insane for that far north.

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 51

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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12 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

So true story, some idiots were shooting fireworks off by the forest yesterday, and around dinner time, I noticed smoke.  The smoke kept getting more and more, so I ran down and there was a fire.  Called the fire dept and by the time they came, the smoke was becoming billowy and black.  Legit these idiots almost started a wildfire in Everett.  

And you know what I hear again right now?  Fireworks in the same area... 

Update to this story.  Within about ten minutes of me posting this, there was a second fire in the same area as the fireworks (and the same spot the fire happened on Sunday) and I had to call the fire department.  Now I no longer think this was accidental.  I think this person is trying to start a fire in this location for some reason. Again, it is right at the edge of a forest. I would have updated sooner, but I had to go to work.  

Now I am worried what will happen if I am not home and hear and see the smoke from the fire.  I doubt anyone will call.  It could cause real problems and cause a forest fire within the city as well as risk many homes. :( 

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Can verify the Dulles sensors are accurate. Misting right out of the smog this AM. 🤮 

Flight takes off at 9. Looking forward to nicer weather!

IMG_5564.jpeg

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If 101.1°F SST reading is accurate (debatable) it might be a world record. Questions as to whether organic matter may have skewed the reading a couple degrees too high. Guess we’ll find out.

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Can verify the Dulles sensors are accurate. Misting right out of the smog this AM. 🤮 

Flight takes off at 9. Looking forward to nicer weather!

IMG_5564.jpeg

This week looks absolutely perfect for you per the 06Z ECMWF.   Today is partly cloudy and then fairly sunny Wednesday through Friday but staying below 80 even in Seattle... even cooler in Everett of course.   Tomorrow is quite sunny and only low to mid 70s in Seattle.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Drizzle kept going out here for a few hours after the main frontal passage last night... ended up with .55 and everything looks happily soaked and wet this morning.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Here is the 4-panel cloud loop for the rest of the week... low clouds never really fill in and not much in the way of mid-level clouds after the band passing through this morning.    Looks fairly sunny but never totally sunny.    And should be smoke-free.   The left two panels are the most meaningful in terms of being cloudy or sunny... the ECMWF tends to make high clouds look thicker than reality.  Should be a visually beautiful week ahead with pleasant temps.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-clouds_fourpanel-1690264800-1690297200-1690588800-10.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Tim like reactions of shock and horror from my wife and daughter this morning. Stunned to wake up to a steady drizzle.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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So much hot weather in Texas that I figured it had to be all brown and burnt up... so I thought I would check out what it looks like there.   Dallas has had about an inch of rain total since June 1st and somehow its still fairly green despite being frequently in the 100s.  

dl3.jpg

dl7.jpg

dl6.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Tim like reactions of shock and horror from my wife and daughter this morning. Stunned to wake up to a steady drizzle.

Heavenly.   I seriously just walked around the yard to take it all in.   Summer is ruined without getting some meaningful rain every once in awhile.    Per climo in my area.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Heavenly.   I seriously just walked around the yard to take it all in.   Summer is ruined without getting some meaningful rain every once in awhile.    Per climo in my area.

They just don’t know what’s going on. My daughter has probably never seen it rain this time of year before. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I told my daughter the rain is gods tears, he is crying over man’s sin and our failure to act on climate change. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So much hot weather in Texas that I figured it had to be all brown and burnt up... so I thought I would check out what it looks like there.   Dallas has had about an inch of rain total since June 1st and somehow its still fairly green despite being frequently in the 100s.  

dl3.jpg

dl7.jpg

dl6.jpg

High humidity has its benefits. No homeless encampments and side street fires. 

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Misty this morning! Summer rain!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Radar looks pretty active to the north and west... and the ECMWF significant rain in SW BC during the day today.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_12hr_inch-0340400.png

Chance of T-storms in the forecast up this way, too!

Scoring one of those that yields another half inch or so would be the cherry atop the sundae for this event.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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3 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

Regardless of region-wide rainfall totals, this is a remarkable system coming through in what is the climatological driest time of the year.

Weaker version of the late July 2015 trough.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Been raining for at least 4-5 hours. Need to go check the rain gauge.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Yesterday I picked up 0.81" which made it the wettest July day I've recorded on my weather station (surpassing the thunderstorm total of 0.73" on July 3, 2012). The wind also almost gusted to 30 mph which was the second strongest July gust I've recorded.

BLI picked up 0.73" yesterday on their second driest calendar day of the year. Before yesterday it had only rained more than 0.01" on four days since 1949. The 0.73" total is also the wettest single day so far of 2023. I assume they'll have a wetter day come autumn, but if not it would be wild to have the wettest day of a year to be statistically almost the driest day.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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34 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Yesterday I picked up 0.81" which made it the wettest July day I've recorded on my weather station (surpassing the thunderstorm total of 0.73" on July 3, 2012). The wind also almost gusted to 30 mph which was the second strongest July gust I've recorded.

BLI picked up 0.73" yesterday on their second driest calendar day of the year. Before yesterday it had only rained more than 0.01" on four days since 1949. The 0.73" total is also the wettest single day so far of 2023. I assume they'll have a wetter day come autumn, but if not it would be wild to have the wettest day of a year to be statistically almost the driest day.

I didn't realize how badly BLI is running below normal on precip this year. Only 8.89" on the year after yesterday, around 50% of normal. That stat about it being the wettest day of the year is also incredible. 

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Turbulence was crazy going over the appalachians this AM. Assuming decaying MCS remnants were responsible.

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0.10” of rain here. Quite significant for July, but will be a distant memory by tomorrow. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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